比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC面对$ 80K至89K $ 89K的关键测试

昨天，比特币经历了强烈的波动性，在几个小时内下跌至82,000美元，飙升至88,000美元以上。

Bitcoin experienced intense volatility on Wednesday, surging above $88,000 within sight of the crucial psychological level. However, the cryptocurrency quickly lost steam and plunged below $82,000 within a few hours.

比特币在周三经历了强烈的波动，在关键的心理水平上飙升了88,000美元。但是，加密货币很快就失去了动力，并在几个小时内下降到82,000美元以下。

The massive swing came as U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on what he declared “Liberation Day,” sparking fresh fear across global markets. Global stocks tumbled in response, and risk assets - including Bitcoin - also saw sharp intraday moves.

巨大的挥杆是因为美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）宣布了他宣布为“解放日”的新关税，这在全球市场上引发了新的恐惧。全球股票的响应跌落，风险资产（包括比特币）也看到了急剧的盘中动作。

According to Daan, crypto analyst and host of the 'Best Node' podcast, there are mixed signals. While Michael Saylor recently made a $2 billion BTC purchase and several other large buys came in, a slight Coinbase Spot Discount remains in play, which is usually a lagging indicator.

戴安（Daan）的说法，加密分析师兼“最佳节点”播客的主持人，有混合信号。尽管迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）最近购买了20亿美元的BTC购买，而其他几个大型购买也进来了，但少量的共插入现货折扣仍在起作用，这通常是一个落后的指标。

According to Daan, a strong bullish signal would be for Coinbase’s spot price to lead again, which indicates interest from U.S. buyers and ETF participants. If the discount closes and spot prices rise, it could mark the return of strong demand and signal the start of a new bullish phase.

根据Daan的说法，强烈的看涨信号将是Coinbase的现货价格再次领先，这表明美国买家和ETF参与者的兴趣。如果折扣结束和现货价格上涨，它可能标志着强劲需求的回报，并表示新看涨阶段的开始。

However, if the discount remains and the futures prices continue to trade at a premium, it suggests that U.S. investors are still relatively inactive and the broader trend remains fragile.

但是，如果折扣仍然存在并且期货价格继续以溢价交易，则表明美国投资者仍然相对不活跃，并且更广泛的趋势仍然脆弱。

According to Daan, ETF inflows have also been relatively flat in recent weeks, offering little additional momentum to the market.

根据Daan的说法，最近几周ETF流入也相对平坦，几乎没有给市场的额外动力。

“Once we see institutional demand return in full force and sustain above-average levels for a few months, we can expect to see Bitcoin stabilize and rebound from this correction. Until then, traders will remain on edge, watching closely for the next move in a highly unstable market,” Daan said.

Daan说：“一旦我们看到机构需求全力恢复并在几个月内维持高于平均水平的水平，我们就可以期望比特币从这种纠正中稳定和反弹。在那之前，交易者将保持边缘，密切关注在高度不稳定的市场中下一步行动，” Daan说。

Bitcoin Is Crucially Pivoting Between $80K and $89K

比特币至关重要的是在$ 80K到89K之间

Bitcoin is currently at a critical crossroads, caught in a tight range as bulls struggle to reclaim higher ground above $89,000 while bears fail to push the price below the key $80,000 support. This standoff comes amid rising macroeconomic uncertainty and growing trade war fears, with U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent tariff announcements continuing to rattle global markets.

比特币目前处于关键的十字路口状态，由于公牛队难以在89,000美元以上的较高地面上收获更高的地面，而熊则无法将价格推高低于80,000美元的支持。这一僵局是由于宏观经济不确定性的增加和贸易战的恐惧越来越大，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）最近的关税公告继续弥补全球市场。

As a high-risk and volatile asset, Bitcoin remains especially vulnerable to these developments, amplifying investor caution. However, despite this uncertainty, there are signs of resilience. Bulls have managed to defend crucial support zones, and selling pressure appears to be weakening.

作为一种高风险和动荡的资产，比特币仍然特别容易受到这些发展的影响，从而扩大了投资者的谨慎。但是，尽管存在这种不确定性，但仍有弹性的迹象。公牛设法捍卫了关键的支持区，销售压力似乎正在减弱。

Many traders are closely watching for confirmation of a shift in momentum that could support a broader recovery. According to Daan, the market is still showing mixed signals.

