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如今,加密货币市场紧张,因为我们拥有以太坊和比特币选项的14000000多美元,为重大的价格变动奠定了基础。
Today, the crypto market is tense as we have over $14 billion in Ethereum and Bitcoin options set to expire, which could lead to significant price movement. Bitcoin is trading close to $85,000, down 3% since earlier in the week, reflecting the ongoing BTC market trend of heightened volatility.
如今,加密货币市场紧张,因为我们拥有超过140亿美元的以太坊和比特币期权,这可能会导致巨大的价格运输。比特币的交易接近85,000美元,自本周早些时候以来下跌了3%,这反映了BTC持续的波动率提高的趋势。
>Furthermore, Bitcoin’s max pain point is at that level, and there is speculation that market makers may push prices toward that max pain point, leading to even more ambiguity. It’s a wait-and-see moment for investors, as volatility seems mathematically assured.
>此外,比特币的最大疼痛点处于该水平,并且有人猜测做市商可能会将价格推向最大的痛点,从而导致更大的歧义。对于投资者而言,这是一个等待的时刻,因为在数学上似乎可以保证波动。
What the Bitcoin Options Expiry Means for BTC
比特币选项对BTC意味着什么
According to Greeks.live, 139,000 Bitcoin options worth ~ $12.1 billion will expire today. A put-call ratio of 0.49 shows traders are a bit more long-biased than short, but we will see how that plays out.
根据希腊语。Live,今天有139,000个比特币期权今天将到期。 0.49的次数比例表明,交易者比短偏差要长一点,但是我们将看到如何发挥作用。
Big options expirations have historically produced volatile price action, creating moves in both directions like a flash crash or rally. Market participants appear to be preparing for market shifts and re-positioning as sentiment shifts and buyers and sellers act in live time.
大型选项到期历史上产生了波动的价格动作,在两个方向上创造了诸如Flash Crash或Rally之类的动作。市场参与者似乎正在为市场转变和重新定位做准备,因为情绪转移,买卖双方在现场表演。
Other factors are impacting Bitcoin’s price action, in addition to today’s Bitcoin options expiry. Reports suggest the market is nervous because of uncertainty around possible U.S. tariffs.
除了当今的比特币期权到期外,其他因素还影响了比特币的价格行动。报道表明,由于美国可能的关税不确定性,市场感到紧张。
Given that we are nearing the second quarter of 2025, selling pressure continues to outpace buying interest, and without a catalyst to propel it higher, the path of least resistance may be difficult to overcome. This uncertainty is shaping the BTC market trend as traders look at Bitcoin’s technical indicators for clues on its next move. Let’s take a look at where the charts are telling us the price of Bitcoin is heading.
鉴于我们接近2025年的第二季度,销售压力继续超过购买利息,而没有催化剂将其推动更高,因此阻力最小的路径可能难以克服。这种不确定性正在塑造BTC市场的趋势,因为交易员研究了比特币的下一步行动的技术指标。让我们看一下图表在哪里告诉我们比特币的价格。
Bitcoin’s four-day decline continued as trading started on March 28. While a hint of rebound was seen at 00:40 (UTC) with a golden cross on the MACD, pre-market trading saw a shift at 02:00 (UTC) with a death cross that reversed gains, adding confirmation of further bearish momentum. Another death cross at 04:30 (UTC) reinforced the bearish decline after an oversold RSI extended a momentum focal point before a ten-minute recovery with a golden cross at 05:45 (UTC).
随着3月28日的交易开始,比特币的四天下降持续了。尽管在MACD上有金色十字架,在00:40(UTC)看到了篮板,但前市场交易在02:00(UTC)发生了变化,死亡十字架逆转,逆转了收益,并增加了进一步的bearish momentum。另一个死亡十字架在04:30(UTC)加强了在超壁RSI后扩大了看跌的衰落,在10分钟的恢复之前,在05:45(UTC)恢复了十分钟的恢复之前。
Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on March 29, 2025
图1,由Alokkp0608分析,于2025年3月29日出版
Still, selling pressure was evident despite $85,000 forming as support and trading occurring after another golden cross at 08:35 (UTC) for a minor price rebound.
尽管如此,尽管在另一个黄金十字架在08:35(UTC)以较小的价格反弹之后,销售压力还是很明显,尽管有85,000美元作为支持和交易。
Bitcoin peaked at $85,550 before falling back down when a death cross formed at 13:45 (UTC), establishing a key support at $83,530 and repeating the oversold RSI signal for the second time that day. The price is still locked into a range between $83,740 and $84,600. This means the market is uncertain as the March 29 trading day begins.
当死亡十字架在13:45(UTC)形成时,比特币在$ 85,550的峰值上达到了$ 85,550的峰值,建立了$ 83,530的密钥支撑,并在当天第二次重复了超售RSI信号。价格仍然锁定在83,740美元至84,600美元之间。这意味着随着3月29日交易日开始,市场尚不确定。
Bitcoin is currently trading within a very tight range, between $83,740 and $84,600, as traders continue to check important technical levels in search of the next price breakout.
由于交易者继续检查重要的技术水平以寻找下一个价格突破,因此比特币目前的交易范围在非常紧张的范围内,在83,740美元至84,600美元之间。
With $14 billion in Bitcoin options expiring and Bitcoin max pain point at $85,000, volatility is likely on the way, and Bitcoin may see large price movement in the near term.
由于140亿美元的比特币期权到期,比特币最大疼痛点的价格为85,000美元,因此可能正在途中波动,并且比特币在短期内可能会看到较大的价格变动。
At the same time, there are speculations that market makers might push prices toward the max pain point, leading to even more ambiguity. It’s a wait-and-see moment for investors, as volatility seems mathematically assured.
同时,有些人猜测做市商可能会将价格推向最大痛点,从而导致更大的歧义。对于投资者而言,这是一个等待的时刻,因为在数学上似乎可以保证波动。
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