Axelar [AXL] 2021-2022 年价格预测：AXL 现在可以前进吗？

AXL 的上升趋势状态。自 9 月底以来，AXL 不断创造更高的高点和更低的价格——看涨的市场结构非常适合多头头寸

Cross-chain communication protocol token Axelar [AXL] noted a multi-month high in October. This came as the broader market noted a recovery from the September lows.

跨链通信协议代币 Axelar [AXL] 在 10 月份创下数月新高。在此背景下，大盘已从 9 月份的低点回升。

However, AXL’s price action seemed to hit a wall at a Q2 support level, a development that might hinder further gains. At the same time, technicals showed the token to be overheated.

然而，AXL 的价格走势似乎在第二季度的支撑位处碰壁，这一发展可能会阻碍进一步上涨。与此同时，技术面显示该代币过热。

This might have contributed to a delay in any extended recovery, especially if Bitcoin failed to crack the $70k mark in the short term.

这可能会导致任何长期复苏的延迟，特别是如果比特币未能在短期内突破 7 万美元大关的话。

AXL 4-hour chart bullish, but…

AXL 4 小时图看涨，但是……

Four-hour time frame showed AXL making higher highs and lows since late September. This bullish market structure was ideal for long positions as the price noted a surge.

四小时时间框架显示 AXL 自 9 月下旬以来不断创出更高的高点和低点。随着价格飙升，这种看涨的市场结构非常适合多头头寸。

At press time, however, AXL faced price rejection at the Q2 support-cum-resistance level of $0.88.

然而，截至发稿时，AXL 面临第二季度支撑位兼阻力位 0.88 美元的价格拒绝。

Technicals also flashed overheated signals, suggesting that any further recovery might be delayed. Especially if Bitcoin failed to crack the $70k mark in the short term.

技术面也闪现出过热信号，表明任何进一步的复苏可能会被推迟。特别是如果比特币短期内未能突破 7 万美元大关的话。

That being said, AXL might extend its correction to the 38.2% Fib level before gaining momentum to crack the Q2 support. If so, the level could offer a discounted re-entry point.

话虽如此，AXL 可能会将修正幅度扩大至 38.2% 斐波那契水平，然后再获得突破第二季度支撑位的动力。如果是这样，该级别可以提供折扣的重新进入点。

However, a firm reclaim of the Q2 support could increase the odds of it hitting $1.29 on the charts. The immediate bullish target of $1.12 would offer extra 20% potential gains if hit.

然而，如果坚决收回第二季度的支撑位，可能会增加其在图表上触及 1.29 美元的可能性。如果触及 1.12 美元的近期看涨目标，则将带来额外 20% 的潜在收益。

Whales reduce exposure

鲸鱼减少暴露

Another data point that suggested low odds of AXL clearing the overhead roadblock was declining whale interest.

另一个表明 AXL 清除头顶障碍的可能性很低的数据点是鲸鱼兴趣下降。

Whales have trimmed their long positions since mid-October. This might explain the range formation seen afterward. The declining Whale vs. Retail Delta showed this too.

自十月中旬以来，鲸鱼已经削减了多头头寸。这也许可以解释随后看到的范围形成。鲸鱼与零售三角洲的下降也表明了这一点。

However, a reversal on the metric could increase the chances of AXL cracking its former Q2 support-turned-resistance level.

然而，该指标的逆转可能会增加 AXL 突破其前第二季度支撑位转变为阻力位的机会。

Leggiero su volatilità e liquidità

波动性和流动性较低

Four-hour AXL derivatives also showed a decline in open interest (OI) rates, which might have contributed to the range formation seen after the Q2 support.

四小时 AXL 衍生品也显示未平仓利率 (OI) 下降，这可能有助于形成第二季度支撑后的区间形成。

In mid-October, the OI stood at nearly $20 million. However, it had fallen by half to $10 million at press time.

10 月中旬，OI 接近 2000 万美元。然而，截至发稿时，该数字已下降一半至 1000 万美元。

This highlighted a reduction in market interest by nearly 50% for the altcoin. Worth noting though that this could change if BTC reverses its recent losses and surges above $70k.

这突显了市场对山寨币的兴趣下降了近 50%。但值得注意的是，如果 BTC 扭转近期跌势并飙升至 7 万美元以上，这种情况可能会改变。