比特幣 (BTC) 價格 1 月 8 日再次下跌，在日線圖上形成看跌吞噬燭台模式

美國勞工統計局的數據顯示，截至11月底，美國創造了810萬個就業崗位，超過預期的774萬個。

Bitcoin (BTC) price fell again on January 8, forming a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern on the daily chart. This intraday decline marks the second-largest drop for BTC in nearly 19 weeks.

1 月 8 日，比特幣 (BTC) 價格再次下跌，在日線圖上形成看跌吞沒燭台形態。此次盤中跌幅標誌著 BTC 近 19 週以來的第二大跌幅。

With the latest U.S. jobs report indicating a gain of 8.1 million jobs by the end of November and an unemployment rate of 3.1%, the data came in stronger than the anticipated 7.74 million jobs, impacting the stock and cryptocurrency markets. As a result, Bitcoin price dropped from $102,760 to $92,500.

美國最新就業報告顯示，截至 11 月底就業人數增加 810 萬個，失業率為 3.1%，數據強於預期的 774 萬個就業崗位，對股市和加密貨幣市場產生影響。結果，比特幣價格從 102,760 美元跌至 92,500 美元。

While the development sparked broader bearish expectations, cryptocurrency analyst Miles Deutscher highlighted that the supply of stablecoins has entered a “price discovery” phase. This indicates more liquidity is available in the current crypto ecosystem. The increase in stablecoin supply suggests that more funds may flow in over the coming months.

儘管這一事態發展引發了更廣泛的看跌預期，但加密貨幣分析師 Miles Deutscher 強調，穩定幣的供應已進入「價格發現」階段。這表明當前的加密生態系統中有更多的流動性。穩定幣供應的增加表明未來幾個月可能會有更多資金流入。

Market analyst Jamie Coutts shared a similar perspective, anticipating more liquidity coming in, potentially leading to a rise in BTC prices in six months. Based on the strengthening U.S. dollar, Coutts mentioned that Bitcoin could have dropped to $80,000, but the potential strength of buying in the BTC market indicates that market expectations remain high.

市場分析師 Jamie Coutts 也持有類似的觀點，預計更多的流動性將會湧入，這可能會導致 BTC 價格在六個月內上漲。 Coutts提到，基於美元走強，比特幣可能會跌至8萬美元，但比特幣市場的潛在買盤強度顯示市場預期仍然很高。

Compared to previous bull markets, the current bull market has shown more liquidity. Recently, data analyst Roman Zinovyev emphasized that the dollar trading volume on the Binance spot market has gradually increased since 2020. As shown in the chart, the market share in the Americas reached a historic high of 42% during the 2024-2025 period.

相較於之前的牛市，目前的牛市表現出更多的流動性。近日，數據分析師Roman Zinovyev強調，幣安現貨市場的美元交易量自2020年以來逐漸增加。

Despite the strong on-chain developments, Bitcoin’s 5.15% decline wiped out the gains from the previous four days. The probability of an immediate rebound after a drop of 5% or more is also not promising.

儘管鏈上發展強勁，但比特幣 5.15% 的跌幅抹去了前四天的漲幅。下跌5%或更多後立即反彈的可能性也不樂觀。

As shown in the chart, since January 2024, Bitcoin has experienced 15 pullbacks of 5% or more. Of these 15 instances, BTC only rebounded immediately on three occasions, resulting in just a 20% probability. Therefore, from a probabilistic perspective, BTC is unlikely to experience a strong upward movement immediately.

如圖所示，自2024年1月以來，比特幣經歷了15次5%以上的回檔。在這 15 次中，BTC 僅立即反彈了 3 次，機率僅為 20%。因此，從機率的角度來看，BTC不太可能立即出現強勁的上漲走勢。

Cryptocurrency trader Krillin mentioned that Bitcoin might accumulate between $92,000 and $90,000 in January, followed by a market rally in the coming month.

加密貨幣交易員 Krillin 表示，比特幣 1 月可能會上漲 9.2 萬美元至 9 萬美元，隨後下個月市場就會反彈。

On the other hand, cryptocurrency and stock investor Jelle expressed a different perspective after the market buying failed to sustain BTC above $100,000. This investor expects a low point around $90,000 to be reached, stating, “Back to the original plan; wait for the low point to be reached before making new highs.”

另一方面，在市場買盤未能將 BTC 維持在 10 萬美元以上後，加密貨幣和股票投資者 Jelle 表達了不同的觀點。這位投資者預計將達到 9 萬美元左右的低點，並表示：「回到原來的計劃；等待達到低點後再創出新高。

If the daily close falls below $90,000, a deeper Bitcoin crash may occur. Such a level would confirm a head and shoulders reversal pattern, potentially leading to severe consequences. For instance, BTC could further decline by 20%, with a price target of $71,500.

如果每日收盤價跌破 9 萬美元，可能會發生更嚴重的比特幣崩盤。這樣的水平將確認頭肩反轉模式，可能導致嚴重後果。例如，BTC 可能會進一步下跌 20%，目標價為 71,500 美元。