11 月比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：基于历史回报的 7.5 万至 10 万美元目标

比特币（BTC）在 11 月开盘时突破了 70,000 美元的心理阻力位，此前几天该阻力位一直保持在该水平之上。

Bitcoin (BTC) started November on a high note, trading above the $70,000 psychological resistance after maintaining a few days above this level. As the new month begins, Finbold assessed Bitcoin’s historical returns to provide a BTC price projection for November 30.

比特币 (BTC) 11 月开局就走高，在维持了几天的心理阻力位之后，交易价格突破了 70,000 美元的心理阻力位。随着新月份的开始，Finbold 评估了比特币的历史回报，提供了 11 月 30 日的 BTC 价格预测。

To provide perspective, Bitcoin concluded October with 10.76% gains, achieving almost half the average and median historical returns for “Uptober.” According to data from Coinglass, November has higher average historical returns but lower median gains than the previous month.

作为一个视角，比特币 10 月份的涨幅为 10.76%，几乎是“Uptober”历史平均回报率和中值回报率的一半。根据 Coinglass 的数据，11 月的平均历史回报率高于上月，但中值涨幅低于上月。

Notably, Bitcoin’s monthly performance in November, from 2013, has seen an average gain of 42.78%. With seven positive years out of eleven, November also has a median return of 7.12%, from opening to closing.

值得注意的是，自 2013 年以来，11 月份比特币的月度表现平均上涨了 42.78%。 11 月份中有 7 个年份呈正值，从开盘到收盘，11 月份的中位回报率为 7.12%。

Specifically, November’s best year was 2013 with 449.35% gains from day one to 30, followed by 2017 and 2020, with 53.48% and 42.95%, respectively. In contrast, 2018’s bear market resulted in -36.57% returns in November for Bitcoin, being its worst year, followed by 2019.

具体来说，11 月份表现最好的是 2013 年，从第一天到第 30 天涨幅为 449.35%，其次是 2017 年和 2020 年，分别为 53.48% 和 42.95%。相比之下，2018年的熊市导致比特币11月的回报率为-36.57%，是最糟糕的一年，其次是2019年。

Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction by November 30

11 月 30 日之前的比特币 (BTC) 价格预测

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $69,495, down from November’s opening price of $70,272. The leading cryptocurrency shows strength after breaking out of high and low time frame downtrends, successfully retesting the lower time frame (LTF).

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 69,495 美元，低于 11 月开盘价 70,272 美元。领先的加密货币在突破高低时间框架下降趋势后显示出强势，成功重新测试了较低时间框架（LTF）。

Therefore, BTC could trade between $75,275 and $100,334 by the end of November, based on its historical returns. The prediction projects Bitcoin’s price from November’s opening using the median and average historical returns if BTC maintains its momentum.

因此，根据其历史回报率，到 11 月底，BTC 的交易价格可能在 75,275 美元至 100,334 美元之间。如果 BTC 保持其势头，该预测将使用中值和平均历史回报来预测 11 月开盘后的比特币价格。

While this analysis should not be used in isolation, Bitcoin’s historical returns provide valuable insight into what traders and investors could expect as this month’s price action unfolds.

虽然这种分析不应单独使用，但比特币的历史回报为交易者和投资者在本月价格走势展开时的预期提供了宝贵的见解。

notably, earlier this Saturday, November 2, Finbold shared two related analyses, both looking at the $100,000 price target. First, the artificial intelligence (AI) ChatGPT predicts BTC to reach this target by mid-to-late 2025. In another analysis, Alan Santana sees a similar outlook – though he believes this current rally could be a bull trap.

值得注意的是，11 月 2 日星期六早些时候，Finbold 分享了两项相关分析，均着眼于 10 万美元的目标价。首先，人工智能 (AI) ChatGPT 预测 BTC 将在 2025 年中后期达到这一目标。在另一项分析中，艾伦·桑塔纳 (Alan Santana) 也看到了类似的前景 - 尽管他认为当前的反弹可能是牛市陷阱。

All things considered, Bitcoin price is inherently unpredictable, with the market being highly volatile and subject to uncertainty. Investors are advised to understand what they are buying and consider multiple factors before making any financial decision.

综上所述，比特币价格本质上是不可预测的，市场波动性很大且存在不确定性。建议投资者在做出任何财务决定之前了解他们所购买的产品并考虑多种因素。