2025年的比特幣（BTC）價格預測開始冷卻。儘管大肆宣傳潛在的集會，但市場賠率仍表現出更為保守的態度。

根據用戶Ashwin在X上發布的數據，預測市場顯示，今年比特幣的價格將不超過138,000美元，其中一些下行情況將其低至59,000美元。

Bitcoin price predictions for 2025 are starting to cool. Despite the hype around a potential rally, market odds are showing a more conservative take.

2025年的比特幣價格預測開始冷卻。儘管大肆宣傳潛在的集會，但市場賠率仍表現出更為保守的態度。

Bitcoin Price Predictions: A Softer Take on 2025 Odds

比特幣價格預測：2025年賠率較軟

比特幣價格預測：2025年賠率較軟

On Polymarket, traders are betting Bitcoin won’t go higher than $138,000 this year, with some downside scenarios placing it as low as $59,000, according to data posted by user Ashwin on X.

根據用戶Ashwin在X上發布的數據，Polymarket上的貿易商正在今年投注比特幣，而某些缺點的情況下降了59,000美元。

That’s a far cry from the six-figure moonshots often thrown around in crypto circles. The Polymarket odds suggest a 60% upside from current levels.

這與經常在加密cirdles中扔掉的六位數的月球相去甚遠。多個賠率表明目前水平的上漲空間為60％。

“The $138K Bitcoin price target may not seem bullish to most Bitcoiners,” Ashwin stated, explaining that sentiment has been weighed down by recent uncertainty, including fallout from U.S. tariffs under the Trump administration.

阿什溫（Ashwin）說：“對大多數比特幣的比特幣價格目標可能並不看好。”他解釋說，最近的不確定性使情緒降低了，包括特朗普政府領導下的美國關稅的後果。

However, economist Timothy Peterson has applied a different method to arrive at a 75% chance of Bitcoin hitting new highs within nine months.

但是，經濟學家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）採用了另一種方法，使比特幣在九個月內達到新高點的機會達到了75％。

According to his analysis of a decade of seasonality data, April and October tend to be strong months, boasting average returns of 13% and 22%.

根據他對十年季節性數據的分析，四月和十月往往是強勁的月份，平均收益為13％和22％。

“Bitcoin has a 75% chance of setting new all-time highs within 9 months (by January 1, 2024)., ” Peterson stated.

彼得森說：“比特幣有75％的機會在9個月內（到2024年1月1日之前）設定新的歷史高潮。”

Furthermore, CryptoQuant analysts say the $84K-$85K zone is a key level to watch-dip below it, and selling could accelerate quickly.

此外，加密分析師說，$ 84K- $ 85K的$ 85K區域是觀察浸入其下方的關鍵水平，銷售可能會迅速加速。

“If the price stays above the $84K-$85K support, it will be able to aim for the $100K resistance. Otherwise, prepare for a rapid decline below $60K.”

“如果價格保持在8.4萬美元至8.5萬美元的支持之上，它將能夠以10萬美元的抵抗力為目標。否則，為快速下降低於$ 60k的準備。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $86,363. But between cautious prediction markets and historical tailwinds, traders are torn between bracing for impact or loading up before the next leg higher.

在寫作時，比特幣的交易價格為86,363美元。但是，在謹慎的預測市場和歷史風風之間，交易者在下一個腿上的撞擊或加載之間被撕裂。