11 月比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測：基於歷史回報的 7.5 萬至 10 萬美元目標

比特幣（BTC）在 11 月開盤時突破了 70,000 美元的心理阻力位，此前幾天該阻力位一直保持在該水平之上。

Bitcoin (BTC) started November on a high note, trading above the $70,000 psychological resistance after maintaining a few days above this level. As the new month begins, Finbold assessed Bitcoin’s historical returns to provide a BTC price projection for November 30.

比特幣 (BTC) 11 月開局就走高，在維持了幾天的心理阻力位之後，交易價格突破了 70,000 美元的心理阻力位。隨著新月份的開始，Finbold 評估了比特幣的歷史回報，提供了 11 月 30 日的 BTC 價格預測。

To provide perspective, Bitcoin concluded October with 10.76% gains, achieving almost half the average and median historical returns for “Uptober.” According to data from Coinglass, November has higher average historical returns but lower median gains than the previous month.

作為一個視角，比特幣 10 月的漲幅為 10.76%，幾乎是「Uptober」歷史平均回報率和中位數回報率的一半。根據 Coinglass 的數據，11 月的平均歷史回報率高於上月，但中位數漲幅低於上月。

Notably, Bitcoin’s monthly performance in November, from 2013, has seen an average gain of 42.78%. With seven positive years out of eleven, November also has a median return of 7.12%, from opening to closing.

值得注意的是，自 2013 年以來，11 月比特幣的月表現平均上漲了 42.78%。 11 月份中有 7 個年份呈正值，從開盤到收盤，11 月份的中位數回報率為 7.12%。

Specifically, November’s best year was 2013 with 449.35% gains from day one to 30, followed by 2017 and 2020, with 53.48% and 42.95%, respectively. In contrast, 2018’s bear market resulted in -36.57% returns in November for Bitcoin, being its worst year, followed by 2019.

具體來說，11 月表現最好的是 2013 年，從第一天到第 30 天漲幅為 449.35%，其次是 2017 年和 2020 年，分別為 53.48% 和 42.95%。相較之下，2018年的熊市導致比特幣11月的回報率為-36.57%，是最糟糕的一年，其次是2019年。

Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction by November 30

11 月 30 日之前的比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $69,495, down from November’s opening price of $70,272. The leading cryptocurrency shows strength after breaking out of high and low time frame downtrends, successfully retesting the lower time frame (LTF).

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 69,495 美元，低於 11 月開盤價 70,272 美元。領先的加密貨幣在突破高低時間框架下降趨勢後顯示出強勢，成功重新測試了較低時間框架（LTF）。

Therefore, BTC could trade between $75,275 and $100,334 by the end of November, based on its historical returns. The prediction projects Bitcoin’s price from November’s opening using the median and average historical returns if BTC maintains its momentum.

因此，根據其歷史回報率，到 11 月底，BTC 的交易價格可能在 75,275 美元至 100,334 美元之間。如果 BTC 保持其勢頭，該預測將使用中位數和平均歷史回報來預測 11 月開盤後的比特幣價格。

While this analysis should not be used in isolation, Bitcoin’s historical returns provide valuable insight into what traders and investors could expect as this month’s price action unfolds.

雖然這種分析不應單獨使用，但比特幣的歷史回報為交易者和投資者在本月價格走勢展開時的預期提供了寶貴的見解。

notably, earlier this Saturday, November 2, Finbold shared two related analyses, both looking at the $100,000 price target. First, the artificial intelligence (AI) ChatGPT predicts BTC to reach this target by mid-to-late 2025. In another analysis, Alan Santana sees a similar outlook – though he believes this current rally could be a bull trap.

值得注意的是，11 月 2 日星期六早些時候，Finbold 分享了兩個相關分析，兩者都著眼於 10 萬美元的目標價。首先，人工智慧(AI) ChatGPT 預測BTC 將在2025 年中後期達到這一目標。是牛市陷阱。

All things considered, Bitcoin price is inherently unpredictable, with the market being highly volatile and subject to uncertainty. Investors are advised to understand what they are buying and consider multiple factors before making any financial decision.

綜上所述，比特幣價格本質上是不可預測的，市場波動性大且有不確定性。建議投資者在做出任何財務決定之前了解他們所購買的產品並考慮多種因素。