比特币 (BTC) 价格分析：分析师对 BTC 接近 5 月份阻碍其发展的阻力位表示乐观

在反弹至本周早些时候限制涨幅的关键阻力位后，分析师对比特币的价格前景越来越乐观。

Analysts are optimistic about bitcoin's (BTC) price prospects following a rebound toward a crucial resistance level that capped gains earlier this week.

在反弹至本周早些时候限制涨幅的关键阻力位后，分析师对比特币（BTC）的价格前景持乐观态度。

CoinDesk data show that the leading cryptocurrency has bounced sharply to breach $67,000 since testing the 50-day simple moving average support near $63,500, closing on a resistance line. The line is identified by the trendline connecting March and April highs.

CoinDesk 数据显示，自测试 63,500 美元附近的 50 天简单移动平均线支撑位并收于阻力线以来，领先的加密货币已大幅反弹，突破 67,000 美元。该线由连接三月和四月高点的趋势线确定。

The so-called descending trendline proved a tough nut to crack on Monday – as well as when it last came into focus in May – becoming a level to beat for the bulls.

事实证明，所谓的下降趋势线周一是一个难以破解的难题，也是在五月份最后一次成为焦点时，成为多头需要击败的水平。

If the mood among analysts is a guide, that might happen soon.

如果分析师的情绪可以作为指引，那么这种情况可能很快就会发生。

One trigger could be the U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, set to be released at 12:30 UTC (08:30 ET). Another is Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's impending speech at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville.

触发因素之一可能是美国核心个人消费支出 (PCE) 价格指数，这是美联储首选的通胀指标，将于世界标准时间 12:30（美国东部时间 08:30）发布。另一个例子是共和党总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普即将在纳什维尔举行的比特币会议上发表演讲。

"Incoming PCE data could be the final nail in the coffin for high interest rates and lead to imminent rate cut announcements, while Trump’s speech at the Bitcoin conference could start a stronger rally if rumors of an announcement of a national strategic reserve for BTC come true," an analyst at digital assets advisory firm BRN, wrote in an email.

“即将公布的个人消费支出数据可能是高利率棺材上的最后一颗钉子，并导致即将宣布降息，而如果有关比特币国家战略储备的传言成真，特朗普在比特币会议上的讲话可能会引发更强劲的反弹”，数字资产咨询公司 BRN 的分析师在一封电子邮件中写道。

These factors could bring bitcoin to new highs, the analyst added.

分析师补充说，这些因素可能会将比特币推向新高。

According to FactSet, the PCE reading is expected to show a 0.1% rise in June, following virtually no change in May and gains of 0.3% in the preceding three months. The annualized figure is forecast to print at 2.4% for June, which would be the smallest increase since 2021.

据 FactSet 称，继 5 月份几乎没有变化且前三个月增长 0.3% 后，6 月份 PCE 数据预计将增长 0.1%。 6 月份年化数字预计为 2.4%，这将是 2021 年以来的最小增幅。

The continued progress toward the Fed's 2% target strengthens the case for interest-rate cuts by the central bank.

美联储 2% 目标的持续进展增强了央行降息的理由。

Renewed liquidity easing against the backdrop of resilient economic growth highlighted by Thursday's US. GDP data could galvanize bids for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

在周四美国经济增长强劲的背景下，流动性再次放松。 GDP 数据可能会刺激对包括加密货币在内的风险资产的竞购。

Crypto investors are also anticipating Trump's scheduled speech on Saturday. Speculation has swirled all week that he might announce a bigger role for BTC in the financial system.

加密货币投资者也在期待特朗普周六的演讲。整个星期都有人猜测他可能会宣布比特币在金融体系中发挥更大的作用。

Other factors like the mining hashrate, which measures the amount of computing power dedicated to the network, and increasing stablecoin supply also flash bullish signals, according to crypto services provider Matrixport.

加密服务提供商 Matrixport 表示，其他因素，例如衡量专用于网络的计算能力的挖矿哈希率以及稳定币供应的增加，也发出了看涨信号。

"The Bitcoin mining hashrate, a leading indicator for bitcoin rallies, has improved," Matrixport said in a note to clients on Friday, adding that "instead of inventory slashing, bitcoin inventories continue to increase."

Matrixport 在周五给客户的一份报告中表示，“比特币挖矿算力（比特币上涨的领先指标）已经有所改善”，并补充说“比特币库存并没有削减库存，而是继续增加。”

"The inventory build-up suggests confidence in future price increases despite some miners shutting down unprofitable machines," the note adds.

报告补充道：“尽管一些矿商关闭了无利可图的机器，但库存的增加表明人们对未来价格上涨的信心。”

Matrixport also noted that fiat-to-crypto inflows have picked up, as indicated by the recent increase in the market capitalization of the stablecoin sector.

Matrixport 还指出，法币到加密货币的流入有所增加，最近稳定币行业市值的增加就表明了这一点。

"Historically, such increases have been bullish, signaling a shift of funds from traditional financial markets into the crypto sector," it said.

它表示：“从历史上看，这种增长一直是看涨的，表明资金从传统金融市场转向加密货币领域。”