隨著比特幣主導地位下降，XRP 價格上漲可能仍在進行中

市場觀察家 Dom 的分析表明，鑑於當前比特幣的主導地位，真正的 XRP 價格上漲可能仍在進行中。

An analysis from market watcher Dom suggests the true XRP price pump could still be in the works, citing current Bitcoin dominance position.

市場觀察家 Dom 的分析表明，鑑於當前比特幣的主導地位，真正的 XRP 價格上漲可能仍在進行中。

XRP’s recent recovery, which has seen its price climb to $2.45 in January 2025, has triggered optimism. Market analysts such as Dom have pointed to Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) as a factor that could determine XRP price path in the coming months.

XRP 最近的復甦引發了樂觀情緒，其價格在 2025 年 1 月攀升至 2.45 美元。 Dom 等市場分析師指出，比特幣的主導地位（BTC.D）可能是決定未來幾個月 XRP 價格走勢的一個因素。

Bitcoin dominance, a metric representing Bitcoin’s market share relative to the entire crypto market, has recently declined. It dropped to 56.93% from a high of 59.92% on Dec. 20, 2024.

比特幣主導地位是代表比特幣相對於整個加密貨幣市場的市場份額的指標，最近有所下降。從2024年12月20日的高點59.92%下降至56.93%。

XRP Price Rally Still Early

XRP 價格上漲仍為時過早

Historically, massive drops in BTC.D have triggered altcoin season, a period when capital flows from Bitcoin into altcoins like XRP. Dom, a notable crypto analyst, has repeatedly discussed this relationship in his market assessments.

從歷史上看，BTC.D 的大幅下跌引發了山寨幣季節，即資本從比特幣流向 XRP 等山寨幣的時期。著名的加密貨幣分析師 Dom 在他的市場評估中多次討論了這種關係。

In the latest update, Dom observed that in previous market cycles, XRP experienced exponential gains whenever BTC.D witnessed substantial declines. During the last two cycles, Bitcoin dominance fell by around 30%, coinciding with XRP price surges of over 1,000%.

在最新的更新中，Dom 觀察到，在先前的市場週期中，每當 BTC.D 大幅下跌時，XRP 就會出現指數級上漲。在過去兩個週期中，比特幣的主導地位下降了約 30%，而 XRP 價格卻飆升了 1,000% 以上。

UPDATE on my most popular post ever

更新我有史以來最受歡迎的帖子

Any time $XRP has seen a large pump, it was when $BTC.D was tanking

每當 $XRP 出現大幅上漲時，都是在 $BTC.D 下跌的時候

The last TWO cycles, $BTC.D dropped exactly 30% while $XRP rose over 1000%

在過去的兩個週期中，$BTC.D 下跌了 30%，而 $XRP 上漲了 1000% 以上

So far, BTC.D has ONLY dropped 5% ‼️

到目前為止，BTC.D僅下跌了5%‼

While I'm unsure we see the same -30%, the next leg up… https://t.co/0i8REdvL0h pic.twitter.com/jmW739nbgL

雖然我不確定我們會看到相同的 -30%，但下一站會上升… https://t.co/0i8REdvL0h pic.twitter.com/jmW739nbgL

— Dom (@traderview2) January 3, 2025

— Dom (@traderview2) 2025 年 1 月 3 日

However, in the current market cycle, BTC.D has only dropped by about 5%, suggesting that the most significant moves for XRP and other altcoins might still be ahead. Despite this, XRP has increased by nearly 500% since early November.

然而，在當前的市場週期中，BTC.D 僅下跌了約 5%，這表明 XRP 和其他山寨幣的最重大走勢可能仍在前方。儘管如此，XRP 自 11 月初以來已上漲近 500%。

According to Dom, the current XRP price rally might be a precursor to a larger move. He speculated that the present gains could come from new capital entering the market rather than a shift from Bitcoin into altcoins.

Dom 表示，當前 XRP 價格上漲可能是更大波動的前兆。他推測目前的收益可能來自新資本進入市場，而不是從比特幣轉向山寨幣。

This trend prepares the pathway for an even more substantial rally once Bitcoin dominance undergoes a more pronounced decline.

一旦比特幣的主導地位經歷更明顯的下降，這種趨勢就為更大幅度的反彈做好了準備。

Altcoin Season on the Horizon

山寨幣季節即將到來

For context, XRP’s resurgence began in November 2024 after breaking above the $1 mark for the first time in three years. At the time, Dom described the move as unusual because it occurred without a noticeable drop in Bitcoin dominance, which typically accompanies XRP price surges.

就背景而言，XRP 在三年來首次突破 1 美元大關後於 2024 年 11 月開始復甦。當時，Dom 稱此舉為不同尋常，因為比特幣的主導地位並沒有明顯下降，而比特幣的主導地位通常伴隨著 XRP 價格飆升。

Interestingly, when XRP rallied to surpass the $1-mark, Bitcoin dominance remained high at around 58%. Dom noted that this strange occurrence could indicate either a temporary price movement or the early stages of a broader market rally.

有趣的是，當 XRP 反彈突破 1 美元大關時，比特幣的主導地位仍保持在 58% 左右的高點。多姆指出，這種奇怪的現象可能表示價格暫時波動，或是更廣泛市場反彈的早期階段。

Now, as Bitcoin dominance continues its gradual decline, market participants have become optimistic about the arrival of altcoin season. Notably, altcoin seasons typically lead to Bitcoin’s relative underperformance and capital inflows into other crypto assets.

現在，隨著比特幣的主導地位繼續逐漸下降，市場參與者對山寨幣季節的到來變得樂觀。值得注意的是，山寨幣季節通常會導致比特幣表現相對不佳以及資本流入其他加密資產。

For instance, Michaël van de Poppe, another prominent market veteran, has persistently emphasized the imminent arrival of the altcoin season. He attributed the recent strength in the altcoin market to the fading of FUD around regulatory issues concerning USDT and MiCA.

例如，另一位著名的市場資深人士 Michaël van de Poppe 一直強調山寨幣季節即將到來。他將山寨幣市場近期的強勢歸因於圍繞 USDT 和 MiCA 監管問題的 FUD 消退。

The #Altcoin markets are surging after the FUD surrounding USDT and MiCa fades way.

在圍繞 USDT 和 MiCa 的 FUD 消退之後，#Altcoin 市場正在飆升。

It's the start of the bull cycle.

這是牛市週期的開始。

The big upwards return for risk-on assets within the crypto landscape.

加密貨幣領域的風險資產報酬率大幅上升。

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) January 3, 2025

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) 2025 年 1 月 3 日

Van de Poppe described the current market phase as the beginning of a new crypto bull cycle. He stressed that this period presents exceptional potential for returns, particularly for altcoins like XRP, which have endured an extended bear market. At press time, XRP trades for $2.47, up 15% in a week.

Van de Poppe 將目前的市場階段描述為新的加密貨幣牛市週期的開始。他強調，這段時期呈現出巨大的回報潛力，尤其是像 XRP 這樣的山寨幣，它們已經經歷了長期的熊市。截至發稿，XRP 交易價格為 2.47 美元，一週內上漲 15%。