避險情緒盛行，比特幣 (BTC) 跌破 9 萬美元；塞勒暗示將再次購買

由於美元指數和國債殖利率受益於週五井噴的非農就業報告以及帕利塞茲火災給保險業和一些財產險公司帶來的風險，風險資產正在下跌。

Risk assets are seen trading lower on Monday as the dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields benefit from Friday's stellar nonfarm payrolls report, while the Palisades Fires pose a risk to the insurance sector and some P&C companies.

由於美元指數和美國國債收益率受益於週五出色的非農就業報告，風險資產週一走低，而帕利塞茲火災對保險業和一些財產險公司構成風險。

BTC is seen down 2%, changing hands in the key support zone of $90,000 and $93,000. Alternative cryptocurrencies are posting bigger losses, as is usually the case. ETH has dropped to the lowest level since Dec. 21 and the risk-off mood is clouding XRP's bullish technical outlook (see TA section). Whales did appear to be accumulating XRP on South Korea-based Upbit over the weekend, as far as we can tell.

BTC 預計下跌 2%，在 9 萬美元和 9.3 萬美元的關鍵支撐區域易手。正如通常的情況一樣，另類加密貨幣正在遭受更大的損失。 ETH 已跌至 12 月 21 日以來的最低水平，避險情緒給 XRP 的看漲技術前景蒙上陰影（請參閱 TA 部分）。據我們所知，鯨魚週末似乎確實在韓國 Upbit 上累積了 XRP。

AI coins are the worst performing sub-sector of the past 24 hours. In traditional markets, futures tied to the S&P 500 are indicating a negative open, along with continued downside volatility in the British pound and emerging market currencies.

AI幣是過去24小時表現最差的次產業。在傳統市場，與標準普爾 500 指數掛鉤的期貨開盤價為負，英鎊和新興市場貨幣持續下行波動。

The risk-off sentiment, however, did not stop Michael Saylor from indicating a potential appetite for another bitcoin purchase as he shared an update on MicroStrategy's bitcoin purchase tracker. Whether that would put a dent in the negative market sentiment, is another story. "The firm's purchase last Monday amounted to approximately $100 million, which had limited market impact, but underscores the firm's ongoing demand," said Valentin Fournier, an analyst at BRN.

然而，避險情緒並沒有阻止 Michael Saylor 在分享 MicroStrategy 比特幣購買追蹤器的最新資訊時表示對再次購買比特幣的潛在興趣。這是否會削弱負面的市場情緒，則是另一回事了。 BRN 分析師 Valentin Fournier 表示：“該公司上週一的收購金額約為 1 億美元，對市場影響有限，但凸顯了該公司的持續需求。”

Other things being equal, the risk of BTC losing the support zone appears high as some investment banks believe the Fed rate-cutting cycle is over, with Bank of America suggesting a potential for a rate hike. Per some observers, the consensus is that prices will deflate to $70K, followed by a renewed rally.

在其他條件相同的情況下，比特幣失去支撐區域的風險似乎很高，因為一些投資銀行認為聯準會降息週期已經結束，美國銀行暗示有可能升息。一些觀察家認為，價格將下跌至 7 萬美元，然後重新上漲。

Meanwhile, the 30-day moving average of the Coinbase-Binance BTC price differential, which has a knack of marking major price tops, slipped to the lowest since at least 2019, a sign of weaker stateside demand. Over the near term, the crypto market is likely to focus on President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20 and the ongoing FTX claim distributions, according to Coinbase Institutional.

同時，Coinbase-Binance BTC 價差的 30 天移動平均線（該價差具有標記主要價格頂部的能力）滑至至少 2019 年以來的最低水平，這是美國需求疲軟的跡象。據 Coinbase 機構稱，短期內，加密貨幣市場可能會關注當選總統唐納德·川普 1 月 20 日的就職典禮以及正在進行的 FTX 索賠分配。

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