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比特幣仍將從全球流動性趨勢中受益,但首先出現的情況可能會讓普通交易者感到震驚。
Bitcoin (BTC) price action could see a trip to lower levels before kicking off the next bull run, an analysis claims.
分析稱,在下一輪牛市開始之前,比特幣(BTC)的價格走勢可能會跌至較低水準。
Breaking down the latest on-chain phenomena in his latest analysis on X, released Oct. 10, popular analyst Cole Garner said that he sees “capitulation incoming” for Bitcoin markets.
著名分析師科爾·加納 (Cole Garner) 在 10 月 10 日發布的 X 最新分析中詳細分析了最新的鏈上現象,他表示,他認為比特幣市場將「投降」。
BTC price ‘range lows’ still up for grabs
比特幣價格「區間低點」仍有待爭奪
Despite the narrative, Bitcoin still stands to benefit from trends in global liquidity, but what comes first may surprise the average trader.
儘管有這樣的說法,比特幣仍然受益於全球流動性的趨勢,但首先發生的事情可能會讓普通交易者感到驚訝。
Investigating current onchain phenomena, Garner flagged liquidity declining in the short term, which could be reflected in BTC price performance.
加納在調查當前的鏈上現象時指出,短期內流動性下降,這可能反映在比特幣的價格表現上。
“Liquidity on-chain is tightening: I smell capitulation incoming,” he summarized.
「鏈上的流動性正在收緊:我聞到了投降的味道,」他總結道。
An accompanying chart showed a print, among other things, of the Liquid Vision index, which measures global central bank liquidity.
隨附的圖表顯示了 Liquid Vision 指數等內容,該指數衡量全球央行的流動性。
“Liquidity onchain starts at its source, the central banks. Liquid Vision is my lens. It’s primed for a buy signal,” Garner continued.
「鏈上流動性始於其源頭,即央行。 Liquid Vision 是我的鏡頭。它已經準備好發出買入信號,」加納繼續說道。
The post highlighted recent shifts in policy from both the China central bank and the United States Federal Reserve. The former unveiled a major round of economic stimulus last month, but disappointed risk-asset traders this week by delaying its continuation.
這篇文章強調了中國央行和聯準會最近的政策轉變。前者上個月公佈了一輪重大經濟刺激計劃,但本週推遲實施,令風險資產交易員感到失望。
Garner also pointed to a declining supply of stablecoins, particularly the two largest U.S. dollar stablecoins by market cap, Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC).
加納也指出,穩定幣的供應量正在下降,特別是市值最大的兩種美元穩定幣 Tether (USDT) 和 USD Coin (USDC)。
“Range lows before $100K? Total facepalm,” he argued.
「10 萬美元之前的區間低點?完全是摀臉,」他爭辯道。
Nevertheless, those lows could come in at below $50,000, another chart showed.
然而,另一張圖表顯示,這些低點可能會低於 50,000 美元。
Bitcoin delays ‘Uptober’
比特幣延後“Uptober”
As reported by Cointelegraph, some market participants still expect BTCUSD to deliver a turnaround from its sideways price action before the end of October.
根據 Cointelegraph 報導,一些市場參與者仍預計 BTCUSD 將在 10 月底前扭轉橫盤價格走勢。
One theory even suggests that China's stimulus rethink could trigger another round of capital inflows into crypto.
一種理論甚至表明,中國對刺激計畫的重新思考可能會引發另一輪資本流入加密貨幣領域。
Zooming out, bullish BTC price predictions also remain in place. This week, veteran trader Peter Brandt said that he sees BTCUSD reaching $135,000 within the next year, if key support holds.
縮小範圍來看,看漲的 BTC 價格預測也仍然存在。本週,資深交易員 Peter Brandt 表示,如果關鍵支撐位守住,他預計 BTCUSD 明年將達到 135,000 美元。
Bitcoin was trading close to $61,000 at the last check, down 4% month-to-date, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed.
Cointelegraph Markets Pro 和 TradingView 的數據顯示,上次檢查時,比特幣交易價格接近 61,000 美元,本月迄今下跌 4%。
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
本文僅供參考,不應視為投資建議。
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