多市场投注者看到长期乐观情绪，显微镜下的比特币 (BTC) 价格预测

根据 Polymarket 的最新投注活动，参与者对比特币 (BTC) 到年底达到 10 万美元大关表现出 30% 的适度信心。

Participants in Polymarket's latest betting activity are showing a modest 30% confidence in bitcoin (BTC) reaching the $100,000 mark by the year’s end, according to the latest betting activity on Polymarket. In a twist, however, another wager on the platform indicates a 21% belief that bitcoin could leap to $150,000 by March 31, 2025.

根据 Polymarket 最新的投注活动，Polymarket 最新投注活动的参与者对比特币 (BTC) 在年底前达到 100,000 美元大关表现出 30% 的适度信心。然而，奇怪的是，该平台上的另一项赌注表明，21% 的人相信比特币到 2025 年 3 月 31 日可能会跃升至 150,000 美元。

Bitcoin’s Future Price in Focus

比特币未来价格成为焦点

On Friday, Dec. 27, Polymarket saw a high-stakes wager, with $2,517,135 in volume, set to expire on Dec. 31, 2024. The bet suggests a 30% chance that bitcoin will reach $100,000 again this year.

12 月 27 日星期五，Polymarket 进行了一次高额赌注，交易量为 2,517,135 美元，预计将于 2024 年 12 月 31 日到期。该赌注表明，比特币今年再次达到 100,000 美元的可能性为 30%。

As of 3 p.m. Eastern on Friday, bitcoin is holding at $94,400, following its record peak of $108,364 on Dec. 17. The bet’s rules state:

截至美国东部时间周五下午 3 点，比特币价格维持在 94,400 美元，继 12 月 17 日创下 108,364 美元的历史峰值后。该赌注规则规定：

“This market will immediately resolve to ‘Yes’ if any Binance 1 minute candle for bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 23, 2024, 14:50 and December 31, 2024, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final ‘High’ price of $100,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to ‘No.’”

“如果东部时区 2024 年 12 月 23 日 14:50 至 2024 年 12 月 31 日 23:59 之间任何币安比特币 (BTCUSDT) 1 分钟蜡烛图具有最终‘最高’价格，则该市场将立即决定‘是’。 100,000 美元或更高。否则，这个市场将决定‘不’。”

Polymarket bettors are also placing their bets on where bitcoin’s price will land by March 31, 2025. The price options range from $70,000 to $200,000, including milestones like $90,000, $110,000, and $120,000—three of the most favored picks.

Polymarket 投注者也在押注到 2025 年 3 月 31 日比特币的价格将达到什么水平。价格选项范围从 70,000 美元到 200,000 美元，包括像 90,000 美元、110,000 美元和 120,000 美元这样的里程碑——三个最受欢迎的选择。

The $90,000 prediction leads with an 85% chance, followed by $110,000 at 64%. Next, $120,000 holds at 45%, and $130,000 sits with a 34% likelihood.

预测 90,000 美元的概率领先，概率为 85%，其次是 110,000 美元，概率为 64%。接下来，120,000 美元的可能性为 45%，130,000 美元的可能性为 34%。

Moving up the scale, the $150,000 wager stands at 21%, while the $200,000 target is hanging on at just 9%. The gap between betting odds for the near-term $100,000 goal and the lofty $150,000 aim for early 2025 suggests that while quick profits might be limited, there’s optimism for the long term.

再往上看，150,000 美元的赌注为 21%，而 200,000 美元的目标仅为 9%。近期 10​​0,000 美元目标的赔率与 2025 年初 150,000 美元的崇高目标之间的差距表明，虽然快速利润可能有限，但长期来看还是乐观的。

This setup paints a picture of a market where, despite possible short-term fluctuations, some believe it’s preparing for a substantial surge. Both investors and market observers will likely keep a close watch on betting markets for any insights into what’s coming next.

这种设置描绘了一幅市场图景，尽管可能存在短期波动，但一些人认为它正在为大幅上涨做好准备。投资者和市场观察人士都可能会密切关注博彩市场，以了解接下来会发生什么。