比特币（BTC）价格预测：涨幅至$ 260,000这个公牛周期

一个著名的加密专家概述了比特币价格前景的引人注目的案例，预计该牛周期的目标是高达260,000美元的目标。

A prominent crypto pundit has outlined a compelling case for the Bitcoin price outlook, aiming for a high bull market target of $260,000. However, a critical invalidation level threatens to derail Bitcoin’s rally.

一个著名的加密专家概述了比特币价格前景的引人注目的案例，其目标是260,000美元的高牛市目标。但是，关键的无效水平有可能使比特币的集会脱轨。

In a recent X post, Gert van Lagen, a well-known crypto analyst, predicted that the Bitcoin price could rise to a bullish target of between $200,000 and $300,000 this bull cycle. The analyst’s chart suggests that Bitcoin’s price action in the past few years has closely followed a classic market cycle structure, moving through the Accumulation, Redistribution, Re-accumulation, and Distribution phases.

在最近的X帖子中，著名的加密分析师Gert Van Lagen预测，本公牛周期的比特币价格可能会升至200,000美元至30万美元之间的看涨目标。该分析师的图表表明，过去几年比特币的价格行动紧随其经典的市场周期结构，通过积累，再分配，重新蓄能和分销阶段进行。

Bitcoin Price Eyes New ATH Above $260,000

比特币价格眼睛新的ATH $ 260,000

After consolidating for seven months in mid-2023 – early 2024, Bitcoin formed a range, allowing the market to absorb supply before another price breakout. Notably, this trend continued in 2025, with BTC breaking out of a seven-month re-accumulation phase.

在2023年中期至2024年初合并了七个月后，比特币形成了一个范围，使市场能够在另一个价格突破之前吸收供应。值得注意的是，这一趋势在2025年持续，BTC突破了七个月的重新蓄能阶段。

According to Lagen’s chart, Bitcoin’s next leg up will be a sharp rise to $240,000, followed by a brief correction before rallying to a price peak between $290,000 and $300,000. After hitting this ATH, the analyst predicts that Bitcoin will decline and undergo a period of choppy trading, experiencing price fluctuations between $220,000 and $260,000.

根据拉根（Lagen）的图表，比特币的下一条腿将急剧上升至240,000美元，随后进行了简短的更正，然后将其集结至290,000美元至300,000美元之间。在达到这一ATH之后，分析师预测，比特币将下降并经历一段断断续续的交易，价格波动在220,000美元至260,000美元之间。

Interestingly, Bitcoin’s projected rise to an ATH and the following sideways trading are expected to occur during its distribution phase, which is typically characterized by increased sell-offs and market volatility. Once BTC experiences a final surge to $260,000, Lagen predicts a price crash toward $148,000 – $136,000, marking the possible end of the bull rally and the start of the bear market.

有趣的是，比特币的预计上升到ATH，预计将在其分销阶段进行以下侧向交易，通常其特征是抛售和市场波动增加。一旦BTC经历了最终激增至260,000美元，Lagen预测价格崩溃将达到148,000美元至136,000美元，这标志着公牛拉力赛的可能终结和熊市的开始。

Key Invalidation Level Threatening BTC’s Rally

关键无效水平威胁BTC的集会

However, Lagen’s optimistic price outlook for Bitcoin is being threatened by a key invalidation level, which could truncate the cryptocurrency’s potential surge to $200,000 – $300,000. While Bitcoin’s bullish structure remains intact, the analyst warns that a weekly close below the 40-week LSMA would invalidate its breakout.

但是，拉根（Lagen）对比特币的乐观价格前景受到关键无效水平的威胁，这可能会使加密货币的潜在增加到200,000美元 - 30万美元。尽管比特币的看涨结构仍然完好无损，但分析师警告说，每周关闭40周的LSMA将无效其突破。

As of writing, the Bitcoin price is consolidating above this key invalidation level at $73,900. As long as it holds above this level, Lagen believes that its bullish trajectory will be sustained. However, a drop below $73,900, which already represents a 15% decline from BTC’s current market price, could postpone the projected surge or cancel it altogether.

截至撰写本文时，比特币价格将其固定在此关键无效水平上，为73,900美元。 Lagen认为，只要它具有高于此水平，它将维持其看涨轨迹。但是，低于$ 73,900的跌幅，已经比BTC当前的市场价格下降了15％，可能会推迟预计的激增或完全取消它。