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2024 年可能成為比特幣歷史上的一個重要里程碑,預計這種著名的加密貨幣的價格將超過 80,000 美元。
2024 could be a pivotal year in Bitcoin's history, with projections placing the renowned cryptocurrency at levels above $80,000. As November approaches, analysts and experts observe clear signs of an impending爆発 in macroeconomic indicators andチャートtrends. What are the underlying factors at play, and what can we anticipate in the coming weeks and months?
2024 年可能是比特幣歷史上關鍵的一年,預計這種著名的加密貨幣的價格將超過 80,000 美元。隨著11月的臨近,分析師和專家觀察到宏觀經濟指標和趨勢即將爆發的明顯跡象。影響的根本因素是什麼?
A favorable alignment of economic conditions
有利的經濟條件
The foundations of Bitcoin's anticipated surge are not limited to mere speculation. Several factors, including global economic indicators, are actively influencing the cryptocurrency's trajectory. The current scenario appears favorable for a substantial appreciation of the crypto asset.
比特幣預期飆升的基礎不僅限於猜測。包括全球經濟指標在內的幾個因素正在積極影響加密貨幣的發展軌跡。目前的情況似乎有利於加密資產的大幅升值。
Among these indicators, the role of US monetary policy is paramount. Interest rates, inflation figures, and retail sales in the United States are factors that directly influence the market for risky assets, including Bitcoin.
在這些指標中,美國貨幣政策的角色最為重要。美國的利率、通膨數據和零售銷售是直接影響包括比特幣在內的風險資產市場的因素。
In this context, it is also essential to note the inverse correlation between the US dollar and Bitcoin. Historically, when the dollar strengthens, Bitcoin tends to correct. However, the current trend showcases a partial decoupling: despite a recent rally by the dollar, Bitcoin has continued its progression.
在這種情況下,還必須注意美元和比特幣之間的負相關性。從歷史上看,當美元走強時,比特幣往往會回調。然而,當前的趨勢顯示出部分脫鉤:儘管美元最近上漲,但比特幣仍在繼續發展。
This marks an impressive display of strength by Bitcoin, indicating that investors are willing to support its ascent despite headwinds in traditional monetary markets.
這標誌著比特幣令人印象深刻的實力展示,顯示儘管傳統貨幣市場面臨阻力,投資者仍願意支持其上漲。
Bitcoin: A technical analysis that speaks volumes
比特幣:意義重大的技術分析
A technical analysis of the Bitcoin market further substantiates the optimistic predictions. Bitcoin's chart is currently forming a "Bull Flag," a classic indication of trend continuation. If this pattern unfolds as anticipated, it could propel Bitcoin to yet-unseen heights.
對比特幣市場的技術分析進一步證實了樂觀的預測。比特幣的圖表目前正在形成“牛市旗”,這是趨勢延續的經典指標。如果這種模式按預期展開,它可能會將比特幣推向前所未有的高度。
However, it would be prudent to acknowledge the potential for short-term corrections. Bitcoin is currently approaching several critical resistance zones, ranging from $68,000 to $70,000.
然而,謹慎的做法是承認短期修正的可能性。比特幣目前正在接近幾個關鍵阻力區,從 68,000 美元到 70,000 美元。
A slight pullback may occur before a strong rebound. Key supports, particularly those around $65,000, act as anchors for the cryptocurrency before its next surge. Once these resistances are breached, the crypto is likely to swiftly ascend towards $80,000 and beyond.
在強勁反彈之前可能會出現小幅回調。關鍵支撐位,尤其是 65,000 美元左右的支撐位,在加密貨幣下一次飆升之前起到了錨定作用。一旦突破這些阻力,加密貨幣可能會迅速升至 80,000 美元甚至更高。
Institutional enthusiasm for Bitcoin is another crucial factor. Bitcoin Spot transactions (direct purchases) are notably increasing, while sell transactions are declining.
機構對比特幣的熱情是另一個關鍵因素。比特幣現貨交易(直接購買)顯著增加,而出售交易則下降。
This dynamic indicates that "whales," deep-pocketed institutional investors, are continuing to strengthen their positions, which helps sustain prices at high levels.
這種動態表明,財力雄厚的機構投資者「鯨魚」正在繼續加強其頭寸,這有助於將價格維持在高位。
Anticipating the final stretch of 2024
預計 2024 年最後階段
If Bitcoin manages to cross the $70,000 threshold, the path to $80,000 could be relatively clear. But what's fascinating about this scenario is that the "masses," referring to the general public, have not yet fully re-entered the market.
如果比特幣能夠突破 7 萬美元的門檻,那麼通往 8 萬美元的道路可能相對清晰。但這種情況的有趣之處在於,“大眾”,指的是普通大眾,尚未完全重新進入市場。
Institutions are leading the dance, and it's only from $80,000 to $100,000 that retail investors will return en masse, driven by media coverage and general enthusiasm.
機構在引領這股潮流,在媒體報導和普遍熱情的推動下,散戶投資者只會集體回歸 8 萬美元到 10 萬美元。
In the longer term, investors should also watch for the "altcoin season." Currently, Bitcoin dominates the cryptocurrency market, but once its surge stabilizes, investors will start to shift their attention towards altcoins, presenting a new wave of opportunities in these secondary assets. Ethereum, in particular, is displaying signs of an ascending triangle, a potentially bullish signal that could manifest as early as November.
從長遠來看,投資者也應該關注「山寨幣季節」。目前,比特幣在加密貨幣市場中佔據主導地位,但一旦其飆升穩定下來,投資者將開始將注意力轉向山寨幣,為這些二級資產帶來新一波機會。尤其是以太坊,正顯示出上升三角形的跡象,這是一個潛在的看漲信號,最早可能在 11 月顯現出來。
Finally, it's important to remember that every bull market in the cryptocurrency domain is followed by a bear phase. This is an inherent characteristic of these markets. Those seeking to maximize their gains will need to remain vigilant and consider timely exit strategies, lest they see their profits vanish as quickly as they appeared.
最後,重要的是要記住,加密貨幣領域的每個牛市都會伴隨著熊市階段。這是這些市場的固有特徵。那些尋求收益最大化的人需要保持警惕,並考慮及時的退出策略,以免利潤出現時迅速消失。
In summary, everything seems set for Bitcoin to experience a spectacular November. With favorable macroeconomic conditions and strong technical signals, the chances of the cryptocurrency reaching, or even exceeding, $80,000 by the end of 2024 are particularly high. However, as always in the crypto world, caution and anticipation remain essential. In related news, Donald Trump's family is reportedly taking 75% of the crypto gains from its project!
總而言之,一切似乎都準備就緒,比特幣將經歷一個精彩的 11 月。憑藉有利的宏觀經濟條件和強勁的技術訊號,加密貨幣在 2024 年底達到甚至超過 8 萬美元的機會特別高。然而,與加密貨幣世界一樣,謹慎和預期仍然至關重要。在相關新聞中,據報唐納德·川普的家族從其項目中獲得了 75% 的加密貨幣收益!
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Having been fascinated by Bitcoin since 2017, Evariste has been actively covering the cryptocurrency domain. While his initial interest sparked in trading, he now endeavors to grasp all aspects of crypto-centered developments. As a writer, he perpetually strives to deliver high-quality work that reflects the state of the broader industry.
自 2017 年起對比特幣著迷以來,Evariste 一直積極涉足加密貨幣領域。雖然他最初對交易產生了興趣,但現在他努力掌握以加密貨幣為中心的發展的各個方面。作為一名作家,他始終致力於提供反映更廣泛行業狀況的高品質作品。
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