比特币（BTC）价格预测：每日图表是否闪烁看跌警告？

比特币（BTC）目前正在剃须刀的边缘在$ 82,500的价格上跳舞，而交易员正在紧张地关注。经过一段时间的整合后，加密巨人巨人表现出弱点的早期迹象 - 提出了一个问题：比特币的价格是否准备将其深入降至60,000美元，还是这是下一次集会之前的熊陷阱？让我们研究每日和每小时的图表，以解码BTC下一步重大举动的真相。

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading on razor-thin support at $82,500, a level that has seen some volatile action in recent sessions. After a period of sideways consolidation, the crypto giant is showing early signs of weakness. But the question on everyone’s mind is: Is Bitcoin preparing for a substantial drop to $60,000, or is this a bear trap before the next rally?

比特币（BTC）目前正在以82,500美元的价格交易剃须刀 - 薄薄的支撑，这一水平在最近的会议上已经发生了一些动荡的行动。经过一段时间的侧向整合，加密巨头表现出了早期的虚弱迹象。但是每个人都想到的问题是：比特币正在准备大幅下降至60,000美元，还是这是下一次集会之前的熊陷阱？

To better understand BTC’s next major move, let’s examine both the daily and hourly charts closely.

为了更好地了解BTC的下一个重大举措，让我们仔细检查日常图表。

Bitcoin Struggles Below Key Resistances

比特币挣扎在关键阻力以下

As seen on the daily chart, Heikin Ashi candles are small-bodied and in the red, lacking direction and momentum. Price action remains below major resistances, including the 20 SMA at $84,477, 50 SMA at $86,921, and 100 SMA at $92,808. This alignment suggests a bearish structure where each rally is being sold into.

从每日图表上可以看到，海金·阿什（Heikin Ashi）的蜡烛小巧，处于红色，缺乏方向和动力。价格行动仍低于主要电阻，其中包括20个SMA，价格为84,477美元，50 SMA为$ 86,921和100 SMA，价格为92,808美元。这种对齐表明，每次集会都被出售给一个看跌结构。

The failure to reclaim the 100-day SMA multiple times indicates sustained selling pressure, likely from institutions and swing traders. The presence of the 200 SMA below current price around $86,675 had acted as temporary support in March, but it has now turned neutral as price hovers well below it.

未能多次收回100天的SMA表明持续的销售压力，可能来自机构和摇摆交易员。 3月份，当前价格低于86,675美元的200 SMA的存在是临时的支持，但由于价格徘徊在远低于它的情况下，现在已经变成中立。

The ADL (Accumulation/Distribution Line) has sharply dropped, confirming distribution over accumulation. This means that even during slight upward moves, smart money has been offloading, not adding to positions. Without a turn in the ADL, any bounce is suspect.

ADL（累积/分配线）已急剧下降，证实了分布在积累上。这意味着，即使在轻微的向上移动期间，智能货币也一直在下载，而不是增加位置。无需转弯，任何反弹都是可疑的。

Bitcoin Grinds Lower on the 1-Hour Chart

比特币在1小时图表上磨损较低

Zooming into the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin is showing a slow, controlled bleed. After peaking briefly around $87K on April 2nd, BTC experienced sharp rejection and has since been forming lower highs. The recent attempt to climb was stopped cleanly at the 200 SMA near $83,300, confirming it as short-term resistance.

缩放到1小时的图表中，比特币显示出缓慢，控制的出血。在4月2日的$ 87K左右达到顶峰之后，BTC经历了敏锐的拒绝，此后一直形成较低的高点。最近的攀爬尝试在200美元接近83,300美元的200 SMA上被干净地停止，证实了这是短期抵抗。

The moving averages on the hourly (20, 50, and 100 SMA) are compressing and curving downward, which typically leads to momentum breakdowns, especially when paired with flat volume and fading bullish candles. The most recent Heikin Ashi candles are small-bodied and leaning bearish, showing that the bulls are losing steam and failing to defend even intraday bounces.

