XRP价格预测：即将举行的SEC闭门会议可以代表转折点

SEC即将举行的闭门会议可能代表XRP价格轨迹的转折点。

The upcoming April 3 closed-door meeting of the SEC can represent a turning point in XRP’s price trajectory. This is because the community will probably get an official announcement about the XRP SEC lawsuit.

SEC即将举行的闭门会议可能代表XRP价格轨迹的转折点。这是因为社区可能会得到有关XRP SEC诉讼的正式宣布。

At first, we heard about the alleged agreement between the SEC and Ripple on March 19 from Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse. This agreement was for the SEC to drop its appeal to the lawsuit and for Ripple to also drop its cross-appeal. However, since then, there has not been an update from the SEC. XRP has also declined more than 20% since then, but it can use this news to surge again.

最初，我们在3月19日从Ripple的首席执行官布拉德·加林豪斯（Brad Garlinghouse）听说了SEC与Ripple之间的涉嫌协议。该协定是为了使SEC撤销对诉讼的上诉，并使Ripple也放弃了交叉上诉。但是，从那时起，就没有SEC的更新。从那时起，XRP也下降了20％以上，但它可以使用此消息再次激增。

Any short-term XRP price prediction now depends on the results of today’s SEC meeting. Additionally, the SEC can also set the XRP token to surge by approving the pending XRP ETF proposals. Based on the reports, currently 18 ETF requests have been presented to the SEC, showing a lot of market demand. As such the community is waiting and observing as the future of XRP is in the hands of SEC now.

现在，任何短期XRP价格预测都取决于当今SEC会议的结果。此外，SEC还可以通过批准尚待XRP ETF提案来将XRP令牌设置为激增。根据这些报告，目前已向SEC提出了18个ETF请求，显示了很多市场需求。因此，社区正在等待和观察，因为XRP的未来现在就掌握在SEC手中。

In more recent news, we also got a statement from Stuart Alderoty, Chief Legal Officer at Ripple. This statement clarified more information about the XRP SEC lawsuit and the conditions on which Ripple dropped its cross-appeal.

在最近的新闻中，我们还收到了Ripple首席法律官Stuart Alderoty的声明。该声明阐明了有关XRP SEC诉讼的更多信息，以及Ripple删除其交叉诉讼的条件。

First, a reduction in the $125 million fine was announced, which set the new fee at only $75 million. The agreement also asks for lifting the injunction set by Torres’ Final Judgment, which banned any institutional sale of XRP. However, the SEC’s course of action remains unclear, and amid uncertainty, XRP is declining in value. If today’s closed meeting does not present a result, XRP could even fall below $2.

首先，宣布了1.25亿美元的罚款，这将新费用仅为7500万美元。该协议还要求解除托雷斯最终判决设定的禁令，该禁令禁止任何机构出售XRP。但是，SEC的行动方案尚不清楚，在不确定性的情况下，XRP的价值正在下降。如果今天的闭幕会议不提出结果，XRP甚至可能低于2美元。

However, based on the analysis of legal experts such as Fred Rispoli, this case will not reach a result soon. On 25 March, this attorney stated that the SEC might need 30 days to give an official answer. Additionally, the lifting of the injunction from the judge will also take 30 days. As such, based on his projection, we will get an answer around 60 days on the 24th of April. “At most, we are 60 days out from this being 100%, formally, legally, and spectacularly over.”

但是，基于对弗雷德·里斯波利（Fred Rispoli）等法律专家的分析，此案不会很快达成结果。 3月25日，这位律师说，SEC可能需要30天才能给出正式答案。此外，从法官手中解除禁令也将需要30天。因此，根据他的预测，我们将在4月24日大约60天内得到答案。 “最多，我们已经有60天的时间是100％，正式，法律和壮观。”

As highlighted in Chart 1, XRP did not have a good March as it mostly consolidated around $2.50. Now in April, as the threat of a global trade war becomes more real, the crypto market is falling again.

如图1所示，XRP的游行没有良好的游行，因为它大部分均约为2.50美元。现在，随着全球贸易战争的威胁变得更加真实，加密货币市场又下降了。

As the fears of a global recession and the decline of the labor market gain strength, the risk markets fall. XRP is no exception, with the coin seeing more than 13.9% decline in 7 days. As of writing this, the XRP token is trading at $2.05 while experiencing a 3.2% daily fall.

随着人们对全球衰退的担忧和劳动力市场的下降，风险市场下降。 XRP也不例外，在7天内，硬币的下降超过13.9％。撰写本文时，XRP令牌的交易价格为2.05美元，同时每天跌幅3.2％。

With all that said, the short-term price prediction for XRP mainly depends on today’s SEC decision. If we get bullish news that the SEC is officially dropping its appeal, XRP could overcome the macroeconomics. Even if XRP doesn’t surge, such a positive development can help stabilise XRP’s price. As such, keeping the coin’s value from dropping lower. However, if the SEC’s silence continues, we might even see a final blow to the market sentiment. This will push the value even lower, increasing the possibility of a crash below the $2 mark.

话虽如此，XRP的短期价格预测主要取决于当今的SEC决定。如果我们获得看涨的消息，即SEC正在正式放弃其上诉，XRP可以克服宏观经济学。即使XRP没有激增，这种积极的发展也可以帮助稳定XRP的价格。因此，防止硬币的价值下降。但是，如果SEC的沉默仍在继续，我们甚至可能会看到市场情绪的最后打击。这将使值降低，从而将崩溃的可能性提高到2美元以下。