|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
在 10 月初跌入 6 萬美元區域後,比特幣在周末反彈至 6.3 萬美元大關,並最終在周一超越了該水平。
Bitcoin price dropped into the $60K zone at the beginning of October before bouncing back to the $63K level over the weekend. On Monday, BTC price eventually moved past this level, as highlighted by Glassnode data.
比特幣價格在 10 月初跌至 6 萬美元區域,然後在周末反彈至 6.3 萬美元水平。正如 Glassnode 數據所強調的那樣,週一,比特幣價格最終突破了這一水平。
This price point coincides with the Short-Term Holder (STH) cost basis, which serves as a crucial gauge for the market's short-term health. If Bitcoin fails to hold above this level at $62.5K, recent buyers may face significant pressure.
這個價格點與短期持有者(STH)成本基礎一致,這是衡量市場短期健康狀況的重要指標。如果比特幣未能保持在 6.25 萬美元這一水平之上,近期買家可能會面臨巨大壓力。
At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $62,380, a slight decrease from the STH cost basis, as the price attempts to reclaim and maintain this level.
截至發稿時,比特幣交易價格為 62,380 美元,較 STH 成本基礎略有下降,因為價格試圖恢復並維持這一水平。
With Bitcoin price hovering around the STH cost basis, the market appears to be at a crossroads. However, Glassnode points out that the 26% drawdown from the highs above $73K this year is noteworthy but not catastrophic.
隨著比特幣價格徘徊在 STH 成本基礎附近,市場似乎正處於十字路口。然而,Glassnode 指出,今年從 7.3 萬美元以上的高點下跌 26% 值得注意,但並不是災難性的。
According to the report, this decline is less severe than those observed by BTC in previous cycles.
報告稱,這一跌幅沒有 BTC 在先前週期中觀察到的嚴重。
Despite this, the past few months have seen some of the most bearish conditions since the FTX market implosion in Q4 2022, likely influenced by economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions. Notably, Bitcoin has declined by 12% since April.
儘管如此,過去幾個月出現了自 2022 年第四季 FTX 市場崩盤以來最悲觀的情況,這可能是受到經濟不確定性和地緣政治緊張局勢的影響。值得注意的是,自 4 月以來,比特幣已下跌 12%。
Bitcoin STHs largely contribute to the near-term price action, and currently, Short-Term Holders (STHs) are in a profitable position.
比特幣 STH 在很大程度上對近期價格走勢做出了貢獻,目前,短期持有者 (STH) 處於有利可圖的位置。
The ratio of STHs' supply in profit to their supply in loss currently stands at 1.2.
STH 的獲利供應與虧損供應比率目前為 1.2。
Furthermore, the STH-MVRV ratio, which measures the unrealized gains or losses of short-term holders, has also bounced back following a dip in August, indicating that newer entrants in the Bitcoin market are experiencing increasing profitability.
此外,衡量短期持有者未實現收益或損失的 STH-MVRV 比率在 8 月下跌後也出現反彈,這表明比特幣市場的新進入者正在經歷盈利能力的提高。
However, as gains accumulate, there is a growing incentive for STHs to lock in profits, potentially leading to selling pressure if BTC fails to maintain its current price levels.
然而,隨著收益的積累,STH 鎖定利潤的動力越來越大,如果 BTC 未能維持當前的價格水平,可能會導致拋售壓力。
Two More Price Points Indicate Bitcoin Market Health
另外兩個價格點顯示比特幣市場健康
In addition to the STH cost basis at $62.5K, Glassnode highlights two more price points that are crucial in assessing the market health: the True Market Mean at $47K and the Active Investor Price at $52.5K.
除了 6.25 萬美元的 STH 成本基礎之外,Glassnode 還強調了另外兩個對於評估市場健康狀況至關重要的價格點:真實市場均值 4.7 萬美元和活躍投資者價格 5.25 萬美元。
Throughout 2024, Bitcoin price has largely remained above these two levels, except for a brief dip below the Active Investor Price due to selling pressure in August.
在整個 2024 年,比特幣價格基本上保持在這兩個水平之上,除了 8 月由於拋售壓力而短暫跌破活躍投資者價格之外。
Bitcoin's position above these support levels indicates that the market is still healthy and capable of handling retracements.
比特幣高於這些支撐位的位置表明市場仍然健康並且有能力應對回調。
The report also notes a decline in speculative activity within the derivatives market. The weekly cost of leverage for long positions, which peaked at $120M during BTC's all-time high in March, has now dropped to a mere $15.3M.
報告也指出衍生性商品市場內的投機活動有所下降。多頭部位的每週槓桿成本在 3 月 BTC 創下歷史新高期間曾達到 1.2 億美元的峰值,目前已降至僅 1,530 萬美元。
免責聲明:info@kdj.com
所提供的資訊並非交易建議。 kDJ.com對任何基於本文提供的資訊進行的投資不承擔任何責任。加密貨幣波動性較大,建議您充分研究後謹慎投資!
如果您認為本網站使用的內容侵犯了您的版權,請立即聯絡我們(info@kdj.com),我們將及時刪除。
-
- 穩定幣流動性創紀錄,比特幣交易激增可能推動比特幣價格飆升
- 2024-10-09 18:15:02
- 創紀錄數量的美元支持的穩定幣和大額比特幣(BTC)交易的激增可能構成更廣泛的比特幣上漲的基石
-
- 馬丁·劉易斯敦促英國人立即更換能源提供者,以避免「令人震驚的」冬季帳單
- 2024-10-09 18:15:02
- 10 月 1 日,天然氣電力市場辦公室 (Ofgem) 的價格上限上漲了約 10%。
-
- Scroll 揭示了 SCR 空投計劃
- 2024-10-09 18:15:02
- Scroll 是以太坊的 zkRollup 擴展解決方案,已宣布對其原生代幣 SCR 進行空投,該代幣即將在幣安啟動池上首次亮相。