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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測:Dave the Wave 預計到 2025 年中期將達到 20 萬美元的新高度

2025/01/14 14:30

比特幣 (BTC) 在 2024 年 12 月達到超過 108,000 美元的歷史新高 (ATH) 後,已下跌超過 15%,目前交易價格處於 90,000 美元的低位區間。

比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測:Dave the Wave 預計到 2025 年中期將達到 20 萬美元的新高度

Bitcoin (BTC) price has declined over 15% from its recent all-time high (ATH) of over $108,000 in December 2024. The premier cryptocurrency currently trades in the low-$90,000 range, sparking speculation among analysts regarding BTC’s next move and potential peak.

比特幣(BTC) 價格較2024 年12 月超過108,000 美元的近期歷史高點(ATH) 下跌超過15%。潛在峰值的猜測。

Bitcoin To Top In Summer 2025?

比特幣將在 2025 年夏季登頂?

According to crypto analyst Dave The Wave, BTC may peak in the summer of 2025, around the middle of the year. The analyst highlighted that Bitcoin’s price trajectory is likely to continue appreciating, as indicated by the 52-week simple moving average (SMA).

加密貨幣分析師 Dave The Wave 表示,BTC 可能會在 2025 年夏季(年中左右)達到頂峰。該分析師強調,如 52 週簡單移動平均線(SMA)所示,比特幣的價格軌跡可能會持續升值。

Dave the Wave emphasized Bitcoin’s historical adherence to the logarithmic growth curve (LGC), a model that has successfully outlined BTC’s price movements over time. Notably, BTC tends to reach its peak when the 52-week SMA touches the midpoint of the LGC channel. The analyst explained:

Dave the Wave 強調了比特幣歷史上遵循的對數成長曲線(LGC),該模型已成功概述了 BTC 隨著時間的推移的價格走勢。值得注意的是,當 52 週移動平均線觸及 LGC 通道中點時,BTC 往往會達到高峰。分析師解釋:

The suggestion of a mid year btc peak here: price has previously peaked when the one year moving average hits the midway mark of the LGC channel.

比特幣年中見頂的建議是:當一年移動平均線觸及 LGC 通道的中點時,價格先前已達到頂峰。

For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin LGC is a model that tracks the cryptocurrency’s price over time on a logarithmic scale, smoothing out its extreme volatility to highlight long-term trends. It uses upper and lower bounds to indicate potential support and resistance levels, helping analysts predict future price movements within a broader growth trajectory.

對於外行人來說,比特幣 LGC 是一個以對數尺度追蹤加密貨幣價格隨時間變化的模型,消除其極端波動性以突出長期趨勢。它使用上限和下限來指示潛在的支撐和阻力水平,幫助分析師預測更廣泛的成長軌跡內的未來價格走勢。

The following chart illustrates how BTC prices have historically peaked a few weeks or months before or after the 52-week SMA intersects the middle line of the LGC channel. For instance, BTC’s $69,000 ATH in November 2021 occurred months after the 52-week SMA signaled the potential peak in May of the same year.

下圖顯示了 BTC 價格在歷史上如何在 52 週 SMA 與 LGC 通道中線相交之前或之後幾週或幾個月達到高峰。例如,BTC 在 2021 年 11 月達到 69,000 美元,發生在 52 週移動平均線預示同年 5 月潛在高峰的幾個月後。

Based on this trend, Bitcoin could peak within a few months before or after the 52-week SMA crosses the LGC midpoint, which is currently projected to occur in July 2025. This prediction aligns with other forecasts that see BTC reaching $200,000 by mid-202empli

根據這一趨勢,比特幣可能會在52 週SMA 穿越LGC 中點之前或之後的幾個月內達到峰值,目前預計發生在2025 年7 月。中期將達20 萬美元

suggesting that the recent price correction may be nearing its end. In a recent X post, the trader highlighted the typical duration of Bitcoin price corrections, which usually last 2–4 weeks.

表明最近的價格調整可能已接近尾聲。在最近的 X 貼文中,該交易員強調了比特幣價格調整的典型持續時間,通常持續 2-4 週。

Considering that the ongoing correction is now in its fourth week, a rebound in Bitcoin price could be on the horizon. Rekt further pointed out that the recent support at $88,000 aligns with the 200-day moving average (DMA), suggesting that BTC may find strong footing at this level.

考慮到目前的調整已進入第四周,比特幣價格的反彈可能即將到來。 Rekt 進一步指出,近期支撐位 88,000 美元與 200 日移動平均線(DMA)一致,表明 BTC 可能會在該水平找到堅實的基礎。

Meanwhile, crypto investor Daan Crypto Trades compared the current BTC price action to the December 2023–January 2024 period, using the same price fractal. Daan predicts that BTC could find support around $86,000 before recovering its losses and surging to a new ATH of approximately $110,000.

同時,加密貨幣投資者 Daan Crypto Trades 使用相同的價格分形將當前 BTC 價格走勢與 2023 年 12 月至 2024 年 1 月期間進行了比較。 Daan 預測,BTC 可能會在 86,000 美元左右找到支撐,然後收復失地並飆升至約 110,000 美元的新最高點。

However, some traders are still concerned about a potential bearish head-and-shoulder pattern forming on the BTC chart, which may push its price all the way down to $80,000. At press time, BTC trades at $91,427, down 3.7% in the past 24 hours.

然而,一些交易員仍然擔心 BTC 圖表上可能形成看跌的頭肩形態,這可能會將其價格一路推低至 8 萬美元。截至發稿,BTC 交易價格為 91,427 美元,過去 24 小時下跌 3.7%。

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2025年01月21日 其他文章發表於