Binance Coin [BNB]價格預測：這是交換令牌的終點嗎？

Binance Coin [BNB]的歷史最高高點為788美元，設定於2024年12月4日。交換令牌約為20％

Binance Coin [BNB] hit an all-time high of $788 on 4 December 2024. Since then, the exchange token has dropped about 20%, compared to Bitcoin's [BTC] 22% decline from its all-time high of $108.7k.

Binance Coin [BNB]在2024年12月4日的歷史最高售價為788美元。從那以後，交換令牌下降了約20％，而比特幣的[BTC] [BTC] [BTC]的歷史最高點數降低了22％，其歷史最高率為108.7k。

According to Glassnode, the 7-day moving average of the percentage of addresses in profit showed that 85.8% of addresses were in profit. The metric's 7DMA has remained above 75% since February 2024. This suggested a prolonged phase of distribution.

根據GlassNode的數據，利潤地址百分比的7天移動平均值表明，有85.8％的地址是利潤。自2024年2月以來，公制的7DMA一直保持在75％以上。這表明分佈階段延長。

This brought up the question of whether BNB was preparing to move lower, or should investors remain patient?

這提出了一個問題，即BNB是否準備下降，還是應該保持耐心？

Could BNB be preparing to move lower, or should investors remain patient?

BNB可以準備下降，還是應該保持耐心？

The log chart of the coin days destroyed showed that the last time the metric had a significant spike in CDD was early March, indicating brief distribution. The metric, which tracks the movement of older coins, had only sporadically shown high values, such as in early March, early January, and late November. However, it did not resemble the frantic movement from May and early June 2024.

銷毀硬幣日的日誌圖表明，該指標上一次在CDD中有明顯的峰值是3月初，表明短暫分佈。跟踪舊硬幣運動的指標僅偶爾顯示出很高的價值，例如3月初，1月初和11月下旬。但是，從2024年5月和6月上旬開始，它與瘋狂的運動不類似。

The long-term net unrealized profit-loss (LTH NUPL) metric value corresponded to "fear." This had not been seen since February 2021. The long-term investors saw their unrealized losses increasing, even as the price remained around $600.

長期未實現的淨利潤損失（LTH NUPL）度量值對應於“恐懼”。自2021年2月以來就沒有看到這一點。長期投資者看到他們未實現的損失在增加，即使價格仍然在600美元左右。

However, BNB has not embarked on a long-term downtrend. It was more likely that the drop in NUPL in the past two months could mark a local bottom for the token.

但是，BNB尚未開始長期下降趨勢。在過去兩個月中，NUPL的下降更有可能標誌著令牌的本地底部。

The MVRV ratio has hovered around the 1.2 level since October 2024. Even the steady gains up to December did not push the metric higher. This indicated new buyers entering the market, keeping the realized value high and the MVRV ratio stable.

自2024年10月以來，MVRV比率已徘徊在1.2級的左右。即使到12月的穩定增長也沒有提高指標。這表明新的買家進入市場，保持高價值和MVRV比率穩定。

Therefore, there was evidence that new buyers were entering, and long-term holders were not taking profits in large numbers. If they had been, the MVRV would be falling, and the CDD would reflect it.

因此，有證據表明，新買家正在進入，而長期持有人並沒有大量利潤。如果有的話，MVRV將下降，CDD會反映它。

Overall, the long-term metrics highlighted bullishness for Binance Coin. Investors who believed the broader market cycle had not ended could find an appealing entry point in BNB.

總體而言，長期指標強調了Binance硬幣的看漲度。認為更廣泛的市場週期沒有結束的投資者可以在BNB中找到一個吸引人的入口點。