XRP等

XRP，Ethereum Classic（ETC），渴望金融（YFI）和比特币现金（BCH）价格动作和链信号指向前不及的阶段。

Key Insights

关键见解

* XRP, Ethereum Classic (ETC), Yearn Finance (YFI) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) price action and on-chain signals are setting up several crypto derivatives for a bearish phase ahead. Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance is indicating a potential reversal, which suggests that altseason is coming.

* XRP，Ethereum Classic（ETC），渴望金融（YFI）和比特币现金（BCH）价格动作和链上信号正在为未来的看跌阶段设置几个加密衍生物。同时，比特币的优势表明潜在的逆转，这表明Altseason即将到来。

* As smaller cryptocurrencies continue to struggle, the narrative has shifted to April’s macro data, which could decide if crypto assets will fall further or if a rebound is in the works.

*随着较小的加密货币继续挣扎，叙述已经转移到了四月的宏观数据，这可以决定加密资产是否会进一步下降，或者是否正在进行反弹。

* With Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) now at 62.03%, breaking below the 39.65% level could be key for sparking a move into altcoins.

*现在，比特币优势（BTC.D）现在为62.03％，低于39.65％的水平可能是激发进入山寨币的关键。

Cryptocurrencies are setting up for a turbulent April, with several assets now showing bearish setups as smaller cryptocurrencies continue to struggle.

加密货币正在为四月动荡不安的四月设置，现在有几家资产显示了看跌的设置，因为较小的加密货币继续挣扎。

However, Bitcoin dominance is showing signs of fatigue, which may open the door for altcoins to pour back into the limelight.

但是，比特币的优势显示出疲劳的迹象，这可能为山寨币倒入众人瞩目的门打开了大门。

A textbook Head and Shoulders pattern is seen on the XRP /USDT chart. It has breached the neckline, seen at $2.08.

在XRP /USDT图表上可以看到教科书头和肩膀的模式。它违反了领口，价格为2.08美元。

If this comes to pass, then the measured move down to the target is about $1.34, or 35% below the current price. Already, the price has fallen by 5.39%, showing that bearish pressure is picking up.

如果这是通过的，那么测得的移动到目标的速度约为1.34美元，比当前价格低35％。价格已经下跌了5.39％，表明看跌压力正在升高。

Next up is Ethereum Classic (ETC), which lost support at $16.88. Since early 2023, the asset has been trading in the $20.50 to $11.50 range. A breakdown below this zone could drag it to $6.50, the prior support range—a 61% drop.

接下来是以太坊经典（ETC），其支持损失了16.88美元。自2023年初以来，该资产一直在20.50美元至11.50美元之间的交易范围内。低于此区域的故障可能会将其拖到6.50美元，即先前的支撑范围 - 下降了61％。

Yearn Finance (YFI) dropped 1.98% recently and is now sitting just above multi-year support at $4,907. A breakdown could open up downside to $1,600, a 67% decline, and coincides with horizontal breakdown zones on the 3-day chart.

渴望金融（YFI）最近下降了1.98％，现在刚好超过多年支持，为4,907美元。崩溃可能会使下降至1,600美元，下降了67％，并且与3天图表上的水平分解区相吻合。

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) continues ranging in a symmetrical triangle. It is currently trading at $306.06, closely above the triangle’s lower edge. A breakdown could target $89, based on the 1.0 Fibonacci extension—a move of over 70%.

比特币现金（BCH）继续以对称三角形范围。目前，它的交易价格为306.06美元，紧贴三角形的下边缘。基于1.0斐波那契扩展名，分解可能以89美元的速度为目标，这一转移超过70％。

The structure across these charts points to a broad-based weakness among older altcoins. Breakdown risk remains widespread, not something that is easily isolated.

这些图表上的结构表明，较旧的山羊蛋白之间的基于广泛的弱点。崩溃风险仍然很普遍，而不是容易隔离的东西。

Bitcoin Dominance Faces Resistance As Altcoins Are Due For Return

比特币优势面对替代币的抵抗力应返回

Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is now at 62.03%, closely below the 2021 altseason peak. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has formed a bearish divergence, showing price making higher highs while RSI prints lower highs.

现在，比特币优势（BTC.D）为62.03％，紧接在2021年季后赛峰值以下。每周的相对强度指数（RSI）形成了看跌的差异，显示了价格更高的高点，而RSI则打印出较低的高点。

This can indicate momentum loss. Currently, the RSI stands at 58.40, having peaked at around 70. Moreover, Stochastic RSI has also started to turn from the overbought zone of 91.19 and 87.12. This bearish cross may continue to put pressure on BTC dominance.

这可能表明动量损失。目前，RSI的达到58.40，达到70左右。此外，随机RSI也开始从91.19和87.12的过失区域转向。这个看跌的十字架可能会继续对BTC的优势施加压力。

A strong rotation into altcoins followed a similar setup in 2021. Traders are expecting a repeat if dominance drops again. The next key support is seen at 39.65%. A move down to that level would suggest a lot of capital is flowing out of Bitcoin and into altcoins.

在2021年进行了类似的设置之后，向Altcoins进行了强烈的旋转。如果统治再次下降，交易者期望重复。下一个关键支持率为39.65％。降低到这一水平将表明大量资本正在从比特币中流入山寨币。

There are similarities, but no confirmation yet of the current setup. However, BTC.D is at a peak and altcoins are at support, setting the stage for a potential rotation.

有相似之处，但目前尚无确认。但是，BTC.D处于峰值状态，而AltCoins则处于支持，为潜在旋转奠定了基础。

April Macro Data Could Decide If Crypto Prices Fall Further

四月宏数据可以决定加密价格是否进一步下跌

April’s economic calendar is packed. The U.S. plans to announce new tariffs on April 2, which could strengthen the dollar and weaken crypto assets.

四月的经济日历已包装。美国计划在4月2日宣布新的关税，这可以加强美元并削弱加密资产。

On April 4, the U.S. labor report will show unemployment trends. A spike in jobless claims could spark risk-off moves and hurt altcoins.

4月4日，美国劳工报告将显示失业趋势。失业声称的激增可能会引发风险行动并伤害山寨币。

The main event, however, is April 10’s inflation report. If inflation stays elevated, then the Federal Reserve may delay any planned rate cuts. That would pressure crypto. But if inflation cools and labor data holds steady, then traders could rotate into altcoins—especially if BTC dominance begins to roll over.

但是，主要事件是4月10日的通货膨胀报告。如果通货膨胀率保持升高，那么美联储可能会延迟任何计划的降低税率。那会施加压力加密。但是，如果通货膨胀冷却和劳动力数据稳定，那么交易者可以旋转到Altcoins中，尤其是如果BTC的优势开始逐渐延续。