多市場投注者看到長期樂觀情緒，顯微鏡下的比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測

根據 Polymarket 的最新投注活動，參與者對比特幣 (BTC) 到年底達到 10 萬美元大關表現出 30% 的適度信心。

Participants in Polymarket's latest betting activity are showing a modest 30% confidence in bitcoin (BTC) reaching the $100,000 mark by the year’s end, according to the latest betting activity on Polymarket. In a twist, however, another wager on the platform indicates a 21% belief that bitcoin could leap to $150,000 by March 31, 2025.

根據 Polymarket 最新的投注活動，Polymarket 最新投注活動的參與者對比特幣 (BTC) 在年底前達到 100,000 美元大關表現出 30% 的適度信心。然而，奇怪的是，該平台上的另一項賭注表明，21% 的人相信比特幣到 2025 年 3 月 31 日可能會躍升至 15 萬美元。

Bitcoin’s Future Price in Focus

比特幣未來價格成為焦點

On Friday, Dec. 27, Polymarket saw a high-stakes wager, with $2,517,135 in volume, set to expire on Dec. 31, 2024. The bet suggests a 30% chance that bitcoin will reach $100,000 again this year.

12 月27 日星期五，Polymarket 進行了一次高額賭注，交易量為2,517,135 美元，預計將於2024 年12 月31 日到期。 。

As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Friday, bitcoin is holding at $94,400, following its record peak of $108,364 on Dec. 17. The bet’s rules state:

截至美國東部時間週五下午 3 點，比特幣價格維持在 94,400 美元，繼 12 月 17 日創下 108,364 美元的歷史高峰後。

“This market will immediately resolve to ‘Yes’ if any Binance 1 minute candle for bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 23, 2024, 14:50 and December 31, 2024, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final ‘High’ price of $100,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to ‘No.’”

「如果東部時區2024 年12 月23 日14:50 至2024 年12 月31 日23:59 之間任何幣安比特幣(BTCUSDT) 1 分鐘蠟燭圖具有最終'最高'價格，則該市場將立即決定'是'。否則，這個市場將決定‘不’。

Polymarket bettors are also placing their bets on where bitcoin’s price will land by March 31, 2025. The price options range from $70,000 to $200,000, including milestones like $90,000, $110,000, and $120,000—three of the most favored picks.

Polymarket 投注者還押注到2025 年3 月31 日比特幣的價格將達到什麼水平。受歡迎的選擇。

The $90,000 prediction leads with an 85% chance, followed by $110,000 at 64%. Next, $120,000 holds at 45%, and $130,000 sits with a 34% likelihood.

預測 90,000 美元的機率領先，機率為 85%，其次是 110,000 美元，機率為 64%。接下來，120,000 美元的可能性為 45%，130,000 美元的可能性為 34%。

Moving up the scale, the $150,000 wager stands at 21%, while the $200,000 target is hanging on at just 9%. The gap between betting odds for the near-term $100,000 goal and the lofty $150,000 aim for early 2025 suggests that while quick profits might be limited, there’s optimism for the long term.

再往上看，15 萬美元的賭注為 21%，而 20 萬美元的目標僅為 9%。近期 10​​0,000 美元目標的賠率與 2025 年初 150,000 美元的崇高目標之間的差距表明，雖然快速利潤可能有限，但長期來看還是樂觀的。

This setup paints a picture of a market where, despite possible short-term fluctuations, some believe it’s preparing for a substantial surge. Both investors and market observers will likely keep a close watch on betting markets for any insights into what’s coming next.

這種設置描繪了一幅市場圖景，儘管可能存在短期波動，但有些人認為它正在為大幅上漲做好準備。投資者和市場觀察家都可能會密切關注博彩市場，以了解接下來會發生什麼。