Public Keys: Circle Toes the IPO Line, MicroStrategy Could Be a 3 Percenter Soon, Bakkt Is Back in Trouble

This week: Circle toes the IPO line with a Coinbase partnership debuff, MicroStrategy could be a 3 percenter soon, Bakkt is back in trouble

Public Keys is a weekly roundup from Decrypt that tracks the key publicly traded crypto companies. This week: Circle toes the IPO line with a Coinbase partnership debuff, MicroStrategy could be a 3 percenter soon, Bakkt is back in trouble, and Decrypt reporter Matt Di Salvo explains why experts say midsize Bitcoin miners might need a wellness check in the coming months.

Is Circle in the ring?

USDC issuer Circle is finally back in the ring after filing to go public earlier this week.

Another thing that caught investors’ eyes is just how much of a cash cow Circle has been for crypto exchange Coinbase. The exchange receives half of all the residual revenue Circle makes on the cash and cash-like reserves backing its stablecoin tokens.

Analysts at Ledger Insights posited that this could make the company an unattractive bet for investors.

“Circle spent more than a billion in 2024 in distribution costs, most of which went to Coinbase,” they wrote. “The biggest concern is whether this might constrain future opportunities.”

At the time of writing, unnamed sources have told Bloomberg that the company is already considering delaying its IPO filing.

Analysts at ValueWalk also noted that Circle might be in a difficult position as it tries to go public amid the threat of Trump tariffs.

The Wall Street Journal went harder and reported Circle is delaying filings and will push back plans for an IPO. To be clear, this doesn’t mean Circle won’t be going public; it just might take a little longer now, given market conditions and the looming threat of Trump’s tariffs.

Perhaps it’s trying to negotiate a more favorable deal with Coinbase to thicken the honey pot for potential investors.

Three percenter soon!?

It took four years for Strategy to acquire 1% of the 21 million Bitcoin supply, a milestone it reached this time last year. Then by December, the company had rapidly closed the gap and held 2% of the supply.

As of today, Strategy’s hulking Bitcoin treasury now accounts for 2.5% the BTC supply. It’s already halfway to reaching 3%.

Strategy, which trades on the Nasdaq under the MSTR ticker, would have to add another 101,815 Bitcoin to reach its next milestone. If MSTR were to close that gap at current prices, it would be an $8.5 billion endeavor.

It’s not out of the question. The company spent more than $288 billion buying Bitcoin last year and has nearly matched that already. Strategy had spent $282 billion buying Bitcoin in the first quarter of 2025.

The company’s 528,185 BTC treasury was acquired for an average cost of $67,458 and—at $43.9 billion—carries a 23.2% unrealized profit. That means that Strategy’s Bitcoin stockpile is worth 60% of its $72.9 billion market capitalization.

Bakkt again

Two weeks ago Bakkt Holdings had bad news and good news.

Its crypto services business had lost two of its biggest clients—Webull and Bank of America. But not to worry, the Bakkt team told investors, there’s a new co-CEO coming in to launch a stablecoin service.

Well, some investors think Bakkt broke the law by misrepresenting the stability and diversity of its crypto revenue.

In a class action lawsuit filed Wednesday in Manhattan, shareholders are claiming Bakkt and its officers made “materially false and/or misleading statements” about the company’s crypto revenue.

“Webull made up 74% of Bakkt’s crypto services revenue,” the lawsuit said, noting that at the time the company “derived 98% of its revenue from crypto services.”

The lead plaintiff, Guy Serge A. Frankin, had been a true believer in Bakkt since last year. Since June 2024, he’s acquired 8,812 shares for $191,419.82.

That’s an average cost per share of $21.72. But at the current $7.98 price for the stock, which trades on the NYSE under the BKKT ticker, his holdings are sitting on a $121,102.06 unrealized loss. Ouch.

Midsize Bitcoin miner woes

As U.S. equities and crypto experience a sell-off, the shares of top Bitcoin mining companies have also seen a sharp decline in price with President Trump’s trade war heating up.

American Nasdaq-listed miners such as MARA, Riot Platforms, and Bitdeer have all dropped by 9-13% over a five-day period.

Hive Digital, Cleanspark, and Core Scientific have also seen their share prices suffer—but not by as much.