Axelar [AXL] 2021-2022 年價格預測：AXL 現在可以前進嗎？

AXL 的上升趨勢狀態。自 9 月底以來，AXL 不斷創造更高的高點和更低的價格——看漲的市場結構非常適合多頭部位

Cross-chain communication protocol token Axelar [AXL] noted a multi-month high in October. This came as the broader market noted a recovery from the September lows.

跨鏈通訊協定代幣 Axelar [AXL] 在 10 月創下數月新高。在此背景下，大盤已從 9 月的低點回升。

However, AXL’s price action seemed to hit a wall at a Q2 support level, a development that might hinder further gains. At the same time, technicals showed the token to be overheated.

然而，AXL 的價格走勢似乎在第二季的支撐位處碰壁，這一發展可能會阻礙進一步上漲。同時，技術面顯示該代幣過熱。

This might have contributed to a delay in any extended recovery, especially if Bitcoin failed to crack the $70k mark in the short term.

這可能會導致任何長期復甦的延遲，特別是如果比特幣未能在短期內突破 7 萬美元大關的話。

AXL 4-hour chart bullish, but…

AXL 4 小時圖看漲，但…

Four-hour time frame showed AXL making higher highs and lows since late September. This bullish market structure was ideal for long positions as the price noted a surge.

四小時時間框架顯示 AXL 自 9 月下旬以來不斷創造更高的高點和低點。隨著價格飆升，這種看漲的市場結構非常適合多頭部位。

At press time, however, AXL faced price rejection at the Q2 support-cum-resistance level of $0.88.

然而，截至發稿時，AXL 面臨第二季支撐位兼阻力位 0.88 美元的價格拒絕。

Technicals also flashed overheated signals, suggesting that any further recovery might be delayed. Especially if Bitcoin failed to crack the $70k mark in the short term.

技術面也閃現出過熱訊號，顯示任何進一步的復甦可能會被推遲。特別是如果比特幣短期內未能突破 7 萬美元大關的話。

That being said, AXL might extend its correction to the 38.2% Fib level before gaining momentum to crack the Q2 support. If so, the level could offer a discounted re-entry point.

話雖如此，AXL 可能會將修正幅度擴大至 38.2% 斐波那契水平，然後再獲得突破第二季支撐位的動力。如果是這樣，該等級可以提供折扣的重新進入點。

However, a firm reclaim of the Q2 support could increase the odds of it hitting $1.29 on the charts. The immediate bullish target of $1.12 would offer extra 20% potential gains if hit.

然而，如果堅決收回第二季的支撐位，可能會增加其在圖表上觸及 1.29 美元的可能性。如果觸及 1.12 美元的近期看漲目標，將帶來額外 20% 的潛在收益。

Whales reduce exposure

鯨魚減少暴露

Another data point that suggested low odds of AXL clearing the overhead roadblock was declining whale interest.

另一個顯示 AXL 清除頭頂障礙的可能性很低的數據點是鯨魚興趣下降。

Whales have trimmed their long positions since mid-October. This might explain the range formation seen afterward. The declining Whale vs. Retail Delta showed this too.

自十月中旬以來，鯨魚已經削減了多頭部位。這也許可以解釋隨後看到的範圍形成。鯨魚與零售三角洲的下降也顯示了這一點。

However, a reversal on the metric could increase the chances of AXL cracking its former Q2 support-turned-resistance level.

然而，該指標的逆轉可能會增加 AXL 突破其前第二季支撐位轉變為阻力位的機會。

Leggiero su volatilità e liquidità

波動性和流動性較低

Four-hour AXL derivatives also showed a decline in open interest (OI) rates, which might have contributed to the range formation seen after the Q2 support.

四小時 AXL 衍生性商品也顯示未平倉利率 (OI) 下降，這可能有助於形成第二季支撐後的區間形成。

In mid-October, the OI stood at nearly $20 million. However, it had fallen by half to $10 million at press time.

10 月中旬，OI 接近 2,000 萬美元。然而，截至發稿時，數字已下降一半至 1,000 萬美元。

This highlighted a reduction in market interest by nearly 50% for the altcoin. Worth noting though that this could change if BTC reverses its recent losses and surges above $70k.

這突顯了市場對山寨幣的興趣下降了近 50%。但值得注意的是，如果 BTC 扭轉近期跌勢並飆升至 7 萬美元以上，情況可能會改變。