比特幣（BTC）價格預測：每日圖表是否閃爍看跌警告？

比特幣（BTC）目前正在剃須刀的邊緣在$ 82,500的價格上跳舞，而交易員正在緊張地關注。經過一段時間的整合後，加密巨人巨人表現出弱點的早期跡象 - 提出了一個問題：比特幣的價格是否準備將其深入降至60,000美元，還是這是下一次集會之前的熊陷阱？讓我們研究每日和每小時的圖表，以解碼BTC下一步重大舉動的真相。

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading on razor-thin support at $82,500, a level that has seen some volatile action in recent sessions. After a period of sideways consolidation, the crypto giant is showing early signs of weakness. But the question on everyone’s mind is: Is Bitcoin preparing for a substantial drop to $60,000, or is this a bear trap before the next rally?

比特幣（BTC）目前正在以82,500美元的價格交易剃須刀 - 薄薄的支撐，這一水平在最近的會議上已經發生了一些動蕩的行動。經過一段時間的側向整合，加密巨頭表現出了早期的虛弱跡象。但是每個人都想到的問題是：比特幣正在準備大幅下降至60,000美元，還是這是下一次集會之前的熊陷阱？

To better understand BTC’s next major move, let’s examine both the daily and hourly charts closely.

為了更好地了解BTC的下一個重大舉措，讓我們仔細檢查日常圖表。

Bitcoin Struggles Below Key Resistances

比特幣掙扎在關鍵阻力以下

As seen on the daily chart, Heikin Ashi candles are small-bodied and in the red, lacking direction and momentum. Price action remains below major resistances, including the 20 SMA at $84,477, 50 SMA at $86,921, and 100 SMA at $92,808. This alignment suggests a bearish structure where each rally is being sold into.

從每日圖表上可以看到，海金·阿什（Heikin Ashi）的蠟燭小巧，處於紅色，缺乏方向和動力。價格行動仍低於主要電阻，其中包括20個SMA，價格為84,477美元，50 SMA為$ 86,921和100 SMA，價格為92,808美元。這種對齊表明，每次集會都被出售給一個看跌結構。

The failure to reclaim the 100-day SMA multiple times indicates sustained selling pressure, likely from institutions and swing traders. The presence of the 200 SMA below current price around $86,675 had acted as temporary support in March, but it has now turned neutral as price hovers well below it.

未能多次收回100天的SMA表明持續的銷售壓力，可能來自機構和搖擺交易員。 3月份，當前價格低於86,675美元的200 SMA的存在是臨時的支持，但由於價格徘徊在遠低於它的情況下，現在已經變成中立。

The ADL (Accumulation/Distribution Line) has sharply dropped, confirming distribution over accumulation. This means that even during slight upward moves, smart money has been offloading, not adding to positions. Without a turn in the ADL, any bounce is suspect.

ADL（累積/分配線）已急劇下降，證實了分佈在積累上。這意味著，即使在輕微的向上移動期間，智能貨幣也一直在下載，而不是增加位置。無需轉彎，任何反彈都是可疑的。

Bitcoin Grinds Lower on the 1-Hour Chart

比特幣在1小時圖表上磨損較低

Zooming into the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin is showing a slow, controlled bleed. After peaking briefly around $87K on April 2nd, BTC experienced sharp rejection and has since been forming lower highs. The recent attempt to climb was stopped cleanly at the 200 SMA near $83,300, confirming it as short-term resistance.

縮放到1小時的圖表中，比特幣顯示出緩慢，控制的出血。在4月2日的$ 87K左右達到頂峰之後，BTC經歷了敏銳的拒絕，此後一直形成較低的高點。最近的攀爬嘗試在200美元接近83,300美元的200 SMA上被乾淨地停止，證實了這是短期抵抗。

The moving averages on the hourly (20, 50, and 100 SMA) are compressing and curving downward, which typically leads to momentum breakdowns, especially when paired with flat volume and fading bullish candles. The most recent Heikin Ashi candles are small-bodied and leaning bearish, showing that the bulls are losing steam and failing to defend even intraday bounces.

