比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC面對$ 80K至89K $ 89K的關鍵測試

昨天，比特幣經歷了強烈的波動性，在幾個小時內下跌至82,000美元，飆升至88,000美元以上。

Bitcoin experienced intense volatility on Wednesday, surging above $88,000 within sight of the crucial psychological level. However, the cryptocurrency quickly lost steam and plunged below $82,000 within a few hours.

比特幣在周三經歷了強烈的波動，在關鍵的心理水平上飆升了88,000美元。但是，加密貨幣很快就失去了動力，並在幾個小時內下降到82,000美元以下。

The massive swing came as U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on what he declared “Liberation Day,” sparking fresh fear across global markets. Global stocks tumbled in response, and risk assets - including Bitcoin - also saw sharp intraday moves.

巨大的揮桿是因為美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布了他宣佈為“解放日”的新關稅，這在全球市場上引發了新的恐懼。全球股票的響應跌落，風險資產（包括比特幣）也看到了急劇的盤中動作。

According to Daan, crypto analyst and host of the 'Best Node' podcast, there are mixed signals. While Michael Saylor recently made a $2 billion BTC purchase and several other large buys came in, a slight Coinbase Spot Discount remains in play, which is usually a lagging indicator.

戴安（Daan）的說法，加密分析師兼“最佳節點”播客的主持人，有混合信號。儘管邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）最近購買了20億美元的BTC購買，而其他幾個大型購買也進來了，但少量的共插入現貨折扣仍在起作用，這通常是一個落後的指標。

According to Daan, a strong bullish signal would be for Coinbase’s spot price to lead again, which indicates interest from U.S. buyers and ETF participants. If the discount closes and spot prices rise, it could mark the return of strong demand and signal the start of a new bullish phase.

根據Daan的說法，強烈的看漲信號將是Coinbase的現貨價格再次領先，這表明美國買家和ETF參與者的興趣。如果折扣結束和現貨價格上漲，它可能標誌著強勁需求的回報，並表示新看漲階段的開始。

However, if the discount remains and the futures prices continue to trade at a premium, it suggests that U.S. investors are still relatively inactive and the broader trend remains fragile.

但是，如果折扣仍然存在並且期貨價格繼續以溢價交易，則表明美國投資者仍然相對不活躍，並且更廣泛的趨勢仍然脆弱。

According to Daan, ETF inflows have also been relatively flat in recent weeks, offering little additional momentum to the market.

根據Daan的說法，最近幾週ETF流入也相對平坦，幾乎沒有給市場的額外動力。

“Once we see institutional demand return in full force and sustain above-average levels for a few months, we can expect to see Bitcoin stabilize and rebound from this correction. Until then, traders will remain on edge, watching closely for the next move in a highly unstable market,” Daan said.

Daan說：“一旦我們看到機構需求全力恢復並在幾個月內維持高於平均水平的水平，我們就可以期望比特幣從這種糾正中穩定和反彈。在那之前，交易者將保持邊緣，密切關注在高度不穩定的市場中下一步行動，” Daan說。

Bitcoin Is Crucially Pivoting Between $80K and $89K

比特幣至關重要的是在$ 80K到89K之間

Bitcoin is currently at a critical crossroads, caught in a tight range as bulls struggle to reclaim higher ground above $89,000 while bears fail to push the price below the key $80,000 support. This standoff comes amid rising macroeconomic uncertainty and growing trade war fears, with U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent tariff announcements continuing to rattle global markets.

比特幣目前處於關鍵的十字路口狀態，由於公牛隊難以在89,000美元以上的較高地面上收穫更高的地面，而熊則無法將價格推高低於80,000美元的支持。這一僵局是由於宏觀經濟不確定性的增加和貿易戰的恐懼越來越大，美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）最近的關稅公告繼續彌補全球市場。

As a high-risk and volatile asset, Bitcoin remains especially vulnerable to these developments, amplifying investor caution. However, despite this uncertainty, there are signs of resilience. Bulls have managed to defend crucial support zones, and selling pressure appears to be weakening.

作為一種高風險和動蕩的資產，比特幣仍然特別容易受到這些發展的影響，從而擴大了投資者的謹慎。但是，儘管存在這種不確定性，但仍有彈性的跡象。公牛設法捍衛了關鍵的支持區，銷售壓力似乎正在減弱。

Many traders are closely watching for confirmation of a shift in momentum that could support a broader recovery. According to Daan, the market is still showing mixed signals.

