随着比特币主导地位下降，XRP 价格上涨可能仍在进行中

市场观察家 Dom 的分析表明，鉴于当前比特币的主导地位，真正的 XRP 价格上涨可能仍在进行中。

An analysis from market watcher Dom suggests the true XRP price pump could still be in the works, citing current Bitcoin dominance position.

市场观察家 Dom 的分析表明，鉴于当前比特币的主导地位，真正的 XRP 价格上涨可能仍在进行中。

XRP’s recent recovery, which has seen its price climb to $2.45 in January 2025, has triggered optimism. Market analysts such as Dom have pointed to Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) as a factor that could determine XRP price path in the coming months.

XRP 最近的复苏引发了乐观情绪，其价格在 2025 年 1 月攀升至 2.45 美元。 Dom 等市场分析师指出，比特币的主导地位（BTC.D）可能是决定未来几个月 XRP 价格走势的一个因素。

Bitcoin dominance, a metric representing Bitcoin’s market share relative to the entire crypto market, has recently declined. It dropped to 56.93% from a high of 59.92% on Dec. 20, 2024.

比特币主导地位是代表比特币相对于整个加密货币市场的市场份额的指标，最近有所下降。从2024年12月20日的高点59.92%下降至56.93%。

XRP Price Rally Still Early

XRP 价格上涨仍为时尚早

Historically, massive drops in BTC.D have triggered altcoin season, a period when capital flows from Bitcoin into altcoins like XRP. Dom, a notable crypto analyst, has repeatedly discussed this relationship in his market assessments.

从历史上看，BTC.D 的大幅下跌引发了山寨币季节，即资本从比特币流向 XRP 等山寨币的时期。著名的加密货币分析师 Dom 在他的市场评估中多次讨论了这种关系。

In the latest update, Dom observed that in previous market cycles, XRP experienced exponential gains whenever BTC.D witnessed substantial declines. During the last two cycles, Bitcoin dominance fell by around 30%, coinciding with XRP price surges of over 1,000%.

在最新的更新中，Dom 观察到，在之前的市场周期中，每当 BTC.D 大幅下跌时，XRP 就会出现指数级上涨。在过去两个周期中，比特币的主导地位下降了约 30%，而 XRP 价格却飙升了 1,000% 以上。

UPDATE on my most popular post ever

更新我有史以来最受欢迎的帖子

Any time $XRP has seen a large pump, it was when $BTC.D was tanking

每当 $XRP 出现大幅上涨时，都是在 $BTC.D 下跌的时候

The last TWO cycles, $BTC.D dropped exactly 30% while $XRP rose over 1000%

在过去的两个周期中，$BTC.D 下跌了 30%，而 $XRP 上涨了 1000% 以上

So far, BTC.D has ONLY dropped 5% ‼️

到目前为止，BTC.D仅下跌了5%‼️

While I'm unsure we see the same -30%, the next leg up… https://t.co/0i8REdvL0h pic.twitter.com/jmW739nbgL

虽然我不确定我们会看到相同的 -30%，但下一站会上升…… https://t.co/0i8REdvL0h pic.twitter.com/jmW739nbgL

— Dom (@traderview2) January 3, 2025

— Dom (@traderview2) 2025 年 1 月 3 日

However, in the current market cycle, BTC.D has only dropped by about 5%, suggesting that the most significant moves for XRP and other altcoins might still be ahead. Despite this, XRP has increased by nearly 500% since early November.

然而，在当前的市场周期中，BTC.D 仅下跌了约 5%，这表明 XRP 和其他山寨币的最重大走势可能仍在前方。尽管如此，XRP 自 11 月初以来已上涨近 500%。

According to Dom, the current XRP price rally might be a precursor to a larger move. He speculated that the present gains could come from new capital entering the market rather than a shift from Bitcoin into altcoins.

Dom 表示，当前 XRP 价格上涨可能是更大波动的前兆。他推测目前的收益可能来自新资本进入市场，而不是从比特币转向山寨币。

This trend prepares the pathway for an even more substantial rally once Bitcoin dominance undergoes a more pronounced decline.

一旦比特币的主导地位经历更明显的下降，这种趋势就为更大幅度的反弹做好了准备。

Altcoin Season on the Horizon

山寨币季节即将到来

For context, XRP’s resurgence began in November 2024 after breaking above the $1 mark for the first time in three years. At the time, Dom described the move as unusual because it occurred without a noticeable drop in Bitcoin dominance, which typically accompanies XRP price surges.

就背景而言，XRP 在三年来首次突破 1 美元大关后于 2024 年 11 月开始复苏。当时，Dom 称此举不同寻常，因为比特币的主导地位并没有明显下降，而比特币的主导地位通常伴随着 XRP 价格飙升。

Interestingly, when XRP rallied to surpass the $1-mark, Bitcoin dominance remained high at around 58%. Dom noted that this strange occurrence could indicate either a temporary price movement or the early stages of a broader market rally.

有趣的是，当 XRP 反弹突破 1 美元大关时，比特币的主导地位仍保持在 58% 左右的高位。多姆指出，这种奇怪的现象可能表明价格暂时波动，或者是更广泛市场反弹的早期阶段。

Now, as Bitcoin dominance continues its gradual decline, market participants have become optimistic about the arrival of altcoin season. Notably, altcoin seasons typically lead to Bitcoin’s relative underperformance and capital inflows into other crypto assets.

现在，随着比特币的主导地位继续逐渐下降，市场参与者对山寨币季节的到来变得乐观。值得注意的是，山寨币季节通常会导致比特币表现相对不佳以及资本流入其他加密资产。

For instance, Michaël van de Poppe, another prominent market veteran, has persistently emphasized the imminent arrival of the altcoin season. He attributed the recent strength in the altcoin market to the fading of FUD around regulatory issues concerning USDT and MiCA.

例如，另一位著名的市场资深人士 Michaël van de Poppe 一直强调山寨币季节即将到来。他将山寨币市场近期的强势归因于围绕 USDT 和 MiCA 监管问题的 FUD 消退。

The #Altcoin markets are surging after the FUD surrounding USDT and MiCa fades way.

在围绕 USDT 和 MiCa 的 FUD 消退之后，#Altcoin 市场正在飙升。

It's the start of the bull cycle.

这是牛市周期的开始。

The big upwards return for risk-on assets within the crypto landscape.

加密货币领域的风险资产回报率大幅上升。

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) January 3, 2025

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) 2025 年 1 月 3 日

Van de Poppe described the current market phase as the beginning of a new crypto bull cycle. He stressed that this period presents exceptional potential for returns, particularly for altcoins like XRP, which have endured an extended bear market. At press time, XRP trades for $2.47, up 15% in a week.

Van de Poppe 将当前的市场阶段描述为新的加密货币牛市周期的开始。他强调，这一时期呈现出巨大的回报潜力，尤其是像 XRP 这样的山寨币，它们已经经历了长期的熊市。截至发稿，XRP 交易价格为 2.47 美元，一周内上涨 15%。