每小时（20、50和100 SMA）上的移动平均值正在压缩和向下弯曲，这通常会导致动量崩溃，尤其是当与扁平体积和褪色的看涨蜡烛配对时。最近的Heikin Ashi蜡烛是小型且倾斜的看跌，表明公牛队正在失去蒸汽，甚至没有捍卫日内弹跳。

The hourly ADL is declining, further confirming the lack of demand at current price levels. Retail interest appears low, and there’s no sign of whale-driven accumulation on this timeframe either.

每小时的ADL正在下降，进一步证实了当前价格水平的需求不足。零售利息似乎很低，并且在此时间表上也没有鲸鱼驱动的积累迹象。

Key Support and Resistance Levels to Watch

关键支持和电阻水平要观看

Immediate support lies at $82,000, which has been tested several times over the past few sessions. A decisive break below this level could trigger a sharp selloff down to $78,500, with a psychological and structural support zone around $75,000. If that fails, then the long-feared move toward $69,000–$60,000 could come into play quickly.

即时支持为82,000美元，在过去的几次会议上已经进行了几次测试。低于此水平的决定性突破可能会导致急剧下降到78,500美元，其心理和结构支持区约为75,000美元。如果失败了，那么长期以来朝着69,000美元至60,000美元的转移可能会很快发挥作用。

On the upside, resistance sits heavy around $84,500, followed by $86,900, both marked by the daily 20 and 50 SMA zones. Only a break above $87,500–$88,000, backed by volume, would confirm a bullish reversal and negate the current bearish setup.

从好的方面来说，电阻占84,500美元左右，其次是86,900美元，均为每日20和50 SMA区。仅在$ 87,500- $ 88,000的$ 87,500- $ 88,000的支持下，就可以证实看涨的逆转并否定当前的看跌设置。

What Do the Indicators Suggest?

指标暗示什么？

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is approaching oversold territory, indicating that bears have gained a strong foothold in the market.

每日图表上的相对强度指数（RSI）接近超卖领土，表明熊在市场上取得了强大的立足点。

The MACD on the 1-hour chart has crossed below the signal line, signaling a potential shift in momentum in favor of the bears.

1小时图表上的MACD已越过信号线以下，这表明动量的潜在转移，有利于熊。

Bitcoin Price Prediction: What’s Next for April?

比特币价格预测：四月的下一步是什么？

Short-Term Outlook (Next 48–72 hours): If $82,000 fails, expect a fast drop to $78,000 or lower. If bulls hold the line and reclaim $84,500 with volume, we might see a short-term bounce to $87K.

短期前景（接下来的48-72小时）：如果$ 82,000失败，预计会快速下降至78,000美元或更低。如果公牛队持有这条线并以$ 84,500的价格收回，我们可能会看到短期反弹至$ 87,000。

Mid-Term Outlook (Next 1–2 weeks): Without a break above the 100-day SMA, Bitcoin price is at risk of cascading down to $75,000. Market sentiment is fragile, and macroeconomic news or ETF flows could tip the balance.

中期前景（接下来的1-2周）：没有超过100天SMA的突破，比特币价格有可能降至75,000美元的风险。市场情绪很脆弱，宏观经济新闻或ETF流可以使平衡保持平衡。

Long-Term Outlook (Rest of April 2025): If $75,000 breaks in April, then a full correction down to $60,000 is on the table. However, if bulls manage to regain $90K territory, it could open the door back to $100K.

长期前景（2025年4月的其余时间）：如果4月份休息75,000美元，则桌上的全部更正下降至60,000美元。但是，如果公牛设法恢复了90万美元的领土，它可能会将门打回10万美元。

The Bottom Line

底线

The charts are clearly showing that Bitcoin price is at a critical juncture. The current

图表清楚地表明，比特币价格处于关键时刻。电流