許多交易者正在密切關注確認勢頭轉變，這可以支持更廣泛的恢復。根據丹恩（Daan）的說法，市場仍在顯示混合信號。

Even with Michael Saylor’s recent $2 billion Bitcoin purchase and additional large buyers stepping in, a slight Coinbase Spot Discount remains in play—a sign that U.S. investor demand has yet to catch up.

即使邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）最近購買了20億美元的比特幣購買，並增加了大型買家，但少量的共同點折扣仍在起作用，這表明美國投資者需求尚未追趕。

According to Daan, a strong bullish signal would be for Coinbase’s spot price to lead again, which indicates interest from U.S. buyers and ETF participants. If the discount closes and spot prices rise, it could mark the return of strong demand and signal the start of a new bullish phase.

根據Daan的說法，強烈的看漲信號將是Coinbase的現貨價格再次領先，這表明美國買家和ETF參與者的興趣。如果折扣結束和現貨價格上漲，它可能標誌著強勁需求的回報，並表示新看漲階段的開始。

However, if the discount remains and the futures prices continue to trade at a premium, it suggests that U.S. investors are still relatively inactive and the broader trend remains fragile.

但是，如果折扣仍然存在並且期貨價格繼續以溢價交易，則表明美國投資者仍然相對不活躍，並且更廣泛的趨勢仍然脆弱。

According to Daan, ETF inflows have also been relatively flat in recent weeks, offering little additional momentum to the market.

根據Daan的說法，最近幾週ETF流入也相對平坦，幾乎沒有給市場的額外動力。

“Once we see institutional demand return in full force and sustain above-average levels for a few months, we can expect to see Bitcoin stabilize and rebound from this correction. Until then, traders will remain on edge, watching closely for the next move in a highly unstable market,” Daan said.

Daan說：“一旦我們看到機構需求全力恢復並在幾個月內維持高於平均水平的水平，我們就可以期望比特幣從這種糾正中穩定和反彈。在那之前，交易者將保持邊緣，密切關注在高度不穩定的市場中下一步行動，” Daan說。

Price Tests Key Support After Volatile Rejection from $88K Level

價格測試從8.8K $ 88K的波動拒絕後的主要支持

Bitcoin is trading at $83,600 after a highly volatile Wednesday, during which the price briefly surged toward $88,000 before sharply reversing. Bulls failed to hold the breakout, and BTC dropped over 8% in just a few hours, reinforcing the current consolidation range below key resistance levels.

在周三發生了極大的波動之後，比特幣的交易價格為83,600美元，在此期間，價格短暫飆升至88,000美元，然後大幅顛倒。公牛隊未能保持突破，而BTC在短短幾個小時內下降了8％以上，從而增強了當前的合併範圍以下關鍵阻力水平以下。

The sudden rejection highlighted the market’s fragility and the continued struggle to regain bullish momentum. To confirm a recovery phase, Bitcoin must reclaim the 200-day moving average (MA) and exponential moving average (EMA), both of which are currently around the $86,500 level.

突然的拒絕強調了市場的脆弱性，並繼續努力恢復看漲的勢頭。為了確認恢復階段，比特幣必須收回200天的移動平均線（MA）和指數移動平均線（EMA），這兩者目前均約為86,500美元。

A decisive move above this zone would be a strong signal that bulls are regaining control and could push BTC toward retesting the $90,000 mark. However, if BTC fails to reclaim these levels soon, the risk of further downside remains high.

在該區域上方的決定性舉動將是一個強烈的信號，表明公牛正在恢復控制權，並可能推動BTC重新測試90,000美元。但是，如果BTC很快未能恢復這些水平，那麼進一步的缺點的風險仍然很高。

A break below the $81,000 support level would likely trigger increased selling pressure and potentially open the door to a deeper correction.

低於$ 81,000的支持水平的休息可能會觸發銷售壓力增加，並有可能為更深入的校正打開大門。

With macroeconomic uncertainty and ongoing trade war fears still weighing on investor sentiment, Bitcoin’s next move remains highly uncertain — and critical in defining the direction for the weeks ahead. Bulls must act quickly to prevent a deeper slide and restore

由於宏觀經濟的不確定性和持續的貿易戰恐懼仍在影響投資者的情緒，因此比特幣的下一步行動仍然高度不確定，這對於定義未來幾週的方向至關重要。公牛必須迅速採取行動以防止更深的滑梯和恢復