比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測：歷史會重演還是即將突破 68,000 美元？

比特幣正經歷 2024 年動盪的一周之一，交易量自 5 月以來一直保持在平均範圍內。

Bitcoin price analysis reveals consolidation along a crucial support level, with both bullish and bearish pressure evident.

比特幣價格分析顯示，沿著關鍵支撐位盤整，看漲和看跌壓力都很明顯。

Despite the long-term bullish trajectory indicating a potential rise to $80,000, a plunge to the local support is expected to trigger the rally.

儘管長期看漲軌跡表明價格可能上漲至 8 萬美元，但跌至當地支撐位預計將引發反彈。

Bitcoin has experienced one of the less volatile weeks of 2024, with volume remaining within an average range since May. A bullish move would activate the higher targets, while the bear's pullback raises the possibility of plunging below the local support.

比特幣經歷了 2024 年波動較小的一周之一，成交量保持在 5 月以來的平均範圍內。看漲走勢將啟動更高的目標，而空頭的回檔則增加了跌破當地支撐位的可能性。

This has compelled the BTC price to remain stuck within a range for the past couple of days. The previous consolidation around these levels resulted in a bearish pullback close to $52,000.

這迫使比特幣價格在過去幾天內保持在一定區間內。之前圍繞這些水平的盤整導致看跌回調接近 52,000 美元。

Now the question arises: whether history will repeat itself or a breakout above $68,000 is underway.

現在問題來了：歷史是否會重演，或者是否正在突破 68,000 美元。

A closer look at the daily chart reveals that the BTC price has been stuck within a descending parallel channel ever since the token faced rejection from the highs above $73,750.

仔細觀察日線圖可以發現，自從 BTC 價格從 73,750 美元以上的高點遭到拒絕以來，它的價格就一直陷入下降的平行通道內。

Although the price resides comfortably within the upper bands of the channel, the possibility of diving below the levels emerges. As the levels have remained stuck for over a month, a drop in the price may attract fresh liquidity to the token, resulting in a massive upswing.

儘管價格舒適地位於通道的上部區域內，但出現跌破該水平的可能性。由於該水平已持續一個多月，價格下跌可能為代幣吸引新的流動性，導致大幅上漲。

A popular analyst, ALI, lays down a path to $78,000 but says that a drop to $60,000 may come first.

一位受歡迎的分析師 ALI 制定了 78,000 美元的路徑，但表示可能會先跌至 60,000 美元。

A closer look at the chart proposed by the analyst reveals that the BTC price may experience a pullback, back to $60,000. The technical formations suggest the bulls may lose their grip over the rally as the RSI is undergoing a bearish divergence.

仔細觀察分析師提出的圖表可以發現，BTC 價格可能會回調，回到 6 萬美元。技術形態表明，由於 RSI 正在經歷看跌背離，多頭可能會失去對反彈的控制。

Therefore, the analyst suggests that the price may drop to $60,000 and trigger a rebound to $66,000. However, this may not certify a rise above the bearish influence, as another drop below $60,000 may trigger a final breakout.

因此，分析師建議價格可能會跌至60,000美元並引發反彈至66,000美元。然而，這可能並不能證明價格上漲至看跌影響之上，因為再次跌破 6 萬美元可能會引發最終突破。

“I think the best way to mess with everyone’s dreams would be for Bitcoin to drop to $60,000, rebound to $66,000, retrace back to $57,000, and finally break out towards $78,000!,”

「我認為擾亂每個人夢想的最佳方法是比特幣跌至 60,000 美元，反彈至 66,000 美元，回撤至 57,000 美元，最後突破 78,000 美元！”

Therefore, the Bitcoin price is expected to close the monthly trade on a bearish note, which may attract significant liquidity to the platform.

因此，比特幣價格預計將以看跌方式結束月度交易，這可能會為平台吸引大量流動性。

The start of the final quarter is expected to be largely bullish and hence a price forecast of $78,000 appears to be viable.

預計最後一個季度的開始將基本看漲，因此 78,000 美元的價格預測似乎是可行的。