比特币（BTC）的价格下跌至每年78,258美元的新低点，展示了“最佳DCA机会”

比特币（BTC）的价格下跌至每年的新低点78,258美元

Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped to a new yearly low of $78,258 on Feb. 27, leading some analysts to suggest that the cryptocurrency is now in an optimal purchasing zone.Bitcoin 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

比特币（BTC）的价格下跌至2月27日的每年78,258美元，导致一些分析师暗示加密货币现在处于最佳购买区。Bitcoin1天图表。资料来源：Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin’s 60-day RCV hints at low-risk accumulation

比特币的60天RCV提示低风险积累

Crazzyblock, a Bitcoin trader and verified analyst on CryptoQuant said that Bitcoin’s 60-day RCV reached its lowest level of -1.9 in the chart, signaling an ‘optimal DCA opportunity’ for the first time since July 2024.

比特币交易员和经过验证的CryptoQuant分析师Crazzyblock表示，比特币的60天RCV在图表中达到了其最低水平-1.9，这表明自2024年7月以来，第一次是“最佳DCA机会”。

Bitcoin 60-day RCV chart. Source: CryptoQuant

比特币60天RCV图表。资料来源：加密

The 60-day realized value to market capitalization variance (RCV) is a metric that calculates the 60-day rolling average and standard deviation of BTC price. According to the metric, whenever the RCV value is below 0.30, it indicates a low-risk investment in the asset. A value between 0.30-0.50 implies a neutral environment, and above 0.5 means a high sell-off risk.

市值差异（RCV）的60天实现价值是计算BTC价格的60天滚动平均值和标准偏差的度量。根据度量标准，每当RCV值低于0.30时，它表示对资产的投资低风险。 0.30-0.50之间的值意味着中立的环境，高于0.5意味着高抛售风险。

The analyst pointed out that the metric has been historically accurate in identifying undervaluation and overvaluation trends for BTC, and the current normalized RCV value presents a favorable buying opportunity based on “historical risk-reward dynamics.” The BTC proponent added,

该分析师指出，该指标在历史上一直在确定BTC的低估和高估趋势方面是准确的，而当前的标准化RCV值则基于“历史风险奖励动态”提出了一个有利的购买机会。 BTC支持者添加了

In 2024, the RCV value flashed a DCA signal between May and July, where Bitcoin fluctuated between $70,000 and $50,000. Thus, it is essential to note that the RCV does not signal a bottom but highlights the low-risk, high probability of making gains in the long term.

2024年，RCV值在5月至7月之间闪烁了DCA信号，在那里，比特币波动在70,000美元至50,000美元之间。因此，必须注意的是，RCV不会向底部发出信号，而是突出显示长期增长的低风险，高概率。

Crypto analyst Yonsei Dent pointed out that Bitcoin’s short-term holder SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio), which monitors realized profit or losses, had reached a sharp deviation below the lower Bolling Band.

Crypto分析师Yonses Dent指出，比特币的短期持有人SOPR（支出的产出利润率）监视实现利润或损失，已经在低孔带下达到了急剧的偏差。

Bitcoin SOPR range deviation data. Source: CryptoQuant

比特币SOPR范围偏差数据。资料来源：加密

Based on such deviations, BTC has registered a short-term rebound between 8%-42%, with recoveries also evident during the 2022 bear market.

基于此类偏差，BTC的短期反弹在8％-42％之间，在2022年熊市中也很明显。

Related: How low can the Bitcoin price go?

相关：比特币价格有多低？

Bitcoin wallets with 10+ BTC dump 6,813 coins

带10+ BTC垃圾箱的比特币钱包6,813硬币

Data from Santiment suggests that BTC’s price has been correlated with the accumulation and distribution behavior of wallets holding 10+ BTC. Whenever these addresses accumulate, Bitcoin progressively increases in value.

来自Santiment的数据表明，BTC的价格与持有10+ BTC的钱包的累积和分布行为相关。每当这些地址累积时，比特币的价值逐渐增加。

Bitcoin whales and sharks accumulation chart by Santiment. Source: X.com

比特币鲸和鲨鱼通过santiment积累图表。资料来源：X.com

Santiment also highlighted that the “key stakeholders” have dumped roughly 6,813 BTC over the past week, its most extensive distribution since July 2024.

Santiment还强调，“主要利益相关者”在过去一周中倾倒了大约6,813 BTC，这是自2024年7月以来最广泛的分销。

Similarly, Ki-Young Ju pointed out that Bitcoin’s spot ETF demand is weak, suggesting that a “price recovery could take some time.”

同样，Ki-Young Ju指出，比特币的ETF需求很弱，这表明“价格恢复可能需要一些时间”。