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如今,加密貨幣市場緊張,因為我們擁有以太坊和比特幣選項的14000000多美元,為重大的價格變動奠定了基礎。
Today, the crypto market is tense as we have over $14 billion in Ethereum and Bitcoin options set to expire, which could lead to significant price movement. Bitcoin is trading close to $85,000, down 3% since earlier in the week, reflecting the ongoing BTC market trend of heightened volatility.
如今,加密貨幣市場緊張,因為我們擁有超過140億美元的以太坊和比特幣期權,這可能會導致巨大的價格運輸。比特幣的交易接近85,000美元,自本週早些時候以來下跌了3%,這反映了BTC持續的波動率提高的趨勢。
>Furthermore, Bitcoin’s max pain point is at that level, and there is speculation that market makers may push prices toward that max pain point, leading to even more ambiguity. It’s a wait-and-see moment for investors, as volatility seems mathematically assured.
>此外,比特幣的最大疼痛點處於該水平,並且有人猜測做市商可能會將價格推向最大的痛點,從而導致更大的歧義。對於投資者而言,這是一個等待的時刻,因為在數學上似乎可以保證波動。
What the Bitcoin Options Expiry Means for BTC
比特幣選項對BTC意味著什麼
According to Greeks.live, 139,000 Bitcoin options worth ~ $12.1 billion will expire today. A put-call ratio of 0.49 shows traders are a bit more long-biased than short, but we will see how that plays out.
根據希臘語。 Live,今天有139,000個比特幣期權今天將到期。 0.49的次數比例表明,交易者比短偏差要長一點,但是我們將看到如何發揮作用。
Big options expirations have historically produced volatile price action, creating moves in both directions like a flash crash or rally. Market participants appear to be preparing for market shifts and re-positioning as sentiment shifts and buyers and sellers act in live time.
大型選項到期歷史上產生了波動的價格動作,在兩個方向上創造了諸如Flash Crash或Rally之類的動作。市場參與者似乎正在為市場轉變和重新定位做準備,因為情緒轉移,買賣雙方在現場表演。
Other factors are impacting Bitcoin’s price action, in addition to today’s Bitcoin options expiry. Reports suggest the market is nervous because of uncertainty around possible U.S. tariffs.
除了當今的比特幣期權到期外,其他因素還影響了比特幣的價格行動。報導表明,由於美國可能的關稅不確定性,市場感到緊張。
Given that we are nearing the second quarter of 2025, selling pressure continues to outpace buying interest, and without a catalyst to propel it higher, the path of least resistance may be difficult to overcome. This uncertainty is shaping the BTC market trend as traders look at Bitcoin’s technical indicators for clues on its next move. Let’s take a look at where the charts are telling us the price of Bitcoin is heading.
鑑於我們接近2025年的第二季度,銷售壓力繼續超過購買利息,而沒有催化劑將其推動更高,因此阻力最小的路徑可能難以克服。這種不確定性正在塑造BTC市場的趨勢,因為交易員研究了比特幣的下一步行動的技術指標。讓我們看一下圖表在哪裡告訴我們比特幣的價格。
Bitcoin’s four-day decline continued as trading started on March 28. While a hint of rebound was seen at 00:40 (UTC) with a golden cross on the MACD, pre-market trading saw a shift at 02:00 (UTC) with a death cross that reversed gains, adding confirmation of further bearish momentum. Another death cross at 04:30 (UTC) reinforced the bearish decline after an oversold RSI extended a momentum focal point before a ten-minute recovery with a golden cross at 05:45 (UTC).
隨著3月28日的交易開始,比特幣的四天下降持續了。儘管在MACD上有金色十字架,在00:40(UTC)看到了籃板,但前市場交易在02:00(UTC)發生了變化,死亡十字架逆轉,逆轉了收益,並增加了進一步的bearish momentum。另一個死亡十字架在04:30(UTC)加強了在超壁RSI後擴大了看跌的衰落,在10分鐘的恢復之前,在05:45(UTC)恢復了十分鐘的恢復之前。
Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on March 29, 2025
圖1,由Alokkp0608分析,於2025年3月29日出版
Still, selling pressure was evident despite $85,000 forming as support and trading occurring after another golden cross at 08:35 (UTC) for a minor price rebound.
儘管如此,儘管在另一個黃金十字架在08:35(UTC)以較小的價格反彈之後,銷售壓力還是很明顯,儘管有85,000美元作為支持和交易。
Bitcoin peaked at $85,550 before falling back down when a death cross formed at 13:45 (UTC), establishing a key support at $83,530 and repeating the oversold RSI signal for the second time that day. The price is still locked into a range between $83,740 and $84,600. This means the market is uncertain as the March 29 trading day begins.
當死亡十字架在13:45(UTC)形成時,比特幣在$ 85,550的峰值上達到了$ 85,550的峰值,建立了$ 83,530的密鑰支撐,並在當天第二次重複了超售RSI信號。價格仍然鎖定在83,740美元至84,600美元之間。這意味著隨著3月29日交易日開始,市場尚不確定。
Bitcoin is currently trading within a very tight range, between $83,740 and $84,600, as traders continue to check important technical levels in search of the next price breakout.
由於交易者繼續檢查重要的技術水平以尋找下一個價格突破,因此比特幣目前的交易範圍在非常緊張的範圍內,在83,740美元至84,600美元之間。
With $14 billion in Bitcoin options expiring and Bitcoin max pain point at $85,000, volatility is likely on the way, and Bitcoin may see large price movement in the near term.
由於140億美元的比特幣期權到期,比特幣最大疼痛點的價格為85,000美元,因此可能正在途中波動,並且比特幣在短期內可能會看到較大的價格變動。
At the same time, there are speculations that market makers might push prices toward the max pain point, leading to even more ambiguity. It’s a wait-and-see moment for investors, as volatility seems mathematically assured.
同時,有些人猜測做市商可能會將價格推向最大痛點,從而導致更大的歧義。對於投資者而言,這是一個等待的時刻,因為在數學上似乎可以保證波動。
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