比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：Dave the Wave 预计到 2025 年中期将达到 200,000 美元的新高度

比特币 (BTC) 在 2024 年 12 月达到超过 108,000 美元的历史新高 (ATH) 后，已下跌超过 15%，目前交易价格处于 90,000 美元的低位区间。

Bitcoin (BTC) price has declined over 15% from its recent all-time high (ATH) of over $108,000 in December 2024. The premier cryptocurrency currently trades in the low-$90,000 range, sparking speculation among analysts regarding BTC’s next move and potential peak.

比特币 (BTC) 价格较 2024 年 12 月超过 108,000 美元的近期历史高点 (ATH) 下跌超过 15%。这种主要加密货币目前的交易价格在 90,000 美元以下，引发分析师对 BTC 下一步走势和潜在峰值的猜测。

Bitcoin To Top In Summer 2025?

比特币将在 2025 年夏季登顶？

According to crypto analyst Dave The Wave, BTC may peak in the summer of 2025, around the middle of the year. The analyst highlighted that Bitcoin’s price trajectory is likely to continue appreciating, as indicated by the 52-week simple moving average (SMA).

加密货币分析师 Dave The Wave 表示，BTC 可能会在 2025 年夏季（年中左右）达到顶峰。该分析师强调，正如 52 周简单移动平均线（SMA）所示，比特币的价格轨迹可能会继续升值。

Dave the Wave emphasized Bitcoin’s historical adherence to the logarithmic growth curve (LGC), a model that has successfully outlined BTC’s price movements over time. Notably, BTC tends to reach its peak when the 52-week SMA touches the midpoint of the LGC channel. The analyst explained:

Dave the Wave 强调了比特币历史上遵循的对数增长曲线（LGC），该模型已成功概述了 BTC 随着时间的推移的价格走势。值得注意的是，当 52 周移动平均线触及 LGC 通道中点时，BTC 往往会达到顶峰。分析师解释道：

The suggestion of a mid year btc peak here: price has previously peaked when the one year moving average hits the midway mark of the LGC channel.

比特币年中见顶的建议是：当一年移动平均线触及 LGC 通道的中点时，价格此前已达到顶峰。

For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin LGC is a model that tracks the cryptocurrency’s price over time on a logarithmic scale, smoothing out its extreme volatility to highlight long-term trends. It uses upper and lower bounds to indicate potential support and resistance levels, helping analysts predict future price movements within a broader growth trajectory.

对于外行来说，比特币 LGC 是一个以对数尺度跟踪加密货币价格随时间变化的模型，消除其极端波动性以突出长期趋势。它使用上限和下限来指示潜在的支撑和阻力水平，帮助分析师预测更广泛的增长轨迹内的未来价格走势。

The following chart illustrates how BTC prices have historically peaked a few weeks or months before or after the 52-week SMA intersects the middle line of the LGC channel. For instance, BTC’s $69,000 ATH in November 2021 occurred months after the 52-week SMA signaled the potential peak in May of the same year.

下图显示了 BTC 价格在历史上如何在 52 周 SMA 与 LGC 通道中线相交之前或之后几周或几个月达到峰值。例如，BTC 在 2021 年 11 月达到 69,000 美元，发生在 52 周移动平均线预示同年 5 月潜在峰值的几个月之后。

Based on this trend, Bitcoin could peak within a few months before or after the 52-week SMA crosses the LGC midpoint, which is currently projected to occur in July 2025. This prediction aligns with other forecasts that see BTC reaching $200,000 by mid-202empli

根据这一趋势，比特币可能会在 52 周 SMA 穿越 LGC 中点之前或之后的几个月内达到峰值，目前预计发生在 2025 年 7 月。这一预测与其他预测一致，即 BTC 到 202 年中期将达到 200,000 美元

suggesting that the recent price correction may be nearing its end. In a recent X post, the trader highlighted the typical duration of Bitcoin price corrections, which usually last 2–4 weeks.

表明最近的价格调整可能已接近尾声。在最近的 X 帖子中，该交易员强调了比特币价格调整的典型持续时间，通常持续 2-4 周。

Considering that the ongoing correction is now in its fourth week, a rebound in Bitcoin price could be on the horizon. Rekt further pointed out that the recent support at $88,000 aligns with the 200-day moving average (DMA), suggesting that BTC may find strong footing at this level.

考虑到当前的调整已进入第四周，比特币价格的反弹可能即将到来。 Rekt 进一步指出，近期支撑位 88,000 美元与 200 日移动平均线（DMA）一致，表明 BTC 可能会在该水平找到坚实的基础。

Meanwhile, crypto investor Daan Crypto Trades compared the current BTC price action to the December 2023–January 2024 period, using the same price fractal. Daan predicts that BTC could find support around $86,000 before recovering its losses and surging to a new ATH of approximately $110,000.

与此同时，加密货币投资者 Daan Crypto Trades 使用相同的价格分形将当前 BTC 价格走势与 2023 年 12 月至 2024 年 1 月期间进行了比较。 Daan 预测，BTC 可能会在 86,000 美元左右找到支撑，然后收复失地并飙升至约 110,000 美元的新最高点。

However, some traders are still concerned about a potential bearish head-and-shoulder pattern forming on the BTC chart, which may push its price all the way down to $80,000. At press time, BTC trades at $91,427, down 3.7% in the past 24 hours.

然而，一些交易员仍然担心 BTC 图表上可能形成看跌的头肩形态，这可能会将其价格一路推低至 80,000 美元。截至发稿，BTC 交易价格为 91,427 美元，过去 24 小时下跌 3.7%。