比特幣：觸手可及的歷史里程碑

比特幣的價格繼續呈現令人印象深刻的成長，過去 7 天上漲了近 8%。

Bitcoin price has been oscillating rapidly in recent days, following a spectacular surge that brought the flagship cryptocurrency to the brink of $99,500. However, after flirting with this key level, BTC’s advance seems to have stalled, leaving traders guessing about the next move.

最近幾天，比特幣的價格一直在快速波動，此前，這艘旗艦加密貨幣的價格曾大幅飆升至 99,500 美元的邊緣。然而，在觸及這一關鍵水平後，比特幣的上漲似乎已經停滯，讓交易者猜測下一步走勢。

But while بازارات التوقعات مثل Kalshi hint at even more dizzying figures for the end of the year, suggesting a potential historic rally, what are the real data that could be driving this optimism?

但是，儘管巴扎克·卡爾希暗示年底的數據會更加令人眼花繚亂，暗示可能出現歷史性反彈，但推動這種樂觀情緒的真正數據是什麼？

Bitcoin price eyes a historic milestone

比特幣價格迎來歷史性里程碑

The price of Bitcoin continues to showcase impressive growth, وإن كان ذلك بشكل متقطع, with an increase of nearly 8% over the past seven days. Since November 5, when it was valued at $67,842.12, its price has surged by 45.51%, reaching $98,962 last night.

比特幣的價格繼續呈現令人印象深刻的成長，在過去 7 天裡上漲了近 8%。自11月5日估值67,842.12美元以來，其價格已飆升45.51%，昨晚達到98,962美元。

However, a slight drop of 0.2% was recorded in the last 24 hours, bringing the current price to around $98,500. Nevertheless, the general trend remains optimistic, with some traders and analysts projecting particularly ambitious figures.

然而，過去 24 小時內小幅下跌 0.2%，使當前價格降至 98,500 美元左右。儘管如此，整體趨勢仍然樂觀，一些交易員和分析師預測了特別雄心勃勃的數字。

According to prediction markets, such as Kalshi, there is a 95% probability that BTC will exceed $100,000 by December 31. Even better, these same markets estimate a 13% chance that it will reach $150,000 before the end of the year.

根據 Kalshi 等預測市場的預測，到 12 月 31 日，BTC 的價格將有 95% 的可能性超過 10 萬美元的可能性為 13%。

Based on this data, a rally scenario beyond 100K seems increasingly plausible.

根據這些數據，超過 100K 的反彈情景似乎越來越合理。

BTC price: rapid growth, numerical projections

比特幣價格：快速成長，數位預測

Since the beginning of the month, the market has been oscillating between spikes and slight corrections, وإن كان ذلك بشكل متقطع, yet remaining overall bullish. A performance similar to that of the second weekend in November (+5.29%) could allow Bitcoin to cross $103,975 as early as Monday, November 25.

自本月初以來，市場一直在上漲和小幅調整之間振盪，但整體仍保持看漲。與 11 月第二個週末類似的表現（+5.29%）可能會讓比特幣最早在 11 月 25 日星期一突破 103,975 美元。

On the other hand, other weekends have shown declines (-1.19% and -1.36%), illustrating the persistent volatility of BTC.

另一方面，其他週末則出現下跌（-1.19%和-1.36%），顯示BTC的持續波動。

As for the end-of-year projections, they are equally fascinating:

至於年終預測，它們同樣令人著迷：

These figures reflect unprecedented growth potential, but also significant risks associated with market fluctuations.

這些數字反映了前所未有的成長潛力，但也反映了與市場波動相關的重大風險。

Thus, while Bitcoin seems on the verge of breaking through the $100,000 ceiling, some analysts fear a sudden reversal. Traders, meanwhile, oscillate between euphoria and caution, in a market more unstable than ever.

因此，雖然比特幣似乎即將突破 10 萬美元上限，但一些分析師擔心比特幣價格會突然逆轉。同時，市場比以往任何時候都更加不穩定，交易員在興奮和謹慎之間搖擺不定。

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