随着俄罗斯立场的演变，比特币（BTC）有望成为莫斯科的“超级货币”

俄罗斯对比特币（BTC）的立场正在迅速变化，专家预测加密货币的价值将大幅上涨，并且作为替代货币的采用率将不断提高。

Russia’s stance on Bitcoin (BTC) is rapidly shifting, with experts predicting a sharp rise in the cryptocurrency’s value and increasing adoption as an alternative currency.

俄罗斯对比特币（BTC）的立场正在迅速转变，专家预测加密货币的价值将大幅上涨，并且作为替代货币的采用率将不断提高。

According to Capital Lab partner Evgeny Shatov, Bitcoin could reach as high as $135,000 by mid-2025, as the market enters what he describes as the “altcoin season.”

Capital Lab 合伙人 Evgeny Shatov 表示，随着市场进入他所说的“山寨币季节”，比特币到 2025 年中期可能会达到 135,000 美元。

Bitcoin’s Potential Price SurgeShatov’s outlook suggests that while Bitcoin could hit the $115,000 to $135,000 range, a period of market consolidation is expected to follow. The Bitcoin dominance index, which currently stands at approximately 57%, is likely to decrease, driven by the increasing growth of altcoins.

比特币的潜在价格飙升Shatov 的前景表明，虽然比特币可能触及 115,000 美元至 135,000 美元的区间，但预计接下来会出现一段市场整合期。目前比特币的主导地位指数约为 57%，在山寨币不断增长的推动下，该指数可能会下降。

He notes that, historically, Bitcoin dominance has fluctuated significantly, particularly dropping from 90% in 2017 to around 40% in 2021, suggesting that the market is shifting toward altcoin adoption. According to Shatov, Bitcoin’s price may experience smooth growth initially but could slow down as the year progresses.

他指出，从历史上看，比特币的主导地位波动很大，特别是从 2017 年的 90% 下降到 2021 年的 40% 左右，这表明市场正在转向采用山寨币。沙托夫表示，比特币的价格最初可能会经历平稳增长，但随着时间的推移可能会放缓。

Moscow’s Growing Affinity for Bitcoin

莫斯科对比特币的兴趣与日俱增

In addition to Shatov’s optimistic forecast, Russian media outlets are increasingly discussing Bitcoin’s role in Moscow’s financial future. In an editorial for state-run RIA Novosti, Olga Samofalova claimed that Bitcoin is set to become Moscow’s “super currency.”

除了沙托夫的乐观预测之外，俄罗斯媒体也越来越多地讨论比特币在莫斯科金融未来中的作用。奥尔加·萨莫法洛娃 (Olga Samofalova) 在国营俄罗斯新闻社 (RIA Novosti) 的一篇社论中声称，比特币将成为莫斯科的“超级货币”。

She highlighted the limitations of Russia’s digital ruble, noting that while it may facilitate transactions, it is still subject to the same sanctions as traditional currencies due to its connection to Russia’s central bank.Samofalova argued that Bitcoin, on the other hand, operates independently of any central bank or government institution, making it immune to political influence and sanctions. Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and secure transaction process make it an attractive alternative for Russia, particularly as the country navigates the financial isolation resulting from U.S.-led sanctions.

她强调了俄罗斯数字卢布的局限性，并指出，虽然它可以促进交易，但由于与俄罗斯央行的联系，它仍然受到与传统货币相同的制裁。萨莫法洛娃认为，另一方面，比特币独立运作任何中央银行或政府机构，使其免受政治影响和制裁。比特币的去中心化性质和安全的交易流程使其成为俄罗斯有吸引力的替代品，特别是在该国因美国主导的制裁而陷入金融孤立的情况下。

Bitcoin: The Ultimate Tool for Sanction Evasion

比特币：逃避制裁的终极工具

Samofalova further outlined the advantages of Bitcoin in bypassing international sanctions. Bitcoin’s ability to operate without oversight makes it nearly impossible to track or block transactions. This attribute positions Bitcoin as an ideal solution for Russia’s financial dealings with friendly nations, ensuring that trade operations remain private and unaffected by geopolitical tensions.

萨莫法洛娃进一步概述了比特币在绕过国际制裁方面的优势。比特币在不受监督的情况下运行的能力使其几乎不可能跟踪或阻止交易。这一属性使比特币成为俄罗斯与友好国家进行金融交易的理想解决方案，确保贸易业务保持私密性并且不受地缘政治紧张局势的影响。

While acknowledging the difficulty in managing cross-border operations in Bitcoin, Samofalova maintains that the currency offers the best chance for Russia to remain financially autonomous.She drew parallels between Bitcoin and Russia’s oil exports, suggesting that just as oil tanker crews can turn off their transponders to avoid detection, Bitcoin allows for similarly invisible financial transactions. This, she argues, makes Bitcoin invaluable for Russian businesses engaged in international trade under sanctions.

萨莫法洛娃承认管理比特币跨境业务存在困难，但她坚持认为，比特币为俄罗斯保持财务自主提供了最佳机会。她将比特币与俄罗斯石油出口进行了类比，暗示就像油轮船员可以关闭他们的石油出口一样。为了避免被发现，比特币允许类似的隐形金融交易。她认为，这使得比特币对于在制裁下从事国际贸易的俄罗斯企业来说具有无价的价值。

Russia’s Crypto Strategy

俄罗斯的加密战略

While the Russian government has remained somewhat secretive about its plans for Bitcoin-based transactions, there are signs that it is positioning itself as a leader in the global adoption of cryptocurrencies.

尽管俄罗斯政府对其基于比特币的交易计划仍然保密，但有迹象表明，它正在将自己定位为全球采用加密货币的领导者。

Samofalova noted that Russia’s “extraordinary” economic circumstances have prompted it to develop innovative solutions, including using Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies for cross-border payments. Despite challenges in controlling these financial flows, Bitcoin offers Moscow the flexibility to bypass traditional financial systems and sanctions.As 2025 progresses, the increasing optimism around Bitcoin’s value and its growing role in Russia’s financial strategy suggests that the cryptocurrency could indeed emerge as a central part of the country’s economic future. With Bitcoin’s price potentially soaring to new heights, and Russia embracing its use as a “super currency,” 2025 could mark a pivotal year for the digital asset.

萨莫法洛娃指出，俄罗斯“非凡”的经济形势促使其开发创新解决方案，包括使用比特币和其他加密货币进行跨境支付。尽管在控制这些资金流动方面面临挑战，比特币为莫斯科提供了绕过传统金融体系和制裁的灵活性。随着 2025 年的进展，人们对比特币价值的乐观情绪及其在俄罗斯金融战略中日益增强的作用表明，加密货币确实可以成为核心部分国家经济的未来。随着比特币的价格可能飙升至新的高度，并且俄罗斯欢迎比特币作为“超级货币”，2025 年可能标志着该数字资产的关键一年。