比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：历史会重演还是即将突破 68000 美元？

比特币正经历 2024 年动荡的一周之一，交易量自 5 月份以来一直保持在平均范围内。

Bitcoin price analysis reveals consolidation along a crucial support level, with both bullish and bearish pressure evident.

比特币价格分析显示，沿着关键支撑位盘整，看涨和看跌压力都很明显。

Despite the long-term bullish trajectory indicating a potential rise to $80,000, a plunge to the local support is expected to trigger the rally.

尽管长期看涨轨迹表明价格可能上涨至 80,000 美元，但跌至当地支撑位预计将引发反弹。

Bitcoin has experienced one of the less volatile weeks of 2024, with volume remaining within an average range since May. A bullish move would activate the higher targets, while the bear's pullback raises the possibility of plunging below the local support.

比特币经历了 2024 年波动较小的一周之一，成交量保持在 5 月份以来的平均范围内。看涨走势将激活更高的目标，而空头的回调则增加了跌破当地支撑位的可能性。

This has compelled the BTC price to remain stuck within a range for the past couple of days. The previous consolidation around these levels resulted in a bearish pullback close to $52,000.

这迫使比特币价格在过去几天内保持在一定区间内。之前围绕这些水平的盘整导致看跌回调接近 52,000 美元。

Now the question arises: whether history will repeat itself or a breakout above $68,000 is underway.

现在问题来了：历史是否会重演，或者是否正在突破 68,000 美元。

A closer look at the daily chart reveals that the BTC price has been stuck within a descending parallel channel ever since the token faced rejection from the highs above $73,750.

仔细观察日线图可以发现，自从 BTC 价格从 73,750 美元以上的高点遭到拒绝以来，它的价格就一直陷入下降的平行通道内。

Although the price resides comfortably within the upper bands of the channel, the possibility of diving below the levels emerges. As the levels have remained stuck for over a month, a drop in the price may attract fresh liquidity to the token, resulting in a massive upswing.

尽管价格舒适地位于通道的上部区域内，但出现跌破该水平的可能性。由于该水平已持续一个多月，价格下跌可能会为代币吸引新的流动性，从而导致大幅上涨。

A popular analyst, ALI, lays down a path to $78,000 but says that a drop to $60,000 may come first.

一位受欢迎的分析师 ALI 制定了 78,000 美元的路径，但表示可能会先跌至 60,000 美元。

A closer look at the chart proposed by the analyst reveals that the BTC price may experience a pullback, back to $60,000. The technical formations suggest the bulls may lose their grip over the rally as the RSI is undergoing a bearish divergence.

仔细观察分析师提出的图表可以发现，BTC 价格可能会回调，回到 60,000 美元。技术形态表明，由于 RSI 正在经历看跌背离，多头可能会失去对反弹的控制。

Therefore, the analyst suggests that the price may drop to $60,000 and trigger a rebound to $66,000. However, this may not certify a rise above the bearish influence, as another drop below $60,000 may trigger a final breakout.

因此，分析师建议价格可能会跌至60,000美元并引发反弹至66,000美元。然而，这可能并不能证明价格上涨至看跌影响之上，因为再次跌破 60,000 美元可能会引发最终突破。

“I think the best way to mess with everyone’s dreams would be for Bitcoin to drop to $60,000, rebound to $66,000, retrace back to $57,000, and finally break out towards $78,000!,”

“我认为扰乱每个人梦想的最好方法是比特币跌至 60,000 美元，反弹至 66,000 美元，回撤至 57,000 美元，最后突破 78,000 美元！”

Therefore, the Bitcoin price is expected to close the monthly trade on a bearish note, which may attract significant liquidity to the platform.

因此，比特币价格预计将以看跌方式结束月度交易，这可能会为平台吸引大量流动性。

The start of the final quarter is expected to be largely bullish and hence a price forecast of $78,000 appears to be viable.

预计最后一个季度的开始将基本看涨，因此 78,000 美元的价格预测似乎是可行的。