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2024 年可能成为比特币历史上的一个重要里程碑,预计这种著名的加密货币的价格将超过 80,000 美元。
2024 could be a pivotal year in Bitcoin's history, with projections placing the renowned cryptocurrency at levels above $80,000. As November approaches, analysts and experts observe clear signs of an impending爆発 in macroeconomic indicators andチャートtrends. What are the underlying factors at play, and what can we anticipate in the coming weeks and months?
2024 年可能是比特币历史上关键的一年,预计这种著名的加密货币的价格将超过 80,000 美元。随着11月的临近,分析师和专家观察到宏观经济指标和趋势即将爆发的明显迹象。影响的根本因素是什么?未来几周和几个月我们可以预期什么?
A favorable alignment of economic conditions
有利的经济条件
The foundations of Bitcoin's anticipated surge are not limited to mere speculation. Several factors, including global economic indicators, are actively influencing the cryptocurrency's trajectory. The current scenario appears favorable for a substantial appreciation of the crypto asset.
比特币预期飙升的基础不仅限于猜测。包括全球经济指标在内的几个因素正在积极影响加密货币的发展轨迹。当前的情况似乎有利于加密资产的大幅升值。
Among these indicators, the role of US monetary policy is paramount. Interest rates, inflation figures, and retail sales in the United States are factors that directly influence the market for risky assets, including Bitcoin.
在这些指标中,美国货币政策的作用最为重要。美国的利率、通胀数据和零售销售是直接影响包括比特币在内的风险资产市场的因素。
In this context, it is also essential to note the inverse correlation between the US dollar and Bitcoin. Historically, when the dollar strengthens, Bitcoin tends to correct. However, the current trend showcases a partial decoupling: despite a recent rally by the dollar, Bitcoin has continued its progression.
在这种情况下,还必须注意美元和比特币之间的负相关性。从历史上看,当美元走强时,比特币往往会回调。然而,当前的趋势显示出部分脱钩:尽管美元最近上涨,但比特币仍在继续发展。
This marks an impressive display of strength by Bitcoin, indicating that investors are willing to support its ascent despite headwinds in traditional monetary markets.
这标志着比特币令人印象深刻的实力展示,表明尽管传统货币市场面临阻力,投资者仍愿意支持其上涨。
Bitcoin: A technical analysis that speaks volumes
比特币:意义重大的技术分析
A technical analysis of the Bitcoin market further substantiates the optimistic predictions. Bitcoin's chart is currently forming a "Bull Flag," a classic indication of trend continuation. If this pattern unfolds as anticipated, it could propel Bitcoin to yet-unseen heights.
对比特币市场的技术分析进一步证实了乐观的预测。比特币的图表目前正在形成“牛市旗”,这是趋势延续的经典指标。如果这种模式按预期展开,它可能会将比特币推向前所未有的高度。
However, it would be prudent to acknowledge the potential for short-term corrections. Bitcoin is currently approaching several critical resistance zones, ranging from $68,000 to $70,000.
然而,谨慎的做法是承认短期修正的可能性。比特币目前正在接近几个关键阻力区,范围从 68,000 美元到 70,000 美元。
A slight pullback may occur before a strong rebound. Key supports, particularly those around $65,000, act as anchors for the cryptocurrency before its next surge. Once these resistances are breached, the crypto is likely to swiftly ascend towards $80,000 and beyond.
在强劲反弹之前可能会出现小幅回调。关键支撑位,尤其是 65,000 美元左右的支撑位,在加密货币下一次飙升之前起到了锚定作用。一旦突破这些阻力,加密货币可能会迅速升至 80,000 美元甚至更高。
Institutional enthusiasm for Bitcoin is another crucial factor. Bitcoin Spot transactions (direct purchases) are notably increasing, while sell transactions are declining.
机构对比特币的热情是另一个关键因素。比特币现货交易(直接购买)显着增加,而出售交易则下降。
This dynamic indicates that "whales," deep-pocketed institutional investors, are continuing to strengthen their positions, which helps sustain prices at high levels.
这种动态表明,财力雄厚的机构投资者“鲸鱼”正在继续加强其头寸,这有助于将价格维持在高位。
Anticipating the final stretch of 2024
预计 2024 年最后阶段
If Bitcoin manages to cross the $70,000 threshold, the path to $80,000 could be relatively clear. But what's fascinating about this scenario is that the "masses," referring to the general public, have not yet fully re-entered the market.
如果比特币能够突破 70,000 美元的门槛,那么通往 80,000 美元的道路可能相对清晰。但这种情况的有趣之处在于,“大众”,指的是普通大众,尚未完全重新进入市场。
Institutions are leading the dance, and it's only from $80,000 to $100,000 that retail investors will return en masse, driven by media coverage and general enthusiasm.
机构在引领这股潮流,在媒体报道和普遍热情的推动下,散户投资者只会集体回归 80,000 美元到 100,000 美元。
In the longer term, investors should also watch for the "altcoin season." Currently, Bitcoin dominates the cryptocurrency market, but once its surge stabilizes, investors will start to shift their attention towards altcoins, presenting a new wave of opportunities in these secondary assets. Ethereum, in particular, is displaying signs of an ascending triangle, a potentially bullish signal that could manifest as early as November.
从长远来看,投资者还应该关注“山寨币季节”。目前,比特币在加密货币市场中占据主导地位,但一旦其飙升稳定下来,投资者将开始将注意力转向山寨币,从而为这些二级资产带来新一波机会。尤其是以太坊,正显示出上升三角形的迹象,这是一个潜在的看涨信号,最早可能在 11 月显现出来。
Finally, it's important to remember that every bull market in the cryptocurrency domain is followed by a bear phase. This is an inherent characteristic of these markets. Those seeking to maximize their gains will need to remain vigilant and consider timely exit strategies, lest they see their profits vanish as quickly as they appeared.
最后,重要的是要记住,加密货币领域的每个牛市都会伴随着熊市阶段。这是这些市场的固有特征。那些寻求收益最大化的人需要保持警惕,并考虑及时的退出策略,以免利润出现时迅速消失。
In summary, everything seems set for Bitcoin to experience a spectacular November. With favorable macroeconomic conditions and strong technical signals, the chances of the cryptocurrency reaching, or even exceeding, $80,000 by the end of 2024 are particularly high. However, as always in the crypto world, caution and anticipation remain essential. In related news, Donald Trump's family is reportedly taking 75% of the crypto gains from its project!
总而言之,一切似乎都已准备就绪,比特币将经历一个精彩的 11 月。凭借有利的宏观经济条件和强劲的技术信号,加密货币在 2024 年底达到甚至超过 80,000 美元的机会特别高。然而,与加密货币世界一样,谨慎和预期仍然至关重要。在相关新闻中,据报道唐纳德·特朗普的家族从其项目中获得了 75% 的加密货币收益!
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Having been fascinated by Bitcoin since 2017, Evariste has been actively covering the cryptocurrency domain. While his initial interest sparked in trading, he now endeavors to grasp all aspects of crypto-centered developments. As a writer, he perpetually strives to deliver high-quality work that reflects the state of the broader industry.
自 2017 年起对比特币着迷以来,Evariste 一直积极涉足加密货币领域。虽然他最初对交易产生了兴趣,但现在他努力掌握以加密货币为中心的发展的各个方面。作为一名作家,他始终致力于提供反映更广泛行业状况的高质量作品。
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