比特幣（BTC）的價格下跌至每年78,258美元的新低點，展示了“最佳DCA機會”

比特幣（BTC）的價格下跌至每年的新低點78,258美元

Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped to a new yearly low of $78,258 on Feb. 27, leading some analysts to suggest that the cryptocurrency is now in an optimal purchasing zone.Bitcoin 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

比特幣（BTC）的價格下跌至2月27日的每年78,258美元，導致一些分析師暗示加密貨幣現在處於最佳購買區。Bitcoin1天圖表。資料來源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin’s 60-day RCV hints at low-risk accumulation

比特幣的60天RCV提示低風險積累

Crazzyblock, a Bitcoin trader and verified analyst on CryptoQuant said that Bitcoin’s 60-day RCV reached its lowest level of -1.9 in the chart, signaling an ‘optimal DCA opportunity’ for the first time since July 2024.

比特幣交易員和經過驗證的CryptoQuant分析師Crazzyblock表示，比特幣的60天RCV在圖表中達到了其最低水平-1.9，這表明自2024年7月以來，第一次是“最佳DCA機會”。

Bitcoin 60-day RCV chart. Source: CryptoQuant

比特幣60天RCV圖表。資料來源：加密

The 60-day realized value to market capitalization variance (RCV) is a metric that calculates the 60-day rolling average and standard deviation of BTC price. According to the metric, whenever the RCV value is below 0.30, it indicates a low-risk investment in the asset. A value between 0.30-0.50 implies a neutral environment, and above 0.5 means a high sell-off risk.

市值差異（RCV）的60天實現價值是計算BTC價格的60天滾動平均值和標準偏差的度量。根據度量標準，每當RCV值低於0.30時，它表示對資產的投資低風險。 0.30-0.50之間的值意味著中立的環境，高於0.5意味著高拋售風險。

The analyst pointed out that the metric has been historically accurate in identifying undervaluation and overvaluation trends for BTC, and the current normalized RCV value presents a favorable buying opportunity based on “historical risk-reward dynamics.” The BTC proponent added,

該分析師指出，該指標在歷史上一直在確定BTC的低估和高估趨勢方面是準確的，而當前的標準化RCV值則基於“歷史風險獎勵動態”提出了一個有利的購買機會。 BTC支持者添加了

In 2024, the RCV value flashed a DCA signal between May and July, where Bitcoin fluctuated between $70,000 and $50,000. Thus, it is essential to note that the RCV does not signal a bottom but highlights the low-risk, high probability of making gains in the long term.

2024年，RCV值在5月至7月之間閃爍了DCA信號，在那裡，比特幣波動在70,000美元至50,000美元之間。因此，必須注意的是，RCV不會向底部發出信號，而是突出顯示長期增長的低風險，高概率。

Crypto analyst Yonsei Dent pointed out that Bitcoin’s short-term holder SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio), which monitors realized profit or losses, had reached a sharp deviation below the lower Bolling Band.

Crypto分析師Yonses Dent指出，比特幣的短期持有人SOPR（支出的產出利潤率）監視實現利潤或損失，已經在低孔帶下達到了急劇的偏差。

Bitcoin SOPR range deviation data. Source: CryptoQuant

比特幣SOPR範圍偏差數據。資料來源：加密

Based on such deviations, BTC has registered a short-term rebound between 8%-42%, with recoveries also evident during the 2022 bear market.

基於此類偏差，BTC的短期反彈在8％-42％之間，在2022年熊市中也很明顯。

Related: How low can the Bitcoin price go?

相關：比特幣價格有多低？

Bitcoin wallets with 10+ BTC dump 6,813 coins

帶10+ BTC垃圾箱的比特幣錢包6,813硬幣

Data from Santiment suggests that BTC’s price has been correlated with the accumulation and distribution behavior of wallets holding 10+ BTC. Whenever these addresses accumulate, Bitcoin progressively increases in value.

來自Santiment的數據表明，BTC的價格與持有10+ BTC的錢包的累積和分佈行為相關。每當這些地址累積時，比特幣的價值逐漸增加。

Bitcoin whales and sharks accumulation chart by Santiment. Source: X.com

比特幣鯨和鯊魚通過santiment積累圖表。資料來源：X.com

Santiment also highlighted that the “key stakeholders” have dumped roughly 6,813 BTC over the past week, its most extensive distribution since July 2024.

Santiment還強調，“主要利益相關者”在過去一周中傾倒了大約6,813 BTC，這是自2024年7月以來最廣泛的分銷。

Similarly, Ki-Young Ju pointed out that Bitcoin’s spot ETF demand is weak, suggesting that a “price recovery could take some time.”

同樣，Ki-Young Ju指出，比特幣的ETF需求很弱，這表明“價格恢復可能需要一些時間”。