XRP價格預測：即將舉行的SEC閉門會議可以代表轉折點

SEC即將舉行的閉門會議可能代表XRP價格軌蹟的轉折點。

The upcoming April 3 closed-door meeting of the SEC can represent a turning point in XRP’s price trajectory. This is because the community will probably get an official announcement about the XRP SEC lawsuit.

SEC即將舉行的閉門會議可能代表XRP價格軌蹟的轉折點。這是因為社區可能會得到有關XRP SEC訴訟的正式宣布。

At first, we heard about the alleged agreement between the SEC and Ripple on March 19 from Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse. This agreement was for the SEC to drop its appeal to the lawsuit and for Ripple to also drop its cross-appeal. However, since then, there has not been an update from the SEC. XRP has also declined more than 20% since then, but it can use this news to surge again.

最初，我們在3月19日從Ripple的首席執行官布拉德·加林豪斯（Brad Garlinghouse）聽說了SEC與Ripple之間的涉嫌協議。該協定是為了使SEC撤銷對訴訟的上訴，並使Ripple也放棄了交叉上訴。但是，從那時起，就沒有SEC的更新。從那時起，XRP也下降了20％以上，但它可以使用此消息再次激增。

Any short-term XRP price prediction now depends on the results of today’s SEC meeting. Additionally, the SEC can also set the XRP token to surge by approving the pending XRP ETF proposals. Based on the reports, currently 18 ETF requests have been presented to the SEC, showing a lot of market demand. As such the community is waiting and observing as the future of XRP is in the hands of SEC now.

現在，任何短期XRP價格預測都取決於當今SEC會議的結果。此外，SEC還可以通過批准尚待XRP ETF提案來將XRP令牌設置為激增。根據這些報告，目前已向SEC提出了18個ETF請求，顯示了很多市場需求。因此，社區正在等待和觀察，因為XRP的未來現在就掌握在SEC手中。

In more recent news, we also got a statement from Stuart Alderoty, Chief Legal Officer at Ripple. This statement clarified more information about the XRP SEC lawsuit and the conditions on which Ripple dropped its cross-appeal.

在最近的新聞中，我們還收到了Ripple首席法律官Stuart Alderoty的聲明。該聲明闡明了有關XRP SEC訴訟的更多信息，以及Ripple刪除其交叉訴訟的條件。

First, a reduction in the $125 million fine was announced, which set the new fee at only $75 million. The agreement also asks for lifting the injunction set by Torres’ Final Judgment, which banned any institutional sale of XRP. However, the SEC’s course of action remains unclear, and amid uncertainty, XRP is declining in value. If today’s closed meeting does not present a result, XRP could even fall below $2.

首先，宣布了1.25億美元的罰款，這將新費用僅為7500萬美元。該協議還要求解除托雷斯最終判決設定的禁令，該禁令禁止任何機構出售XRP。但是，SEC的行動方案尚不清楚，在不確定性的情況下，XRP的價值正在下降。如果今天的閉幕會議不提出結果，XRP甚至可能低於2美元。

However, based on the analysis of legal experts such as Fred Rispoli, this case will not reach a result soon. On 25 March, this attorney stated that the SEC might need 30 days to give an official answer. Additionally, the lifting of the injunction from the judge will also take 30 days. As such, based on his projection, we will get an answer around 60 days on the 24th of April. “At most, we are 60 days out from this being 100%, formally, legally, and spectacularly over.”

但是，基於對弗雷德·里斯波利（Fred Rispoli）等法律專家的分析，此案不會很快達成結果。 3月25日，這位律師說，SEC可能需要30天才能給出正式答案。此外，從法官手中解除禁令也將需要30天。因此，根據他的預測，我們將在4月24日大約60天內得到答案。 “最多，我們已經有60天的時間是100％，正式，法律和壯觀。”

As highlighted in Chart 1, XRP did not have a good March as it mostly consolidated around $2.50. Now in April, as the threat of a global trade war becomes more real, the crypto market is falling again.

如圖1所示，XRP的遊行沒有良好的遊行，因為它大部分均約為2.50美元。現在，隨著全球貿易戰爭的威脅變得更加真實，加密貨幣市場又下降了。

As the fears of a global recession and the decline of the labor market gain strength, the risk markets fall. XRP is no exception, with the coin seeing more than 13.9% decline in 7 days. As of writing this, the XRP token is trading at $2.05 while experiencing a 3.2% daily fall.

隨著人們對全球衰退的擔憂和勞動力市場的下降，風險市場下降。 XRP也不例外，在7天內，硬幣的下降超過13.9％。撰寫本文時，XRP令牌的交易價格為2.05美元，同時每天跌幅3.2％。

With all that said, the short-term price prediction for XRP mainly depends on today’s SEC decision. If we get bullish news that the SEC is officially dropping its appeal, XRP could overcome the macroeconomics. Even if XRP doesn’t surge, such a positive development can help stabilise XRP’s price. As such, keeping the coin’s value from dropping lower. However, if the SEC’s silence continues, we might even see a final blow to the market sentiment. This will push the value even lower, increasing the possibility of a crash below the $2 mark.

話雖如此，XRP的短期價格預測主要取決於當今的SEC決定。如果我們獲得看漲的消息，即SEC正在正式放棄其上訴，XRP可以克服宏觀經濟學。即使XRP沒有激增，這種積極的發展也可以幫助穩定XRP的價格。因此，防止硬幣的價值下降。但是，如果SEC的沉默仍在繼續，我們甚至可能會看到市場情緒的最後打擊。這將使值降低，從而將崩潰的可能性提高到2美元以下。