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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣(BTC)可能在3月10日發現其底部略高於76,000美元

2025/04/02 17:08

這一舉動形成了一種讓人聯想到最近歷史上先前底部事件的模式。

比特幣(BTC)可能在3月10日發現其底部略高於76,000美元

output: Bitcoin price action suggests that the flagship cryptocurrency may have found its bottom just above $76,000 on March 10, forming a pattern reminiscent of previous bottoming events in recent history.

輸出:比特幣價格行動表明,旗艦加密貨幣可能在3月10日發現其底部略高於76,000美元,形成了一種讓人聯想到最近歷史上先前底層事件的模式。

In this current correction, bitcoin fell 30% from it's all-time high of $109,000 reached on Jan. 20. After hitting a low on March 10, it recorded higher lows on both sides of that date – around $78,000 on Feb. 28 and just above $81,000 on March 31 – forming a triangular bottom.

在此目前的校正中,比特幣從1月20日的歷史最高售價下降了30%。 3月10日達到低點後,該日期的兩側都記錄了更高的低點 - 2月28日的78,000美元約為78,000美元,在3月31日的$ 81,000左右,形成了三角形的底部。

A similar pattern played out during the yen carry trade unwind in August 2024, when bitcoin bottomed near $49,000 on Aug. 5. Again, higher lows were seen on either side: on July 7 and September 7.

在2024年8月,日元攜帶貿易期間發行的類似模式,當時比特幣在8月5日觸底了接近49,000美元。同樣,兩邊都看到了更高的低點:7月7日和9月7日。

Another instance occurred during the launch of the U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs in January 2024. Bitcoin experienced a 20% correction, hitting a low just below $40,000 on Jan. 23, with higher lows on both sides of that date as well.

另一個實例發生在2024年1月美國現貨比特幣ETF的推出期間。比特幣經歷了20%的校正,在1月23日的低於40,000美元的低至40,000美元以下,該日期的兩側也更高。

"The latest pattern, indicating a shift from lower lows to higher lows and signifying seller exhaustion, resembles bottoming patterns seen in August and early 2024," Omkar Godbole, managing editor of CoinDesk Markets, said.

Coindesk Markets的執行編輯Omkar Godbole說:“最新模式表明從低點轉移到更高的低點並表示賣方疲憊,類似於8月和2024年初的底層模式。”

"There’s reason to consider the possibility of renewed bullish momentum – though, as always, external risks like Trump’s tariffs could disrupt the trend," he added.

他補充說:“有理由考慮更新看漲勢頭的可能性 - 但是,與往常一樣,像特朗普的關稅這樣的外部風險可能會破壞趨勢。”

The number one question on investors' minds is whether an asset has hit its bottom after being in a sustained downtrend for an extended period of time.

關於投資者的頭腦的第一問題是,資產在長期持續下降趨勢後是否已經達到了最低點。

This usually occurs when there are signs of seller exhaustion, which can be identified through price action or technical analysis.

當有賣方疲憊的跡象時,通常會發生這種情況,這可以通過價格行動或技術分析來識別。

In the case of bitcoin, it appears to be forming a triple bottom, which is a bullish reversal pattern that occurs when an asset experiences three lows at roughly the same price level.

在比特幣的情況下,它似乎形成了三重底部,這是一種看漲的逆轉模式,當資產以大致相同的價格水平的三個低點經曆三個低點時,就會發生。

This pattern is often seen at the end of a bear market or a significant sell-off, as sellers are unable to push the asset lower despite attempts to do so.

這種模式通常在熊市的結尾或大量拋售時都可以看到,因為儘管如此,賣方仍無法推動資產降低。

After hitting a high of $109,000 in January, bitcoin fell sharply to lows of $76,000 in March as a result of the yen carry trade unwinding and heightened macroeconomic uncertainty due to Trump's unexpected tariff announcement on April 1.

在一月份達到109,000美元的高價後,由於日元攜帶貿易放鬆並增加了由於特朗普在4月1日意外的關稅宣布而增加的宏​​觀經濟不確定性,因此比特幣急劇下降至3月的76,000美元。

However, buyers stepped in around the $76,000 mark, forming a triple bottom as they managed to prevent the asset from falling further on two separate occasions.

但是,買家介入了$ 76,000的大關,在設法防止資產在兩次不同的情況下進一步下降時形成了三重底部。

The first instance occurred when bitcoin fell to lows of $76,000 on March 10, testing the Fib (61.8) % support level, leading to a rally that saw it test the Fib (50) % resistance at $94,000 on April 7.

第一次發生時,當比特幣在3月10日下降到76,000美元的低點時,測試了FIB(61.8)%的支持水平,導致集會使IT測試FIB(50)%的阻力為4月7日的94,000美元。

After failing to break through the Fib (50) % resistance, bitcoin slid back down to retest the Fib (61.8) % support with lows of $78,000 on February 28.

在未能突破FIB(50)%的電阻後,比特幣在2月28日以78,000美元的低點重新測試了FIB(61.8)%的支持(61.8)%。

This move completed the triple bottom pattern, setting the stage for a final attempt to break through the Fib (50) % resistance at $94,000, which was ultimately successful as bitcoin rallied to highs of $81,000 on March 31.

這一舉動完成了三重底層模式,為最終嘗試打破FIB(50)%的阻力為94,000美元的階段,這最終取得了成功,因為比特幣在3月31日上漲至81,000美元。

This analysis suggests that the triple bottom pattern has played out completely, setting the stage for a final push higher towards the Fib (38.2) % level at $89,000, which could be reached by mid-April.

該分析表明,三重底部模式已經完全播放,為FIB的最終推動(38.2)%的水平(89,000美元)為階段奠定了基礎,這可以在4月中旬到達。

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