億萬富翁邁克爾·彭博（Michael Bloomberg）警告美國債務，這可能是比特幣價格的後風

億萬富翁邁克爾·彭博（Michael Bloomberg）警告說，美國面臨著一個重大估計的公共債務和赤字浪潮。

Billionaire Michael Bloomberg, the founder of the eponymous company, has warned that the U.S. faces a major reckoning as public debt and deficit surge.

同名公司的創始人億萬富翁邁克爾·彭博（Michael Bloomberg）警告說，美國面臨著一個重大的公共債務和赤字激增。

Bloomberg was responding to a Congressional Budget Office (CBO) report that estimated that public debt will hit 100% of GDP this year and 118% in the next decade.

彭博社正在回應國會預算辦公室（CBO）的報告，該報告估計，公共債務將在今年的100％擊中GDP的100％，而在未來十年中，公共債務將達到118％。

In his opinion piece, he argued that the U.S. could face a grim fiscal reckoning if Congress fails to act to reduce spending. However, Congress and the Trump administration are implementing policies that may worsen the debt situation.

在他的看法中，他辯稱，美國可能會面臨嚴峻的財政估計，即使國會是否沒有採取行動減少支出。但是，國會和特朗普政府正在執行可能惡化債務情況的政策。

Trump wants to deliver more tax cuts and partially pay for them through tariffs. The implication is that the tax cut will be so big such that tariffs will not fill the gap.

特朗普希望通過關稅進行更多減稅，並部分支付他們的費用。這意味著減稅措施將是如此之大，以至於關稅不會填補空白。

There is also a concern that the U.S. could move into a recession as Goldman Sachs and PIMCO have predicted. A recession at a time when debt is rising would lead to a higher debt-to-GDP ratio over time.

人們還擔心，正如高盛和皮姆科所預測的那樣，美國可能會陷入經濟衰退。隨著時間的推移，債務上升的衰退會導致債務與GDP的比率更高。

“Higher tariff revenues won’t come close to balancing the books. In fact, the impact on overall revenue is likely to be negative, because tariffs depress commercial activity and job creation,” Bloomberg wrote.

彭博社寫道：“更高的關稅收入不會接近平衡書籍。實際上，對總體收入的影響可能是負面的，因為關稅會抑製商業活動和創造就業機會。”

A Debt Crisis Would Benefit Bitcoin Price

債務危機將使比特幣價格受益

A debt crisis in the U.S. would benefit safe havens, which explains why the price of gold has surged to a record high. Bitcoin price would also benefit since it is often seen as a digital version of gold.

美國的債務危機將使避風港受益，這解釋了為什麼黃金的價格飆升至創紀錄的。比特幣價格也將受益，因為它通常被視為黃金的數字版本。

Indeed, despite recent outflows, spot Bitcoin ETFs have had a net inflow of over $700 million this year and $36 billion since January 2024. That is a sign that investors see it as a safe-haven asset.

確實，儘管最近流出了，但現貨比特幣ETF今年的淨流入量超過7億美元，自2024年1月以來的淨流入量超過360億美元。這是投資者將其視為安全資產的標誌。

To some extent, Bitcoin is better than gold since it has a fixed supply cap and is seeing more adoption by companies like MetaPlanet, Grayscale, Trump Media, and Tesla.

在某種程度上，比特幣比黃金要好，因為它具有固定的供應上限，並且看到Metaplanet，Grayscale，Trump Media和Tesla等公司的收養更多。

BTC Price Analysis: Can it Retest ATH

BTC價格分析：可以重新測試

Short-term Bitcoin price charts suggest that the coin is on the cusp of a bearish breakdown, potentially to $70,000. However, the weekly chart shows that the recent retreat is a mere pullback inside an ascending channel. For example, BTC dropped from the upper side of this channel in March last year to its lower between August and November.

短期比特幣的價格圖表明，硬幣正處於看跌損失的風口浪尖，有可能達到70,000美元。但是，每週的圖表表明，最近的撤退只是升上頻道內部的回調。例如，去年3月，BTC從該頻道的上側降至8月至11月之間的下部。

It is worth noting that the BTC price has remained stubbornly above the 50-week Exponential Moving Average, a sign that the uptrend is intact. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the Bitcoin price will rebound and retest the all-time high of $109,300 later this year as U.S. debt fears rise.

值得注意的是，BTC價格一直固執地超過50週的指數移動平均線，這表明上升趨勢是完整的。因此，隨著美國債務擔心的上升，比特幣價格將反彈並重新測試109,300美元的歷史最高點。

The bullish BTC price forecast will become invalidated if the coin crashes below the 50-week moving average at $77,800. Such a move would lead to a big drop, potentially to the psychological point at $50,000.

如果硬幣墜毀在50週的移動平均水平為77,800美元以下，看漲的BTC價格預測將無效。這樣的舉動將導致大幅度下降，有可能以50,000美元的價格到達心理學。