许多交易者正在密切关注确认势头转变，这可以支持更广泛的恢复。根据丹恩（Daan）的说法，市场仍在显示混合信号。

Even with Michael Saylor’s recent $2 billion Bitcoin purchase and additional large buyers stepping in, a slight Coinbase Spot Discount remains in play—a sign that U.S. investor demand has yet to catch up.

即使迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）最近购买了20亿美元的比特币购买，并增加了大型买家，但少量的共同点折扣仍在起作用，这表明美国投资者需求尚未追赶。

According to Daan, a strong bullish signal would be for Coinbase’s spot price to lead again, which indicates interest from U.S. buyers and ETF participants. If the discount closes and spot prices rise, it could mark the return of strong demand and signal the start of a new bullish phase.

根据Daan的说法，强烈的看涨信号将是Coinbase的现货价格再次领先，这表明美国买家和ETF参与者的兴趣。如果折扣结束和现货价格上涨，它可能标志着强劲需求的回报，并表示新看涨阶段的开始。

However, if the discount remains and the futures prices continue to trade at a premium, it suggests that U.S. investors are still relatively inactive and the broader trend remains fragile.

但是，如果折扣仍然存在并且期货价格继续以溢价交易，则表明美国投资者仍然相对不活跃，并且更广泛的趋势仍然脆弱。

According to Daan, ETF inflows have also been relatively flat in recent weeks, offering little additional momentum to the market.

根据Daan的说法，最近几周ETF流入也相对平坦，几乎没有给市场的额外动力。

“Once we see institutional demand return in full force and sustain above-average levels for a few months, we can expect to see Bitcoin stabilize and rebound from this correction. Until then, traders will remain on edge, watching closely for the next move in a highly unstable market,” Daan said.

Daan说：“一旦我们看到机构需求全力恢复并在几个月内维持高于平均水平的水平，我们就可以期望比特币从这种纠正中稳定和反弹。在那之前，交易者将保持边缘，密切关注在高度不稳定的市场中下一步行动，” Daan说。

Price Tests Key Support After Volatile Rejection from $88K Level

价格测试从8.8K $ 88K的波动拒绝后的主要支持

Bitcoin is trading at $83,600 after a highly volatile Wednesday, during which the price briefly surged toward $88,000 before sharply reversing. Bulls failed to hold the breakout, and BTC dropped over 8% in just a few hours, reinforcing the current consolidation range below key resistance levels.

在周三发生了极大的波动之后，比特币的交易价格为83,600美元，在此期间，价格短暂飙升至88,000美元，然后大幅颠倒。公牛队未能保持突破，而BTC在短短几个小时内下降了8％以上，从而增强了当前的合并范围以下关键阻力水平以下。

The sudden rejection highlighted the market’s fragility and the continued struggle to regain bullish momentum. To confirm a recovery phase, Bitcoin must reclaim the 200-day moving average (MA) and exponential moving average (EMA), both of which are currently around the $86,500 level.

突然的拒绝强调了市场的脆弱性，并继续努力恢复看涨的势头。为了确认恢复阶段，比特币必须收回200天的移动平均线（MA）和指数移动平均线（EMA），这两者目前均约为86,500美元。

A decisive move above this zone would be a strong signal that bulls are regaining control and could push BTC toward retesting the $90,000 mark. However, if BTC fails to reclaim these levels soon, the risk of further downside remains high.

在该区域上方的决定性举动将是一个强烈的信号，表明公牛正在恢复控制权，并可能推动BTC重新测试90,000美元。但是，如果BTC很快未能恢复这些水平，那么进一步的缺点的风险仍然很高。

A break below the $81,000 support level would likely trigger increased selling pressure and potentially open the door to a deeper correction.

低于$ 81,000的支持水平的休息可能会触发销售压力增加，并有可能为更深入的校正打开大门。

With macroeconomic uncertainty and ongoing trade war fears still weighing on investor sentiment, Bitcoin’s next move remains highly uncertain — and critical in defining the direction for the weeks ahead. Bulls must act quickly to prevent a deeper slide and restore

由于宏观经济的不确定性和持续的贸易战恐惧仍在影响投资者的情绪，因此比特币的下一步行动仍然高度不确定，这对于定义未来几周的方向至关重要。公牛必须迅速采取行动以防止更深的滑梯和恢复