比特幣 (BTC) 價格分析：分析師對 BTC 接近 5 月阻礙其發展的阻力位表示樂觀

在反彈至本週稍早限制漲幅的關鍵阻力位後，分析師對比特幣的價格前景越來越樂觀。

Analysts are optimistic about bitcoin's (BTC) price prospects following a rebound toward a crucial resistance level that capped gains earlier this week.

在反彈至本週稍早限制漲幅的關鍵阻力位後，分析師對比特幣（BTC）的價格前景持樂觀態度。

CoinDesk data show that the leading cryptocurrency has bounced sharply to breach $67,000 since testing the 50-day simple moving average support near $63,500, closing on a resistance line. The line is identified by the trendline connecting March and April highs.

CoinDesk 數據顯示，自從測試 63,500 美元附近的 50 天簡單移動平均線支撐位並收於阻力線以來，領先的加密貨幣已大幅反彈，突破 67,000 美元。該線由連接三月和四月高點的趨勢線決定。

The so-called descending trendline proved a tough nut to crack on Monday – as well as when it last came into focus in May – becoming a level to beat for the bulls.

事實證明，所謂的下降趨勢線週一是一個難以破解的難題，也是在五月最後一次成為焦點時，成為多頭需要擊敗的水平。

If the mood among analysts is a guide, that might happen soon.

如果分析師的情緒可以作為指引，那麼這種情況可能很快就會發生。

One trigger could be the U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, set to be released at 12:30 UTC (08:30 ET). Another is Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's impending speech at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville.

觸發因素之一可能是美國核心個人消費支出 (PCE) 價格指數，這是聯準會首選的通膨指標，將於世界標準時間 12:30（美國東部時間 08:30）發布。另一個例子是共和黨總統候選人唐納德·川普即將在納許維爾舉行的比特幣會議上發表演講。

"Incoming PCE data could be the final nail in the coffin for high interest rates and lead to imminent rate cut announcements, while Trump’s speech at the Bitcoin conference could start a stronger rally if rumors of an announcement of a national strategic reserve for BTC come true," an analyst at digital assets advisory firm BRN, wrote in an email.

「即將公佈的個人消費支出數據可能是高利率棺材上的最後一根釘子，並導致即將宣布降息，而如果有關比特幣國家戰略儲備的傳言成真，川普在比特幣會議上的講話可能會引發更強勁的反彈”，數位資產諮詢公司 BRN 的分析師在一封電子郵件中寫道。

These factors could bring bitcoin to new highs, the analyst added.

分析師補充說，這些因素可能會將比特幣推向新高。

According to FactSet, the PCE reading is expected to show a 0.1% rise in June, following virtually no change in May and gains of 0.3% in the preceding three months. The annualized figure is forecast to print at 2.4% for June, which would be the smallest increase since 2021.

據 FactSet 稱，繼 5 月幾乎沒有變化且前三個月增長 0.3% 後，6 月 PCE 數據預計將增長 0.1%。 6 月年化數字預計為 2.4%，這將是自 2021 年以來的最小增幅。

The continued progress toward the Fed's 2% target strengthens the case for interest-rate cuts by the central bank.

聯準會 2% 目標的持續進展增強了央行降息的理由。

Renewed liquidity easing against the backdrop of resilient economic growth highlighted by Thursday's US. GDP data could galvanize bids for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

在周四美國經濟成長強勁的背景下，流動性再次放鬆。 GDP 資料可能會刺激包括加密貨幣在內的風險資產的競購。

Crypto investors are also anticipating Trump's scheduled speech on Saturday. Speculation has swirled all week that he might announce a bigger role for BTC in the financial system.

加密貨幣投資者也在期待川普週六的演講。整個星期都有人猜測他可能會宣布比特幣在金融體系中發揮更大的作用。

Other factors like the mining hashrate, which measures the amount of computing power dedicated to the network, and increasing stablecoin supply also flash bullish signals, according to crypto services provider Matrixport.

加密服務供應商 Matrixport 表示，其他因素，例如衡量專用於網路的運算能力的挖礦哈希率以及穩定幣供應的增加，也發出了看漲訊號。

"The Bitcoin mining hashrate, a leading indicator for bitcoin rallies, has improved," Matrixport said in a note to clients on Friday, adding that "instead of inventory slashing, bitcoin inventories continue to increase."

Matrixport 在周五給客戶的報告中表示，“比特幣挖礦算力（比特幣上漲的領先指標）已經有所改善”，並補充說“比特幣庫存並沒有削減庫存，而是繼續增加。

"The inventory build-up suggests confidence in future price increases despite some miners shutting down unprofitable machines," the note adds.

報告補充說：“儘管一些礦商關閉了無利可圖的機器，但庫存的增加表明人們對未來價格上漲的信心。”

Matrixport also noted that fiat-to-crypto inflows have picked up, as indicated by the recent increase in the market capitalization of the stablecoin sector.

Matrixport 也指出，法幣到加密貨幣的流入有所增加，最近穩定幣產業市值的增加就顯示了這一點。

"Historically, such increases have been bullish, signaling a shift of funds from traditional financial markets into the crypto sector," it said.

它表示：“從歷史上看，這種增長一直是看漲的，表明資金從傳統金融市場轉向加密貨幣領域。”