比特幣（BTC）價格預測：漲幅至$ 260,000這個公牛週期

一個著名的加密專家概述了比特幣價格前景的引人注目的案例，預計該牛週期的目標是高達260,000美元的目標。

A prominent crypto pundit has outlined a compelling case for the Bitcoin price outlook, aiming for a high bull market target of $260,000. However, a critical invalidation level threatens to derail Bitcoin’s rally.

一個著名的加密專家概述了比特幣價格前景的引人注目的案例，其目標是260,000美元的高牛市目標。但是，關鍵的無效水平有可能使比特幣的集會脫軌。

In a recent X post, Gert van Lagen, a well-known crypto analyst, predicted that the Bitcoin price could rise to a bullish target of between $200,000 and $300,000 this bull cycle. The analyst’s chart suggests that Bitcoin’s price action in the past few years has closely followed a classic market cycle structure, moving through the Accumulation, Redistribution, Re-accumulation, and Distribution phases.

在最近的X帖子中，著名的加密分析師Gert Van Lagen預測，本公牛週期的比特幣價格可能會升至200,000美元至30萬美元之間的看漲目標。該分析師的圖表表明，過去幾年比特幣的價格行動緊隨其經典的市場週期結構，通過積累，再分配，重新蓄能和分銷階段進行。

Bitcoin Price Eyes New ATH Above $260,000

比特幣價格眼睛新的ATH $ 260,000

After consolidating for seven months in mid-2023 – early 2024, Bitcoin formed a range, allowing the market to absorb supply before another price breakout. Notably, this trend continued in 2025, with BTC breaking out of a seven-month re-accumulation phase.

在2023年中期至2024年初合併了七個月後，比特幣形成了一個範圍，使市場能夠在另一個價格突破之前吸收供應。值得注意的是，這一趨勢在2025年持續，BTC突破了七個月的重新蓄能階段。

According to Lagen’s chart, Bitcoin’s next leg up will be a sharp rise to $240,000, followed by a brief correction before rallying to a price peak between $290,000 and $300,000. After hitting this ATH, the analyst predicts that Bitcoin will decline and undergo a period of choppy trading, experiencing price fluctuations between $220,000 and $260,000.

根據拉根（Lagen）的圖表，比特幣的下一條腿將急劇上升至240,000美元，隨後進行了簡短的更正，然後將其集結至290,000美元至300,000美元之間。在達到這一ATH之後，分析師預測，比特幣將下降並經歷一段斷斷續續的交易，價格波動在220,000美元至260,000美元之間。

Interestingly, Bitcoin’s projected rise to an ATH and the following sideways trading are expected to occur during its distribution phase, which is typically characterized by increased sell-offs and market volatility. Once BTC experiences a final surge to $260,000, Lagen predicts a price crash toward $148,000 – $136,000, marking the possible end of the bull rally and the start of the bear market.

有趣的是，比特幣的預計上升到ATH，預計將在其分銷階段進行以下側向交易，通常其特徵是拋售和市場波動增加。一旦BTC經歷了最終激增至260,000美元，Lagen預測價格崩潰將達到148,000美元至136,000美元，這標誌著公牛拉力賽的可能終結和熊市的開始。

Key Invalidation Level Threatening BTC’s Rally

關鍵無效水平威脅BTC的集會

However, Lagen’s optimistic price outlook for Bitcoin is being threatened by a key invalidation level, which could truncate the cryptocurrency’s potential surge to $200,000 – $300,000. While Bitcoin’s bullish structure remains intact, the analyst warns that a weekly close below the 40-week LSMA would invalidate its breakout.

但是，拉根（Lagen）對比特幣的樂觀價格前景受到關鍵無效水平的威脅，這可能會使加密貨幣的潛在增加到200,000美元 - 30萬美元。儘管比特幣的看漲結構仍然完好無損，但分析師警告說，每週關閉40週的LSMA將無效其突破。

As of writing, the Bitcoin price is consolidating above this key invalidation level at $73,900. As long as it holds above this level, Lagen believes that its bullish trajectory will be sustained. However, a drop below $73,900, which already represents a 15% decline from BTC’s current market price, could postpone the projected surge or cancel it altogether.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣價格將其固定在此關鍵無效水平上，為73,900美元。 Lagen認為，只要它具有高於此水平，它將維持其看漲軌跡。但是，低於$ 73,900的跌幅，已經比BTC當前的市場價格下降了15％，可能會推遲預計的激增或完全取消它。