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ment.output: title: 2025 Outlook: New cycle, new applications, new directions

Dec 28, 2024 at 06:05 pm

Now, the New Year is about to ring. Looking forward to 2025, as the Trump administration opens a new era of encryption, well-capitalized institutions are also eager to try.

ment.output: title: 2025 Outlook: New cycle, new applications, new directions

evolution. In the past two years, the infrastructure construction of Web3 has basically been completed. Whether it is blockchain technology or application ecology, it has reached a relatively mature stage. In 2025, the application will explode and become the main theme of the next round of bull market. At present, the application ecology of Web3 is still relatively weak, and there are only a few god-level applications such as Polymarket and Pump.fun. In 2025, more applications will be born and quickly integrated into the mainstream market. Among them, AI Agent will become a new application outlet, and applications such as prediction markets, gambling platforms, and DeFi will be deeply integrated. In addition, applications such as decentralized social networking, decentralized games, and decentralized music will also usher in a wave of development.

Finally, from the perspective of investors, in 2025, when the industry application explodes and the mainstream institutions enter the market on a large scale, it will also be a year of opportunities and challenges for investors. On the one hand, the price increases of mainstream coins are basically a certainty event, and investors can continue to hold mainstream coins for the long term. On the other hand, the altcoin market will differentiate sharply, and investors need to pay attention to the risks of blindly chasing high-priced coins. In addition, investors should also pay attention to the application ecology of Web3. Once god-level applications are born, they will quickly integrate into the mainstream market and bring huge investment opportunities to investors.output: This year is undoubtedly an important year in the history of crypto.

This year, the crypto industry has successfully broken through the two core narratives of ETF and the US election, with Bitcoin as the main leverage. Listed companies, traditional financial institutions and even national governments have flocked in, and mainstreaming and recognition have increased significantly. The regulatory environment has also moved towards a clear and relaxed path with the coming of the new government. Mainstream collisions, path differentiation and regulatory evolution have become the main themes of the industry this year.

Looking at the major developments in the industry this year, Bitcoin is undoubtedly the core narrative.

ETF and national reserves have successfully allowed Bitcoin to reach $100,000, officially declaring that Bitcoin has surpassed the connotation of cryptocurrency and has become a strong anti-inflation asset in the world. The value storage has been recognized, and BTC has begun to gradually move from digital gold to super-sovereign currency, marking the staged victory of this grand financial experiment that began with Satoshi Nakamoto. On the other hand, the Bitcoin ecosystem has been expanded this year. Although inscriptions, runes and even L2 are in a state of ice and fire from hot to dead, Bitcoin's diversified ecosystem has been initially formed. BTCFi, NFT, games, social and other applications continue to develop. Bitcoin DeFi TVL has soared from $300 million at the beginning of the year to $6.755 billion, an increase of more than 20 times throughout the year. Among them, Babylon has become the largest protocol on the Bitcoin chain. As of December 20, Babylon's TVL has reached $5.564 billion, accounting for 82.37% of the total. The broad BTCFI has performed even better this year. The share of Bitcoin spot ETFs has soared, and MicroStrategy, which was selected into the Nasdaq 100, has been imitated by many, all of which reflect the overwhelming success of Bitcoin in the Cefi field.

Back to the public chain field, Ethereum, the leader this year, is not having such a good time. Compared with other assets that perform poorly, value capture and user activity have declined, and the narrative is not as good as before. Ethereum is suffering from the "theory of value". Although the slogan of Defi revival, which has already formed a consensus, is loud, except for the TVL nesting doll craze set off by re-staking, it seems that only Aave has taken it all, and the actual investment is obviously insufficient. However, the emergence of Hyperliquid, a dark horse in derivatives at the end of the year, not only revolutionized half of CEX's life, but also sounded the clarion call for DeFi to counterattack. On the other hand, after the upgrade of Dencun, Ethereum Layer 2 accelerated its internal circulation and continued to eat up the main network share, so that the market has set off a big discussion on the Ethereum mechanism, and doubts have emerged in an endless stream. Even the rapid growth of Base has made the market have rumors that the future of Ethereum is Coinbase.

The strong rise of Solana is in sharp contrast. From the perspective of TVL, Ethereum's market share in the public chain has dropped from 58.38% at the beginning of this year to 55.59%, while Solana has jumped from no such person at the beginning of

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