每小時（20、50和100 SMA）上的移動平均值正在壓縮和向下彎曲，這通常會導致動量崩潰，尤其是當與扁平體積和褪色的看漲蠟燭配對時。最近的Heikin Ashi蠟燭是小型且傾斜的看跌，表明公牛隊正在失去蒸汽，甚至沒有捍衛日內彈跳。

The hourly ADL is declining, further confirming the lack of demand at current price levels. Retail interest appears low, and there’s no sign of whale-driven accumulation on this timeframe either.

每小時的ADL正在下降，進一步證實了當前價格水平的需求不足。零售利息似乎很低，並且在此時間表上也沒有鯨魚驅動的積累跡象。

Key Support and Resistance Levels to Watch

關鍵支持和電阻水平要觀看

Immediate support lies at $82,000, which has been tested several times over the past few sessions. A decisive break below this level could trigger a sharp selloff down to $78,500, with a psychological and structural support zone around $75,000. If that fails, then the long-feared move toward $69,000–$60,000 could come into play quickly.

即時支持為82,000美元，在過去的幾次會議上已經進行了幾次測試。低於此水平的決定性突破可能會導致急劇下降到78,500美元，其心理和結構支持區約為75,000美元。如果失敗了，那麼長期以來朝著69,000美元至60,000美元的轉移可能會很快發揮作用。

On the upside, resistance sits heavy around $84,500, followed by $86,900, both marked by the daily 20 and 50 SMA zones. Only a break above $87,500–$88,000, backed by volume, would confirm a bullish reversal and negate the current bearish setup.

從好的方面來說，電阻佔84,500美元左右，其次是86,900美元，均為每日20和50 SMA區。僅在$ 87,500- $ 88,000的$ 87,500- $ 88,000的支持下，就可以證實看漲的逆轉並否定當前的看跌設置。

What Do the Indicators Suggest?

指標暗示什麼？

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is approaching oversold territory, indicating that bears have gained a strong foothold in the market.

每日圖表上的相對強度指數（RSI）接近超賣領土，表明熊在市場上取得了強大的立足點。

The MACD on the 1-hour chart has crossed below the signal line, signaling a potential shift in momentum in favor of the bears.

1小時圖表上的MACD已越過信號線以下，這表明動量的潛在轉移，有利於熊。

Bitcoin Price Prediction: What’s Next for April?

比特幣價格預測：四月的下一步是什麼？

Short-Term Outlook (Next 48–72 hours): If $82,000 fails, expect a fast drop to $78,000 or lower. If bulls hold the line and reclaim $84,500 with volume, we might see a short-term bounce to $87K.

短期前景（接下來的48-72小時）：如果$ 82,000失敗，預計會快速下降至78,000美元或更低。如果公牛隊持有這條線並以$ 84,500的價格收回，我們可能會看到短期反彈至$ 87,000。

Mid-Term Outlook (Next 1–2 weeks): Without a break above the 100-day SMA, Bitcoin price is at risk of cascading down to $75,000. Market sentiment is fragile, and macroeconomic news or ETF flows could tip the balance.

中期前景（接下來的1-2週）：沒有超過100天SMA的突破，比特幣價格有可能降至75,000美元的風險。市場情緒很脆弱，宏觀經濟新聞或ETF流可以使平衡保持平衡。

Long-Term Outlook (Rest of April 2025): If $75,000 breaks in April, then a full correction down to $60,000 is on the table. However, if bulls manage to regain $90K territory, it could open the door back to $100K.

長期前景（2025年4月的其餘時間）：如果4月份休息75,000美元，則桌上的全部更正下降至60,000美元。但是，如果公牛設法恢復了90萬美元的領土，它可能會將門打回10萬美元。

The Bottom Line

底線

The charts are clearly showing that Bitcoin price is at a critical juncture. The current

圖表清楚地表明，比特幣價格處於關鍵時刻。電流