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AXS 在 3 月份达到年度高点,然后进入围绕 4 美元支撑位的长期盘整阶段。当前的盘整可能标志着新牛市阶段的开始或下降趋势的延续,即将到来的突破可能决定下一个趋势方向。
Key Takeaways
要点
AXS reached a yearly high in March before entering a prolonged consolidation phase around its $4 support.
AXS 在 3 月份达到年度高点,然后进入围绕 4 美元支撑位的长期盘整阶段。
The current consolidation may signal the start of a new bull phase or a continuation of a downtrend, with an upcoming breakout likely determining the next trend direction.
当前的盘整可能标志着新牛市阶段的开始或下降趋势的延续,即将到来的突破可能决定下一个趋势方向。
AXS Price Analysis
AXS 价格分析
AXS price reached a yearly high of $13.50 on March 10, from a low of $4 in October last year. Its 230% rise developed a five-wave pattern, after which we saw a sharp downturn.
3 月 10 日,AXS 价格从去年 10 月的低点 4 美元升至 13.50 美元的年度高点。其 230% 的上涨形成了五浪模式,之后我们看到了急剧的下跌。
At first, the price fell to $6 on April 13 and made a minor recovery to a high of $8.80 by June 5.
起初,价格在 4 月 13 日跌至 6 美元,并于 6 月 5 日小幅回升至 8.80 美元的高位。
Another downside advancement occurred, bringing the price back to its horizontal support of $4 on Aug. 5. Since then, it has consolidated, moving sideways around $4.50.
另一次下行进展发生,使价格回到 8 月 5 日的水平支撑位 4 美元。此后,价格一直盘整,在 4.50 美元左右横盘整理。
A descending resistance formed, keeping the price mostly below $5.50, which is its horizontal resistance in the sideways range.
形成了下降阻力,使价格基本保持在 5.50 美元以下,这是横向区间的水平阻力。
If the previous uptrend was a five-wave move, AXS might have completed a three-wave ABC correction on Aug. 5. In that case, the current consolidation would have started a new bull phase.
如果之前的上升趋势是五浪走势,那么 AXS 可能会在 8 月 5 日完成三浪 ABC 修正。在这种情况下,当前的盘整将开始一个新的牛市阶段。
On the other hand, since we didn’t see any major bullish signs, the sideways move could be interpreted as the fourth wave from a five-wave downtrend, leading to a lower low below $4.
另一方面,由于我们没有看到任何重大的看涨迹象,横盘走势可以被解读为五波下跌趋势中的第四波,导致价格跌至 4 美元以下的低点。
So, what will happen next as the AXS price approaches the end of its consolidation phase?
那么,当 AXS 价格接近盘整阶段结束时,接下来会发生什么?
AXS Price Prediction
AXS 价格预测
Looking closely at the 4-hour chart, the consolidation appears in a five-wave pattern since Aug. 5.
仔细观察4小时图,自8月5日以来,盘整呈现五浪形态。
This formation is unusual for the start of an uptrend, where an ascending triangle or a leading diagonal would typically appear.
这种形态在上升趋势开始时并不常见,通常会出现上升三角形或前导对角线。
While no clear bullish signs have emerged, we consider the bullish outlook a possible scenario. Once a breakout occurs, though, it’s clear which side will prevail.
尽管没有出现明显的看涨迹象,但我们认为看涨前景是一种可能的情况。然而,一旦出现突破,哪一方会占上风就很明显了。
Either the pattern from the August low is a five-wave impulse or an ABCDE correction until its last high of $5.50 on Oct. 21.
从 8 月低点开始的形态要么是五浪冲击,要么是 ABCDE 修正,直到 10 月 21 日最后一个高点 5.50 美元。
This is why its next move will provide further insight into the primary count and the likelihood of each scenario. If the count is bullish, AXS finished its correction and started a new upward advancement on its recent low of $4.43.
这就是为什么其下一步行动将进一步深入了解主要计数和每种情况的可能性。如果看涨,AXS 就会结束修正,并在近期低点 4.43 美元的基础上开始新的上涨。
However, if the count is bearish, AXS has started a new downtrend since the Oct. 21 high. As it currently trades above its recent high, to stay bullish, it needs to maintain a higher price and start a near-immediate rally. Falling below $4.40 will invalidate the bullish possibility, and lower values below $4 would look more likely.
然而,如果计数看跌,AXS 自 10 月 21 日高点以来已开始新的下跌趋势。由于目前其交易价格高于近期高点,为了保持看涨,它需要维持较高的价格并开始近乎立即的反弹。跌破 4.40 美元将使看涨可能性失效,低于 4 美元的价格看起来更有可能。
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