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스캇 갈리스(Scott Garliss)는 인플레이션 추세가 팬데믹 이전의 정상 수준으로 돌아가고 있어 정책 입안자들이 금리에 대해 더 많은 자유를 갖게 되었다고 말합니다.
The Federal Reserve’s easing cycle appears to have remained largely intact following the release of September inflation data on Thursday.
목요일에 발표된 9월 인플레이션 데이터 이후 연준의 완화 주기는 대체로 그대로 유지된 것으로 보입니다.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the consumer price index (CPI) rose by 2.4% over the last 12 months, which was slightly higher than economists’ expectations for a 2.3% increase. However, the reading was lower than August’s 2.5% gain.
미국 노동통계국은 지난 12개월 동안 소비자물가지수(CPI)가 2.4% 상승했다고 발표했는데, 이는 경제학자들의 예상인 2.3% 상승을 약간 웃도는 수치입니다. 그러나 이 수치는 8월의 2.5% 상승보다는 낮았습니다.
The report also showed that on a monthly basis, CPI rose by 0.1% compared to expectations for a 0.2% increase. August’s reading was revised down to a 0.2% gain from an initial report of no change.
보고서는 또한 월간 CPI가 0.2% 증가에 대한 기대치에 비해 0.1% 상승한 것으로 나타났습니다. 8월 수치는 변화 없음이라는 최초 보고서에서 0.2% 상승으로 하향 수정되었습니다.
The data comes as the Fed has raised its benchmark interest rate, the federal funds rate, five times this year in an effort to cool inflation and bring it back down to its 2% target. Officials have said they are targeting a “soft landing” for the economy, aiming to slow growth and inflation without causing a recession.
이 데이터는 연준이 인플레이션을 진정시키고 목표치인 2%로 되돌리기 위한 노력의 일환으로 기준 금리인 연방기금 금리를 올해 5차례 인상한 가운데 나온 것입니다. 관계자들은 경기 침체를 일으키지 않고 성장과 인플레이션을 늦추는 것을 목표로 경제의 "연착륙"을 목표로 삼고 있다고 말했습니다.
The central bank is expected to raise rates by another 50 basis points at its next meeting in early November, following a 75 basis point increase in September. Officials have also said they plan to continue raising rates into next year.
중앙은행은 지난 9월 75bp 인상에 이어 11월 초 다음 회의에서 금리를 50bp 인상할 것으로 예상된다. 관계자들은 또한 내년에도 금리를 계속 인상할 계획이라고 말했습니다.
Following the September inflation data, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose by 7 basis points to reach 4.1%. The yield on the 2-year note also rose by 3 basis points to hit 4.6%. Bond yields and prices move inversely.
9월 인플레이션 데이터에 이어 10년 만기 미국 국채 수익률은 7bp 상승해 4.1%를 기록했습니다. 2년만기 국채수익률도 3bp 상승해 4.6%를 기록했다. 채권수익률과 가격은 반대로 움직인다.
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