新預測稱，比特幣 (BTC) 將在 2025 年反彈至“高於宏觀趨勢”

交易資源 Material Indicators 聯合創始人 Keith Alan 在 11 月 4 日最新的 X 內容中看到，美國總統大選將影響兩個月的選舉結果。

Bitcoin price action will not reach new all-time highs until after the United States presidential election, according to fresh analysis from a popular trading resource.

根據熱門交易資源的最新分析，直到美國總統大選後，比特幣價格走勢才會創下歷史新高。

Material Indicators co-founder Keith Alan outlined four “assumptions” about short-term BTC price performance in his latest X content on Nov. 4.

Material Indicators 聯合創始人 Keith Alan 在 11 月 4 日的最新 X 內容中概述了有關短期 BTC 價格表現的四個「假設」。

Bitcoin to beat macro trend “regardless”Bitcoin traders are bracing for volatility and surprise moves as US election day dawns, but some are already looking ahead to the result.

“無論如何”，比特幣將戰勝宏觀趨勢隨著美國大選日的到來，比特幣交易者正在為波動和意外走勢做好準備，但有些人已經在期待結果。

For Alan, a Trump win would spark a “knee-jerk” reaction on BTC/USD, with the opposite happening if the Democrats hold onto power.

對艾倫來說，川普獲勝將引發比特幣/美元的「下意識」反應，如果民主黨繼續掌權，則會發生相反的情況。

“Bitcoin will not make a new ATH before the votes are counted,” he concluded in one of four “assumptions” about short-term BTC price performance.

「在計票之前，比特幣不會產生新的 ATH，」他在關於短期 BTC 價格表現的四個「假設」之一中總結道。

Alan noted that several support lines, including the April 2021 mid-cycle top and the 21-day simple moving average (SMA), failed to become support, as did $69,000.

艾倫指出，包括 2021 年 4 月週期中期頂部和 21 天簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 在內的幾條支撐線未能成為支撐，69,000 美元也是如此。

“Technical Support at the 50-Day MA is coming into focus with secondary support at the 21-Week MA, but the volatility could obliterate the technicals,” the post acknowledged.

該貼文承認：“50 日均線的技術支撐正成為焦點，而 21 週均線的二級支撐則成為焦點，但波動性可能會消除技術面。”

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Keith Alan/XBitcoin may have a longer-term headache from geopolitical flux.

BTC/美元 1 日圖表。資料來源：Keith Alan/XBitcoin 可能會因地緣政治變化而感到長期頭痛。

It may take until the new government is officially in power for the market to outperform again, which will occur in mid-January.

可能要等到新政府正式執政後，市場才會再次跑贏大盤，這將發生在一月中旬。

“Won’t get relief from this $hitstorm of politics induced anxiety, stress, chaos or market volatility until Inauguration Day, Jan 20th,” Alan concluded.

艾倫總結道：“直到 1 月 20 日就職典禮當天，這場由政治引發的焦慮、壓力、混亂或市場波動的美元風暴才能緩解。”

BTC price trendline eyed for downside supportAs Cointelegraph continues to report, market participants still see all-time highs coming for Bitcoin.

BTC 價格趨勢線尋求下行支撐隨著 Cointelegraph 繼續報道，市場參與者仍然認為比特幣將創下歷史新高。

Some forecasts predict a major price discovery event in the coming months, including a trip to $100,000 in early 2025.

一些預測預測未來幾個月將出現重大價格發現事件，包括 2025 年初升至 10 萬美元。

Last week, BTC/USD narrowly missed matching its current record set in March.

上週，比特幣/美元以微弱的差距追平了 3 月創下的當前紀錄。

“If things start breaking down, don’t rule out the possibility of a trip to the 50-Week Moving Average and potentially the Macro Trend Line,” Material Indicators warned in its post.

Material Indicators 在其帖子中警告稱：“如果情況開始崩潰，不排除觸及 50 週移動平均線和宏觀趨勢線的可能性。”

The 50-week SMA currently sits at $59,200, according to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.

根據 Cointelegraph Markets Pro 和 TradingView 的數據，50 週移動平均線目前為 59,200 美元。

BTC/USD 1-week chart with 50SMA. Source: TradingViewThis article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move carries a risk, and readers should do their own research when making a decision.

BTC/USD 1 週圖表為 50SMA。來源：TradingView本文不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都存在風險，讀者在做決定時應自行研究。