2025年的比特币（BTC）价格预测开始冷却。尽管大肆宣传潜在的集会，但市场赔率仍表现出更为保守的态度。

根据用户Ashwin在X上发布的数据，预测市场显示，今年比特币的价格将不超过138,000美元，其中一些下行情况将其低至59,000美元。

Bitcoin price predictions for 2025 are starting to cool. Despite the hype around a potential rally, market odds are showing a more conservative take.

2025年的比特币价格预测开始冷却。尽管大肆宣传潜在的集会，但市场赔率仍表现出更为保守的态度。

Bitcoin Price Predictions: A Softer Take on 2025 Odds

比特币价格预测：2025年赔率较软

比特币价格预测：2025年赔率较软

On Polymarket, traders are betting Bitcoin won’t go higher than $138,000 this year, with some downside scenarios placing it as low as $59,000, according to data posted by user Ashwin on X.

根据用户Ashwin在X上发布的数据，Polymarket上的贸易商正在今年投注比特币，而某些缺点的情况下降了59,000美元。

That’s a far cry from the six-figure moonshots often thrown around in crypto circles. The Polymarket odds suggest a 60% upside from current levels.

这与经常在加密cirdles中扔掉的六位数的月球相去甚远。多个赔率表明目前水平的上涨空间为60％。

“The $138K Bitcoin price target may not seem bullish to most Bitcoiners,” Ashwin stated, explaining that sentiment has been weighed down by recent uncertainty, including fallout from U.S. tariffs under the Trump administration.

阿什温（Ashwin）说：“对大多数比特币的比特币价格目标可能并不看好。”他解释说，最近的不确定性使情绪降低了，包括特朗普政府领导下的美国关税的后果。

However, economist Timothy Peterson has applied a different method to arrive at a 75% chance of Bitcoin hitting new highs within nine months.

但是，经济学家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）采用了另一种方法，使比特币在九个月内达到新高点的机会达到了75％。

According to his analysis of a decade of seasonality data, April and October tend to be strong months, boasting average returns of 13% and 22%.

根据他对十年季节性数据的分析，四月和十月往往是强劲的月份，平均收益为13％和22％。

“Bitcoin has a 75% chance of setting new all-time highs within 9 months (by January 1, 2024)., ” Peterson stated.

彼得森说：“比特币有75％的机会在9个月内（到2024年1月1日之前）设定新的历史高潮。”

Furthermore, CryptoQuant analysts say the $84K-$85K zone is a key level to watch-dip below it, and selling could accelerate quickly.

此外，加密分析师说，$ 84K- $ 85K的$ 85K区域是观察浸入其下方的关键水平，销售可能会迅速加速。

“If the price stays above the $84K-$85K support, it will be able to aim for the $100K resistance. Otherwise, prepare for a rapid decline below $60K.”

“如果价格保持在8.4万美元至8.5万美元的支持之上，它将能够以10万美元的抵抗力为目标。否则，为快速下降低于$ 60k的准备。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $86,363. But between cautious prediction markets and historical tailwinds, traders are torn between bracing for impact or loading up before the next leg higher.

在写作时，比特币的交易价格为86,363美元。但是，在谨慎的预测市场和历史风风之间，交易者在下一个腿上的撞击或加载之间被撕裂。