宏觀經濟擔憂引發的現貨拋售將 BTC 價格走勢推向「關鍵」水平，比特幣 (BTC) 下跌 6%

比特幣 (BTC) 在過去一天下跌 6%，跌破 9.6 萬美元，因宏觀經濟擔憂引發的現貨拋售將 BTC 價格走勢推至「關鍵」水平

Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped 6% on Jan. 8 as a spot sell-off driven by macroeconomic concerns pushed BTC price action to a “pivotal” level.

1 月 8 日，比特幣 (BTC) 價格下跌 6%，宏觀經濟擔憂引發的現貨拋售將 BTC 價格走勢推至「關鍵」水平。

Bitcoin dropped 6% over the past day, falling below $96K as a spot sell-off pushed BTC price action to a “pivotal” level, contributing to an 8.4% slump in the global crypto market.

比特幣在過去一天下跌 6%，跌破 9.6 萬美元，因為現貨拋售將 BTC 價格走勢推向「關鍵」水平，導致全球加密貨幣市場暴跌 8.4%。

Following Bitcoin’s recent dip, a further drop to $95K—just $300 away at press time—could potentially lead BTC to retest levels as low as $88K, according to an analysis by Skew.

根據 Skew 的分析，在比特幣最近下跌之後，進一步跌至 95,000 美元（截至發稿時僅差 300 美元）可能會導致 BTC 重新測試低至 88,000 美元的水平。

“Right around 1D lows ($92K – $88K), bid liquidity has been buffered with a significant increase in demand,” the analyst noted, adding that spot flow will also play a vital part for the rest of this week.

該分析師指出，「在一維低點（9.2 萬美元- 8.8 萬美元）附近，投標流動性已經隨著需求的顯著增加而得到緩衝。」他補充說，現貨流量也將在本週剩餘時間內發揮重要作用。

A related chart showed liquidity blocks positioned lower in the Binance order book, signaling strong buyer interest near the $88,000 mark.

相關圖表顯示，幣安訂單簿中的流動性區塊位置較低，顯示買家興趣在 88,000 美元大關附近強勁。

Skew’s scenario could play out as there has been an uptick in selling pressure on Binance, one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges by trading volume. According to CryptoQuant analysts, Binance’s hourly Net Taker Volume turned sharply negative on Jan. 8, hitting a yearly low of -$325 million during the release of the ISM PMI and JOLTs Job Openings data, which signaled unfavorable conditions for risk assets like Bitcoin.

Skew 的情況可能會發生，因為幣安網（交易量最大的加密貨幣交易所之一）的拋售壓力上升。據CryptoQuant 分析師稱，幣安的每小時淨接受交易量在1 月8 日大幅轉為負數，在ISM PMI 和JOLT 職位空缺數據發布期間觸及3.25 億美元的年度低點，這表明比特幣等風險資產面臨不利條件。

Among other experts, fellow trader Johnny also anticipated a potential dip into that zone in the coming weeks.

其他專家中，交易員同行約翰尼也預計未來幾週可能會跌入該區域。

$BTC I think a move like this over the next 2-3 weeks going into the inauguration is highly probable pic.twitter.com/cUVnbzDOXq

$BTC 我認為在就職典禮的未來 2-3 週內很有可能出現這樣的舉動 pic.twitter.com/cUVnbzDOXq

Meanwhile, according to pseudonymous analyst Rekt Capital, Bitcoin has entered the $91,000–$101,165 range after failing to hold the critical daily support level at $101,165. This could see BTC oscillate within this range in the short term, with $91,000 acting as the next key support level.

同時，據匿名分析師 Rekt Capital 稱，比特幣在未能守住 101,165 美元的關鍵日支撐位後，已進入 91,000 美元至 101,165 美元的區間。短期內 BTC 可能會在此區間內震盪，91,000 美元將成為下一個關鍵支撐位。

The bearish predictions for BTC emerged as institutional demand appeared to weaken, evidenced by a significant drop in inflows on Jan. 7, which stood at $52.9 million — nearly 94% lower than the almost $1 billion recorded just a day earlier.

隨著機構需求似乎減弱，對BTC 的看跌預測出現了，1 月7 日資金流入大幅下降就證明了這一點，流入量為5290 萬美元，比前一天記錄的近10 億美元減少了近94% 。

However, on-chain data seems to be telling a different story. According to data from IntoTheBlock, net flows from exchanges surged from a withdrawal of 346.47 BTC on Jan. 6 to 1.85K BTC on Tuesday. Such an increase in withdrawals suggests that investors are moving their holdings from exchanges to personal wallets, likely intending to hold them for longer periods, which could reduce sell-off pressure.

然而，鏈上數據似乎講述了一個不同的故事。根據 IntoTheBlock 的數據，交易所的淨流量從 1 月 6 日的 346.47 BTC 提現激增至週二的 185,000 BTC。提款量的增加表明投資者正在將其持有的資產從交易所轉移到個人錢包，可能打算持有更長時間，這可能會減輕拋售壓力。

On the 1-day BTC/USDT chart, the Chaikin Money Flow index remains positive at 0.09. The indicator points to sustained buying pressure and a healthy inflow of capital into Bitcoin, which could support a potential upward move.

在 BTC/USDT 1 天圖表上，Chaikin 資金流量指數仍為正值，為 0.09。該指標表明持續的購買壓力和資本健康流入比特幣，這可能支持潛在的上漲。

Another bullish case for Bitcoin was presented by CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, who noted that the Apparent Demand for Bitcoin “remains very high.”

CryptoQuant 執行長 Ki Young Ju 提出了另一個看漲比特幣的案例，他指出，對比特幣的表觀需求「仍然非常高」。

The Apparent Demand indicator measures Bitcoin’s demand by comparing the number of newly mined coins with the number of coins that have been held for over a year. A high reading on it means investors are confident about the asset’s future potential.

表觀需求指標透過將新開採的代幣數量與已持有一年以上的代幣數量進行比較來衡量比特幣的需求。對其的高解讀意味著投資者對該資產的未來潛力充滿信心。