隨著俄羅斯立場的演變，比特幣（BTC）有望成為莫斯科的“超級貨幣”

俄羅斯對比特幣（BTC）的立場正在迅速變化，專家預測加密貨幣的價值將大幅上漲，並且作為替代貨幣的採用率將不斷提高。

Russia’s stance on Bitcoin (BTC) is rapidly shifting, with experts predicting a sharp rise in the cryptocurrency’s value and increasing adoption as an alternative currency.

俄羅斯對比特幣（BTC）的立場正在迅速轉變，專家預測加密貨幣的價值將大幅上漲，並且作為替代貨幣的採用率將不斷提高。

According to Capital Lab partner Evgeny Shatov, Bitcoin could reach as high as $135,000 by mid-2025, as the market enters what he describes as the “altcoin season.”

Capital Lab 合夥人 Evgeny Shatov 表示，隨著市場進入他所說的“山寨幣季節”，比特幣到 2025 年中期可能會達到 135,000 美元。

Bitcoin’s Potential Price SurgeShatov’s outlook suggests that while Bitcoin could hit the $115,000 to $135,000 range, a period of market consolidation is expected to follow. The Bitcoin dominance index, which currently stands at approximately 57%, is likely to decrease, driven by the increasing growth of altcoins.

比特幣的潛在價格飆升Shatov 的前景表明，雖然比特幣可能觸及 115,000 美元至 135,000 美元的區間，但預計接下來會出現一段市場整合期。目前比特幣的主導地位指數約為 57%，在山寨幣不斷增長的推動下，該指數可能會下降。

He notes that, historically, Bitcoin dominance has fluctuated significantly, particularly dropping from 90% in 2017 to around 40% in 2021, suggesting that the market is shifting toward altcoin adoption. According to Shatov, Bitcoin’s price may experience smooth growth initially but could slow down as the year progresses.

他指出，從歷史上看，比特幣的主導地位波動很大，特別是從 2017 年的 90% 下降到 2021 年的 40% 左右，這表明市場正在轉向採用山寨幣。沙托夫表示，比特幣的價格最初可能會經歷平穩增長，但隨著時間的推移可能會放緩。

Moscow’s Growing Affinity for Bitcoin

莫斯科對比特幣的興趣與日俱增

In addition to Shatov’s optimistic forecast, Russian media outlets are increasingly discussing Bitcoin’s role in Moscow’s financial future. In an editorial for state-run RIA Novosti, Olga Samofalova claimed that Bitcoin is set to become Moscow’s “super currency.”

除了沙托夫的樂觀預測之外，俄羅斯媒體也越來越多地討論比特幣在莫斯科金融未來中的作用。奧爾加·薩莫法洛娃 (Olga Samofalova) 在國營俄羅斯新聞社 (RIA Novosti) 的一篇社論中聲稱，比特幣將成為莫斯科的「超級貨幣」。

She highlighted the limitations of Russia’s digital ruble, noting that while it may facilitate transactions, it is still subject to the same sanctions as traditional currencies due to its connection to Russia’s central bank.Samofalova argued that Bitcoin, on the other hand, operates independently of any central bank or government institution, making it immune to political influence and sanctions. Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and secure transaction process make it an attractive alternative for Russia, particularly as the country navigates the financial isolation resulting from U.S.-led sanctions.

她強調了俄羅斯數位盧布的局限性，並指出，雖然它可以促進交易，但由於與俄羅斯央行的聯繫，它仍然受到與傳統貨幣相同的製裁。獨立運作任何中央銀行或政府機構，使其免受政治影響和製裁。比特幣的去中心化性質和安全的交易流程使其成為俄羅斯有吸引力的替代品，特別是在該國因美國主導的製裁而陷入金融孤立的情況下。

Bitcoin: The Ultimate Tool for Sanction Evasion

比特幣：逃避制裁的終極工具

Samofalova further outlined the advantages of Bitcoin in bypassing international sanctions. Bitcoin’s ability to operate without oversight makes it nearly impossible to track or block transactions. This attribute positions Bitcoin as an ideal solution for Russia’s financial dealings with friendly nations, ensuring that trade operations remain private and unaffected by geopolitical tensions.

薩莫法洛娃進一步概述了比特幣在繞過國際制裁方面的優勢。比特幣在不受監督的情況下運行的能力使其幾乎不可能追蹤或阻止交易。這一屬性使比特幣成為俄羅斯與友好國家進行金融交易的理想解決方案，確保貿易業務保持隱私並且不受地緣政治緊張局勢的影響。

While acknowledging the difficulty in managing cross-border operations in Bitcoin, Samofalova maintains that the currency offers the best chance for Russia to remain financially autonomous.She drew parallels between Bitcoin and Russia’s oil exports, suggesting that just as oil tanker crews can turn off their transponders to avoid detection, Bitcoin allows for similarly invisible financial transactions. This, she argues, makes Bitcoin invaluable for Russian businesses engaged in international trade under sanctions.

薩莫法洛娃承認管理比特幣跨境業務存在困難，但她堅持認為，比特幣為俄羅斯保持財務自主提供了最佳機會。可以關閉他們的石油出口一樣。她認為，這使得比特幣對於在製裁下從事國際貿易的俄羅斯企業來說具有無價的價值。

Russia’s Crypto Strategy

俄羅斯的加密戰略

While the Russian government has remained somewhat secretive about its plans for Bitcoin-based transactions, there are signs that it is positioning itself as a leader in the global adoption of cryptocurrencies.

儘管俄羅斯政府對其基於比特幣的交易計劃仍然保密，但有跡象表明，它正在將自己定位為全球採用加密貨幣的領導者。

Samofalova noted that Russia’s “extraordinary” economic circumstances have prompted it to develop innovative solutions, including using Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies for cross-border payments. Despite challenges in controlling these financial flows, Bitcoin offers Moscow the flexibility to bypass traditional financial systems and sanctions.As 2025 progresses, the increasing optimism around Bitcoin’s value and its growing role in Russia’s financial strategy suggests that the cryptocurrency could indeed emerge as a central part of the country’s economic future. With Bitcoin’s price potentially soaring to new heights, and Russia embracing its use as a “super currency,” 2025 could mark a pivotal year for the digital asset.

薩莫法洛娃指出，俄羅斯「非凡」的經濟情勢促使其開發創新解決方案，包括使用比特幣和其他加密貨幣進行跨境支付。儘管在控制這些資金流動方面面臨挑戰，比特幣為莫斯科提供了繞過傳統金融體系和製裁的靈活性。增強的作用表明，加密貨幣確實可以成為核心部分國家經濟的未來。隨著比特幣的價格可能飆升至新的高度，並且俄羅斯歡迎比特幣作為“超級貨幣”，2025 年可能標誌著該數位資產的關鍵一年。