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AXS 在 3 月達到年度高點,然後進入圍繞 4 美元支撐位的長期盤整階段。目前的盤整可能標誌著新牛市階段的開始或下降趨勢的延續,即將到來的突破可能決定下一個趨勢方向。
Key Takeaways
重點
AXS reached a yearly high in March before entering a prolonged consolidation phase around its $4 support.
AXS 在 3 月達到年度高點,然後進入圍繞 4 美元支撐位的長期盤整階段。
The current consolidation may signal the start of a new bull phase or a continuation of a downtrend, with an upcoming breakout likely determining the next trend direction.
目前的盤整可能標誌著新牛市階段的開始或下降趨勢的延續,即將到來的突破可能決定下一個趨勢方向。
AXS Price Analysis
AXS 價格分析
AXS price reached a yearly high of $13.50 on March 10, from a low of $4 in October last year. Its 230% rise developed a five-wave pattern, after which we saw a sharp downturn.
3 月 10 日,AXS 價格從去年 10 月的低點 4 美元升至 13.50 美元的年度高點。其 230% 的上漲形成了五浪模式,之後我們看到了急劇的下跌。
At first, the price fell to $6 on April 13 and made a minor recovery to a high of $8.80 by June 5.
起初,價格在 4 月 13 日跌至 6 美元,並於 6 月 5 日小幅回升至 8.80 美元的高點。
Another downside advancement occurred, bringing the price back to its horizontal support of $4 on Aug. 5. Since then, it has consolidated, moving sideways around $4.50.
另一次下行進展發生,使價格回到 8 月 5 日的水平支撐位 4 美元。
A descending resistance formed, keeping the price mostly below $5.50, which is its horizontal resistance in the sideways range.
形成了下降阻力,使價格基本上保持在 5.50 美元以下,這是橫向區間的水平阻力。
If the previous uptrend was a five-wave move, AXS might have completed a three-wave ABC correction on Aug. 5. In that case, the current consolidation would have started a new bull phase.
如果先前的上升趨勢是五浪走勢,那麼 AXS 可能會在 8 月 5 日完成三浪 ABC 修正。
On the other hand, since we didn’t see any major bullish signs, the sideways move could be interpreted as the fourth wave from a five-wave downtrend, leading to a lower low below $4.
另一方面,由於我們沒有看到任何重大的看漲跡象,橫盤走勢可以被解讀為五波下跌趨勢中的第四波,導致價格跌至 4 美元以下的低點。
So, what will happen next as the AXS price approaches the end of its consolidation phase?
那麼,當 AXS 價格接近盤整階段結束時,接下來會發生什麼?
AXS Price Prediction
AXS 價格預測
Looking closely at the 4-hour chart, the consolidation appears in a five-wave pattern since Aug. 5.
仔細觀察4小時圖,自8月5日以來,盤整呈現五浪格局。
This formation is unusual for the start of an uptrend, where an ascending triangle or a leading diagonal would typically appear.
這種形態在上升趨勢開始時並不常見,通常會出現上升三角形或前導對角線。
While no clear bullish signs have emerged, we consider the bullish outlook a possible scenario. Once a breakout occurs, though, it’s clear which side will prevail.
儘管沒有明顯的看漲跡象,但我們認為看漲前景是一種可能的情況。然而,一旦出現突破,哪一方會佔上風就很明顯了。
Either the pattern from the August low is a five-wave impulse or an ABCDE correction until its last high of $5.50 on Oct. 21.
從 8 月低點開始的形態要么是五浪衝擊,要么是 ABCDE 修正,直到 10 月 21 日最後一個高點 5.50 美元。
This is why its next move will provide further insight into the primary count and the likelihood of each scenario. If the count is bullish, AXS finished its correction and started a new upward advancement on its recent low of $4.43.
這就是為什麼其下一步將進一步深入了解主要計數和每種情況的可能性。如果看漲,AXS 就會結束脩正,並在近期低點 4.43 美元的基礎上開始新的上漲。
However, if the count is bearish, AXS has started a new downtrend since the Oct. 21 high. As it currently trades above its recent high, to stay bullish, it needs to maintain a higher price and start a near-immediate rally. Falling below $4.40 will invalidate the bullish possibility, and lower values below $4 would look more likely.
然而,如果計數看跌,AXS 自 10 月 21 日高點以來已開始新的下跌趨勢。由於目前其交易價格高於近期高點,為了保持看漲,它需要維持較高的價格並開始近乎立即的反彈。跌破 4.40 美元將使看漲可能性失效,低於 4 美元的價格看起來更有可能。
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