Bitcoin (BTC) Analyst Benjamin Cowen Issues a Warning as the Flagship Digital Asset Hovers Below $100,000

Cryptocurrency analyst Benjamin Cowen is keeping a close eye on the yield of the US Treasury 10-year. According to Cowen, a continued rise in the 10-year yield will put bearish pressure on Bitcoin (BTC).

In a new video, Cowen tells his 858,000 YouTube subscribers that a sustained 10-year yield rally will put Bitcoin in a precarious position, especially after factoring in the crypto king's performance in the second half of 2023.

At the time, Bitcoin plunged below a crucial range low at around $30,000 and remained largely subdued for several weeks.

“10-year yield if it keeps going up it’s going to be a headwind for Bitcoin…

…what happened [in 2023] was Bitcoin went all the way up, it came back down but eventually it really dropped below $30,000 and stayed below $30,000 for a number of weeks. And because of that the market got weaker and weaker and weaker until it sold off and found demand down here [below $25,000].”

If Bitcoin follows a similar path as 2023, Cowen anticipates a potential drop of up to 28% from the current price level.

“So if Bitcoin has to follow that [2023] blueprint, which is not even at the same time of the year when you would normally see something like that, but if it does because the 10-year yield just does not relent, then you would likely see Bitcoin spend some time around $88,000, $89,000 for a while before going back and testing maybe $70,000 right and then trying to find support there.”

The renowned analyst also highlights the significance of Bitcoin's price action around the $100,000 level in determining the flagship crypto asset's short-term trajectory.

“I think $100,000 is going to be kind of the line in the sand… [if] Bitcoin gets rejected again [at $100,000) and it comes back down here and gets below $90,000 then this [2023] outcome is more likely where it just follows what the S&P [500 index] did and the Russell [2,000 index] did and gives back those post-election gains in the short term.”

Bitcoin is trading at $96,900 at time of writing.