XRP等

XRP，Ethereum Classic（ETC），渴望金融（YFI）和比特幣現金（BCH）價格動作和鏈信號指向前不及的階段。

Key Insights

關鍵見解

* XRP, Ethereum Classic (ETC), Yearn Finance (YFI) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) price action and on-chain signals are setting up several crypto derivatives for a bearish phase ahead. Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance is indicating a potential reversal, which suggests that altseason is coming.

* XRP，Ethereum Classic（ETC），渴望金融（YFI）和比特幣現金（BCH）價格動作和鏈上信號正在為未來的看跌階段設置幾個加密衍生物。同時，比特幣的優勢表明潛在的逆轉，這表明Altseason即將到來。

* As smaller cryptocurrencies continue to struggle, the narrative has shifted to April’s macro data, which could decide if crypto assets will fall further or if a rebound is in the works.

*隨著較小的加密貨幣繼續掙扎，敘述已經轉移到了四月的宏觀數據，這可以決定加密資產是否會進一步下降，或者是否正在進行反彈。

* With Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) now at 62.03%, breaking below the 39.65% level could be key for sparking a move into altcoins.

*現在，比特幣優勢（BTC.D）現在為62.03％，低於39.65％的水平可能是激發進入山寨幣的關鍵。

Cryptocurrencies are setting up for a turbulent April, with several assets now showing bearish setups as smaller cryptocurrencies continue to struggle.

加密貨幣正在為四月動盪不安的四月設置，現在有幾家資產顯示了看跌的設置，因為較小的加密貨幣繼續掙扎。

However, Bitcoin dominance is showing signs of fatigue, which may open the door for altcoins to pour back into the limelight.

但是，比特幣的優勢顯示出疲勞的跡象，這可能為山寨幣倒入眾人矚目的門打開了大門。

A textbook Head and Shoulders pattern is seen on the XRP /USDT chart. It has breached the neckline, seen at $2.08.

在XRP /USDT圖表上可以看到教科書頭和肩膀的模式。它違反了領口，價格為2.08美元。

If this comes to pass, then the measured move down to the target is about $1.34, or 35% below the current price. Already, the price has fallen by 5.39%, showing that bearish pressure is picking up.

如果這是通過的，那麼測得的移動到目標的速度約為1.34美元，比當前價格低35％。價格已經下跌了5.39％，表明看跌壓力正在升高。

Next up is Ethereum Classic (ETC), which lost support at $16.88. Since early 2023, the asset has been trading in the $20.50 to $11.50 range. A breakdown below this zone could drag it to $6.50, the prior support range—a 61% drop.

接下來是以太坊經典（ETC），其支持損失了16.88美元。自2023年初以來，該資產一直在20.50美元至11.50美元之間的交易範圍內。低於此區域的故障可能會將其拖到6.50美元，即先前的支撐範圍 - 下降了61％。

Yearn Finance (YFI) dropped 1.98% recently and is now sitting just above multi-year support at $4,907. A breakdown could open up downside to $1,600, a 67% decline, and coincides with horizontal breakdown zones on the 3-day chart.

渴望金融（YFI）最近下降了1.98％，現在剛好超過多年支持，為4,907美元。崩潰可能會使下降至1,600美元，下降了67％，並且與3天圖表上的水平分解區相吻合。

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) continues ranging in a symmetrical triangle. It is currently trading at $306.06, closely above the triangle’s lower edge. A breakdown could target $89, based on the 1.0 Fibonacci extension—a move of over 70%.

比特幣現金（BCH）繼續以對稱三角形範圍。目前，它的交易價格為306.06美元，緊貼三角形的下邊緣。基於1.0斐波那契擴展名，分解可能以89美元的速度為目標，這一轉移超過70％。

The structure across these charts points to a broad-based weakness among older altcoins. Breakdown risk remains widespread, not something that is easily isolated.

這些圖表上的結構表明，較舊的山羊蛋白之間的基於廣泛的弱點。崩潰風險仍然很普遍，而不是容易隔離的東西。

Bitcoin Dominance Faces Resistance As Altcoins Are Due For Return

比特幣優勢面對替代幣的抵抗力應返回

Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is now at 62.03%, closely below the 2021 altseason peak. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has formed a bearish divergence, showing price making higher highs while RSI prints lower highs.

現在，比特幣優勢（BTC.D）為62.03％，緊接在2021年季后賽峰值以下。每週的相對強度指數（RSI）形成了看跌的差異，顯示了價格更高的高點，而RSI則打印出較低的高點。

This can indicate momentum loss. Currently, the RSI stands at 58.40, having peaked at around 70. Moreover, Stochastic RSI has also started to turn from the overbought zone of 91.19 and 87.12. This bearish cross may continue to put pressure on BTC dominance.

這可能表明動量損失。目前，RSI的達到58.40，達到70左右。此外，隨機RSI也開始從91.19和87.12的過失區域轉向。這個看跌的十字架可能會繼續對BTC的優勢施加壓力。

A strong rotation into altcoins followed a similar setup in 2021. Traders are expecting a repeat if dominance drops again. The next key support is seen at 39.65%. A move down to that level would suggest a lot of capital is flowing out of Bitcoin and into altcoins.

在2021年進行了類似的設置之後，向Altcoins進行了強烈的旋轉。如果統治再次下降，交易者期望重複。下一個關鍵支持率為39.65％。降低到這一水平將表明大量資本正在從比特幣中流入山寨幣。

There are similarities, but no confirmation yet of the current setup. However, BTC.D is at a peak and altcoins are at support, setting the stage for a potential rotation.

有相似之處，但目前尚無確認。但是，BTC.D處於峰值狀態，而AltCoins則處於支持，為潛在旋轉奠定了基礎。

April Macro Data Could Decide If Crypto Prices Fall Further

四月宏數據可以決定加密價格是否進一步下跌

April’s economic calendar is packed. The U.S. plans to announce new tariffs on April 2, which could strengthen the dollar and weaken crypto assets.

四月的經濟日曆已包裝。美國計劃在4月2日宣布新的關稅，這可以加強美元並削弱加密資產。

On April 4, the U.S. labor report will show unemployment trends. A spike in jobless claims could spark risk-off moves and hurt altcoins.

4月4日，美國勞工報告將顯示失業趨勢。失業聲稱的激增可能會引發風險行動並傷害山寨幣。

The main event, however, is April 10’s inflation report. If inflation stays elevated, then the Federal Reserve may delay any planned rate cuts. That would pressure crypto. But if inflation cools and labor data holds steady, then traders could rotate into altcoins—especially if BTC dominance begins to roll over.

但是，主要事件是4月10日的通貨膨脹報告。如果通貨膨脹率保持升高，那麼美聯儲可能會延遲任何計劃的降低稅率。那會施加壓力加密。但是，如果通貨膨脹冷卻和勞動力數據穩定，那麼交易者可以旋轉到Altcoins中，尤其是如果BTC的優勢開始逐漸延續。